Kansas St vs Oklahoma St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

BetMGM Betting Nov 14, 2025, 11:35 AM

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Oklahoma State head coach Mike Gundy talks to his players during the second half of an NCAA college football game against Kansas State Saturday, Oct. 29, 2022, in Manhattan, Kan. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)

(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)

Kansas St is a -19.5 point favorite vs. Oklahoma St
Kansas State vs. Oklahoma State Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
TV Channel: ESPNU

Kansas State (4-5) visit Boone Pickens Stadium to take on Oklahoma State (1-8) on Nov. 15 in Stillwater, OK. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.

Kansas St is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -19.5 (-115).

The Kansas State vs. Oklahoma State Over/Under is 52.5 total points.

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Kansas State vs. Oklahoma State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Kansas State	-19.5 -115	52.5 -110	-1200
Oklahoma State	+19.5 -105	52.5 -110	750

Kansas State vs Oklahoma State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Kansas State will win this game with 76.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Kansas St and Oklahoma St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Kansas State vs Oklahoma State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oklahoma State will cover the spread with 53.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Kansas State Best Bets Today

Kansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.12 Units / 40% ROI)
Kansas State has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 49% ROI)
Kansas State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)

Oklahoma State Best Bets Today

Oklahoma State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 51% ROI)
Oklahoma State has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Oklahoma State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.78 Units / 26% ROI)
Oklahoma State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.75 Units / 24% ROI)
Oklahoma State has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.55 Units / 22% ROI)

Kansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kansas St is 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.55 Units / -15.58% ROI).

Kansas State is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.05 Units / -15.53% ROI
Kansas State is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
Kansas State is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI

Oklahoma State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oklahoma St iss 2-7 against the spread this college football season (-5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI).

Oklahoma State is 1-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.8 Units / -27.67% ROI
Oklahoma State is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
Oklahoma State is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Kansas State: Keys to the Game vs. Oklahoma State

Kansas State opponents has averaged 9.3 Passing Attempts per TD (28 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 3.8

Kansas State opponents has averaged 9.3 Passing Attempts per TD (28 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0

Kansas State sacked opponents 35 times last season– 2nd-most in the Big 12

Kansas State tackled opponents for a loss on 11 of 54 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– best in the Big 12; Average: 14%.

Kansas State opponents averaged 8.0 Passing Attempts per TD (40 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 3.8

Oklahoma State: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas State

Oklahoma State Skill Players have just one touchdown on 7 receptions in the Red Zone this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.1

Oklahoma State have thrown one TD on 15 pass attempts in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 3.6

Oklahoma State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 31.0 receptions (124 Rec/4 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.7

Oklahoma State Skill Players have just one touchdown on 7 receptions in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1

Oklahoma State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 41.5 receptions (83 Rec/2 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 10.4

Matchup Notes for Kansas State vs. Oklahoma State