Kansas State vs Iowa St. Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 06, 2022, 2:28 PM
  • (2-4) are point favorites vs (2-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The Kansas State Wildcats (5-1) visit Jack Trice Stadium to take on the Iowa State Cyclones (3-4) on Oct. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Ames.

are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Kansas State vs. Iowa St. is total points.

Bet now on Iowa St. vs Kansas State & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Kansas State vs. Iowa St. Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 6

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kansas State
Iowa St.

Kansas State vs Iowa St. Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Kansas State will win this game with 53.3% confidence.

Kansas State vs Iowa St. Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Iowa State will cover the spread with 63.2% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Kansas State and Iowa St., plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Kansas State Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Kansas State players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Deuce Vaughn has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Adrian Martinez has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Malik Knowles has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Deuce Vaughn has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Adrian Martinez has hit the Passing Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Adrian Martinez has hit the TD Passes Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Phillip Brooks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)

Best Iowa St. Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Iowa St. players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Hunter Dekkers has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jirehl Brock has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Xavier Hutchinson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Xavier Hutchinson has hit the Receptions Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+9.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Kansas State have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.10 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+5.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Kansas State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.70 Units / 24% ROI)

Kansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kansas State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Kansas State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Kansas State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Kansas State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Iowa St. Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Iowa St. has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Iowa St. is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Iowa St. is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Iowa St. is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Kansas State: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa St.

#25 Kansas State is 4-2 (.667) when passing for more than 200 yards — tied for 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .382

#25 Kansas State is 8-2 (.615) when making 7 or more explosive plays — tied for 5th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .409

#25 Kansas State is 10-2 (.833) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2020 season– 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .623

#25 Kansas State is 7-2 (.700) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2020 season– 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .418

Iowa St.: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas State

Iowa State is 13-5 (.591) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2020 season– 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .442

Iowa State is 14-3 (.700) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2020 season– 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .530

Iowa State is 14-1 (.875) when not throwing an interception since the 2020 season– tied for 4th-best in FBS; Average: .581

Iowa State is 10-4 (.588) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2020 season– tied for 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .424

Matchup Notes for Kansas State vs. Iowa St.

Iowa State’s receiving corps has gained 820 yards on 80 receptions (just 10.2 YPR) this season — tied for worst among Power 5 WR corps. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — second-best among Big 12 defenses.

Iowa State has gained 1,064 yards on 112 receptions (just 9.5 YPR) this season — third-worst among Power 5 skill players. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — second-best among Big 12 defenses.

Iowa State’s receiving corps has gained 2,744 yards on 250 receptions (just 11.0 YPR) since the 2021 season — third-worst among Power 5 WR corps. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — second-best among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas State’s receiving corps has gained 335 yards on 33 receptions (just 10.2 YPR) this season — tied for worst among Power 5 WR corps. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for third-best among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas State has gained 430 yards on 50 receptions (just 8.6 YPR) this season — worst among Power 5 skill players. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for third-best among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas State have just 107.5 receiving yards per game this season — worst among Power 5 skill players. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 153.5 receiving yards per game this season — best among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends

Kansas State’s receiving corps has gained 335 yards on 33 receptions (just 10.2 YPR) this season — tied for worst among Power 5 WR corps. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for third-best among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas State has gained 430 yards on 50 receptions (just 8.6 YPR) this season — worst among Power 5 skill players. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for third-best among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas State have just 107.5 receiving yards per game this season — worst among Power 5 skill players. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 153.5 receiving yards per game this season — best among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas State has gained 430 yards on 50 receptions (just 8.6 YPR) this season — second-worst among FBS skill players. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for third-best among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas State’s receiving corps have just 83.8 receiving yards per game this season — second-worst among Power 5 WR corps. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 153.5 receiving yards per game this season — best among Big 12 defenses.

Iowa St. Offensive Stats & Trends

Iowa State TEs have caught 5 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

Iowa State TEs have caught 5 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Iowa State’s receiving corps has gained 820 yards on 80 receptions (just 10.2 YPR) this season — tied for worst among Power 5 WR corps. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — second-best among Big 12 defenses.

Iowa State TEs have caught 4 touchdown passes in close and late situations since last season– tied for 4th most among FBS Teams

Iowa State has gained 1,064 yards on 112 receptions (just 9.5 YPR) this season — third-worst among Power 5 skill players. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — second-best among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas State Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends

#20 Kansas State has 9 interceptions this season– tied for most in FBS

#20 Kansas State has averaged 2.25 interceptions per game (9/4) this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 0.89

#20 Kansas State has 9 interceptions this season– most among Power 5 Teams

#20 Kansas State has allowed a Completion Pct of 71% (37 completions/52 attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 54%

#20 Kansas State has averaged 2.25 interceptions per game (9/4) this season– tied for best in FBS; Average: 0.87

Iowa State Cyclones Defensive Stats & Trends

Iowa State has not recorded a sack (36 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16.6

Iowa State has not recorded a sack (36 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 16.0

Iowa State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 11 of 61 attempts (18%) on 3rd and long since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9%

Iowa State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (4 completions/14 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– tied for 5th best in FBS; Average: 54%

Iowa State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 7 of 75 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.