- Kansas State is a -5.5 point favorite vs. Missouri
- Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
- Watch the game on SEC Network
The Kansas State Wildcats visit Memorial Stadium/Faurot Field to take on the Missouri Tigers on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in Columbia.
Kansas State is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Kansas State vs. Missouri Over/Under is 47.5 total points.
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Kansas State vs. Missouri Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 3
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Kansas State | -3.5 -110 | 47.5 -110 | -165 |
| Missouri | +3.5 -110 | 47.5 -110 | +140 |
Kansas State vs Missouri Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Kansas State will win this game with 66.5% confidence.
Kansas State vs Missouri Spread Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kansas State will cover the spread with 52.8% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Kansas State and Missouri, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Kansas State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Kansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+9.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.80 Units / 58% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+7.30 Units / 88% ROI)
- Kansas State have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 43% ROI)
Missouri Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Missouri has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Missouri has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+5.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- Missouri have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- Missouri has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Missouri has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 60% ROI)
Best Kansas State Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Kansas State players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Phillip Brooks has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.90 Units / 16% ROI)
Best Missouri Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Missouri players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brady Cook has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 6 games (+6.50 Units / 78% ROI)
- Brady Cook has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Brady Cook has hit the Passing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
Kansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kansas State is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Kansas State is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 14.71% ROI
- Kansas State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Kansas State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Missouri Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Missouri is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- Missouri is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 7.12% ROI
- Missouri is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Missouri is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Kansas State: Keys to the Game vs. Missouri
#16 Kansas State is 6-2 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2022 season– 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .366
#16 Kansas State is 10-2 (.833) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2021 season– 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .625
#16 Kansas State was 4-2 (.667) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game in the 2022 season– tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .396
#16 Kansas State is 8-1 (.667) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2022 season– tied for 5th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .425
Missouri: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas State
Missouri is winless (0-3) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .495
Missouri is 3-13 (.188) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .437
Missouri is 4-12 (.250) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– tied for 12th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .513
Missouri is 2-11 (.154) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2021 season– 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .398
Matchup Notes for Kansas State vs. Missouri
Missouri’s TEs has 13 receptions in 14 games (just 0.9 per game) since the 2022 season — second-worst among P5 TEs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 3.8 receptions per game to TEs since the 2022 season — tied for 17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Missouri’s WRs has gained 312 yards on 25 receptions (just 12.5 YPR) this season — fourth-worst among SEC WRs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for 20th-best among FBS defenses.
Missouri’s TEs has 3 receptions in 2 games (just 1.5 per game) this season — tied for third-worst among SEC TEs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 23.5 receptions per game this season — tied for 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Kansas State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 17.5% of 63 attempts this season — 16th-best among FBS offenses. Missouri’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 4.9% of attempts this season — tied for 19th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kansas State’s QBs has thrown for 610 passing yards in 2 games (305.0 YPG) this season — 28th-best among FBS teams. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 203.5 passing yards per game this season — fourth-best among SEC defenses.
Kansas State’s offense has thrown for 610 passing yards in 2 games (305.0 YPG) this season — 24th-best among FBS offenses. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 203.5 passing yards per game this season — fourth-best among SEC defenses.
Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends
#16 Kansas State RBs had 11 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 2022 season– most among FBS Teams
Kansas State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 17.5% of 63 attempts this season — 16th-best among FBS offenses. Missouri’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 4.9% of attempts this season — tied for 19th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kansas State’s QBs has thrown for 610 passing yards in 2 games (305.0 YPG) this season — 28th-best among FBS teams. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 203.5 passing yards per game this season — fourth-best among SEC defenses.
Kansas State’s offense has thrown for 610 passing yards in 2 games (305.0 YPG) this season — 24th-best among FBS offenses. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 203.5 passing yards per game this season — fourth-best among SEC defenses.
Kansas State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 17.5% of 63 attempts this season — 16th-best among FBS offenses. Missouri’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 4.9% of attempts this season — fourth-worst among SEC defenses.
Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends
Missouri’s TEs has 13 receptions in 14 games (just 0.9 per game) since the 2022 season — second-worst among P5 TEs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 3.8 receptions per game to TEs since the 2022 season — tied for 17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Missouri’s WRs has gained 312 yards on 25 receptions (just 12.5 YPR) this season — fourth-worst among SEC WRs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for 20th-best among FBS defenses.
Missouri’s TEs has 3 receptions in 2 games (just 1.5 per game) this season — tied for third-worst among SEC TEs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 23.5 receptions per game this season — tied for 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Missouri’s TEs has 3 receptions in 2 games (just 1.5 per game) this season — tied for third-worst among SEC TEs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 23.5 receptions per game this season — third-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Missouri WRs have just one touchdown on 60 receptions in close and late situations since the 2021 season– 5th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.6
Kansas State Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends
#16 Kansas State has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 26 rushing attempts (39% TFL%) this season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 17%.
#16 Kansas State has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 26 rushing attempts (39% TFL%) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
#15 Kansas State has allowed a passer rating of just 74.8 in close and late situations (72.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 126.0
#16 Kansas State allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 1 of 57 attempts (2%) on 3rd and long in the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9%
#16 Kansas State’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 16% of PATs in the 2022 season– 2nd highest in FBS; Average: 6%
Missouri Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends
Missouri has allowed a passer rating of 294.8 in the Red Zone (9.0 Pass Attempts) since the 2021 season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 164.1
Missouri has allowed 1.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (48 yards / 28 touches) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.8
Missouri has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 22 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14%.
Missouri allowed a passer rating of 194.5 in close and late situations (44.0 Pass Attempts) in the 2022 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 121.7
Missouri has allowed a passer rating of 194.5 in close and late situations (44.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 127.4
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