Kansas St vs Kansas Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

• Kansas is a -3 point favorite vs. Kansas St
• Kansas State vs. Kansas Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
• TV Channel: TNT | tru | HBOM

Kansas State (3-4) visit David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium to take on Kansas (4-3) on Oct. 25 in Lawrence, KS. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Kansas is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).

The Kansas State vs. Kansas Over/Under is 56.5 total points.

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Kansas State vs. Kansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Kansas State vs Kansas Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Kansas will win this game with 55.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Kansas St and Kansas, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Kansas State vs Kansas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kansas will cover the spread with 52.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Kansas State Best Bets Today

• Kansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.32 Units / 55% ROI)
• Kansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.30 Units / 9% ROI)
• Kansas State has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.60 Units / 10% ROI)
• Kansas State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)

Kansas Best Bets Today

• Kansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 56% ROI)
• Kansas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 8% ROI)
• Kansas have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 51% ROI)
• Kansas have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.25 Units / 23% ROI)
• Kansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.10 Units / 3% ROI)

Kansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kansas St is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).

• Kansas State is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.45 Units / -16.95% ROI
• Kansas State is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
• Kansas State is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

Kansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kansas iss 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.35 Units / -17.42% ROI).

• Kansas is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -6.52% ROI
• Kansas is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
• Kansas is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI

Kansas State: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas

Kansas State opponents averaged 8.0 Passing Attempts per TD (40 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.9

Kansas State opponents averaged 8.0 Passing Attempts per TD (40 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 3.8

Kansas State allowed first downs on 3% of rush attempts in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 18%

Kansas State opponents averaged 8.0 Passing Attempts per TD (40 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 4.5

Kansas State allowed 15 TD passes in the Red Zone last season– most in the Big 12

Kansas: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas State

Kansas has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 15 of their 261 carries (6%) this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 3%

Kansas has allowed first downs on 38% of rush attempts in close and late situations this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 21%

Kansas allowed 10 rushing TDs on 412 carries (41.2 Carries Per TD) last season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: 23.2

Kansas’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs in the 2023 season– highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%

Kansas’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs in the 2023 season– highest in the Big 12; Average: 9%

Matchup Notes for Kansas State vs. Kansas

Kansas has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 15 of their 261 carries (6%) this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 3%

Kansas has allowed first downs on 38% of rush attempts in close and late situations this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 21%

Kansas allowed 10 rushing TDs on 412 carries (41.2 Carries Per TD) last season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: 23.2

Kansas’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs in the 2023 season– highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%

Kansas’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs in the 2023 season– highest in the Big 12; Average: 9%

Kansas State opponents averaged 8.0 Passing Attempts per TD (40 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.9

Kansas State opponents averaged 8.0 Passing Attempts per TD (40 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 3.8

Kansas State allowed first downs on 3% of rush attempts in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 18%

Kansas State opponents averaged 8.0 Passing Attempts per TD (40 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 4.5

Kansas State allowed 15 TD passes in the Red Zone last season– most in the Big 12

Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends

Kansas State opponents averaged 8.0 Passing Attempts per TD (40 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.9

Kansas State opponents averaged 8.0 Passing Attempts per TD (40 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 3.8

Kansas State allowed first downs on 3% of rush attempts in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 18%

Kansas State opponents averaged 8.0 Passing Attempts per TD (40 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 4.5

Kansas State allowed 15 TD passes in the Red Zone last season– most in the Big 12

Kansas Offensive Stats & Trends

Kansas has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 15 of their 261 carries (6%) this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 3%

Kansas has allowed first downs on 38% of rush attempts in close and late situations this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 21%

Kansas allowed 10 rushing TDs on 412 carries (41.2 Carries Per TD) last season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: 23.2

Kansas’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs in the 2023 season– highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%

Kansas’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs in the 2023 season– highest in the Big 12; Average: 9%

Kansas State Defensive Stats & Trends

Kansas State opponents averaged 8.0 Passing Attempts per TD (40 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.9

Kansas State opponents averaged 8.0 Passing Attempts per TD (40 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 3.8

Kansas State allowed first downs on 3% of rush attempts in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 18%

Kansas State opponents averaged 8.0 Passing Attempts per TD (40 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 4.5

Kansas State allowed 15 TD passes in the Red Zone last season– most in the Big 12

Kansas Defensive Stats & Trends

Kansas has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 15 of their 261 carries (6%) this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 3%

Kansas has allowed first downs on 38% of rush attempts in close and late situations this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 21%

Kansas allowed 10 rushing TDs on 412 carries (41.2 Carries Per TD) last season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: 23.2

Kansas’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs in the 2023 season– highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%

Kansas’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs in the 2023 season– highest in the Big 12; Average: 9%

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