Kansas State vs West Virginia Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 18, 2022, 10:28 AM
  • Kansas State (7-3) are -7.5 point favorites vs West Virginia (4-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points

The Kansas State Wildcats (8-3) visit Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium to take on the West Virginia Mountaineers (4-7) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Morgantown.

are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Kansas State vs. West Virginia is total points.

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Kansas State vs. West Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kansas State
West Virginia

Kansas State vs West Virginia Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Kansas State will win this game with 61.0% confidence.

Kansas State vs West Virginia Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kansas State will cover the spread with 50.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Kansas State and West Virginia, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Kansas State Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Kansas State players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Deuce Vaughn has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.05 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Deuce Vaughn has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+3.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Adrian Martinez has hit the TD Passes Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Phillip Brooks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 30% ROI)

Best West Virginia Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for West Virginia players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • JT Daniels has hit the TD Passes Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.25 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Sam James has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Bryce Ford-Wheaton has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+12.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Kansas State have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.70 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Kansas State have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+6.30 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.80 Units / 59% ROI)
  • West Virginia have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 7 games at home (+7.14 Units / 80% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.84 Units / 35% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+4.11 Units / 52% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)

Kansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kansas State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Kansas State is 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 9.52% ROI
  • Kansas State is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • Kansas State is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI

West Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

West Virginia has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • West Virginia is 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -39.11% ROI
  • West Virginia is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • West Virginia is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Kansas State: Keys to the Game vs. West Virginia

#17 Kansas State is 7-4 (.636) when passing for more than 200 yards — tied for 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .409

#17 Kansas State is 8-2 (.800) when intercepting at least 1 pass — 15th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .625

#20 Kansas State is 8-2 (.727) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2020 season– 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .422

#17 Kansas State is 11-3 (.786) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .561

West Virginia: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas State

West Virginia is 3-8 (.273) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes — 15th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .460

West Virginia is 10-2 (.667) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2020 season– tied for 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .470

West Virginia is winless (0-8) when having a TD margin of -2 or worse since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .007

West Virginia is 4-12 (.250) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — tied for 13th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .416

Matchup Notes for Kansas State vs. West Virginia

West Virginia’s WRs has been targeted 310 times this season — tied for second-most among FBS WRs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 1,843 receiving yards this season — second-fewest among Big 12 defenses.

West Virginia’s RBs has gained 333 yards on 61 receptions (just 5.5 YPR) since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among FBS RBs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — second-best among Big 12 defenses.

West Virginia’s TEs have just 13.6 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among P5 TEs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 211.0 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — second-best among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas State’s TEs has 7 receptions in 7 games (just 1.0 per game) this season — fifth-worst among P5 TEs. West Virginia’s defense has allowed just 19.2 receptions per game this season — fourth-best among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas State’s RBs has 59 receptions in 9 games (6.6 per game) this season — third-best among FBS RBs. West Virginia’s defense has allowed just 19.2 receptions per game this season — fourth-best among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas State’s RBs has been targeted 159 times since the 2021 season — fifth-most among FBS RBs. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 5,430 receiving yards since the 2021 season — third-most among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends

#19 Kansas State RBs have 8 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Kansas State’s TEs has 7 receptions in 7 games (just 1.0 per game) this season — fifth-worst among P5 TEs. West Virginia’s defense has allowed just 19.2 receptions per game this season — fourth-best among Big 12 defenses.

#19 Kansas State Skill Players have averaged 17.3 yards per reception (811 yards/47 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.5

#19 Kansas State WRs have averaged 18.5 yards per reception (610 yards/33 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since last season– tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.4

#19 Kansas State RBs have been targeted 8.9 times per game (80/9) this season– 5th highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.5

West Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends

West Virginia TEs have no touchdowns on 35 receptions since last season– tied for 4th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.0

West Virginia TEs have no touchdowns on 35 receptions since last season– tied for 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9.5

West Virginia’s WRs has been targeted 310 times this season — tied for second-most among FBS WRs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 1,843 receiving yards this season — second-fewest among Big 12 defenses.

West Virginia’s RBs has gained 333 yards on 61 receptions (just 5.5 YPR) since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among FBS RBs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — second-best among Big 12 defenses.

West Virginia’s TEs have just 13.6 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among P5 TEs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 211.0 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — second-best among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas State Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends

#19 Kansas State has allowed just 4.2 Yards per Attempt (206 yards/49 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– tied for best in FBS; Average: 7.7

#19 Kansas State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 4 of 98 attempts (4%) on 3rd and long since last season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9%

#19 Kansas State has allowed 0.6 touchdowns per interception (8 TDs allowed, and 13 INT) this season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 1.8

#19 Kansas State has allowed a Completion Pct of 79% (19 completions/24 attempts) on 3rd and short since last season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 63%

#19 Kansas State has allowed just 4.2 Yards per Attempt (206 yards/49 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7.4

West Virginia Mountaineers Defensive Stats & Trends

West Virginia has allowed 6.7 touchdowns per interception (20 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) this season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 1.7

West Virginia has intercepted 3 of 317 attempts (105.7 pass attempts per int.) this season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 37.7

West Virginia has allowed 6.7 touchdowns per interception (20 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) this season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

West Virginia has allowed 14.8 yards per completion (2,837 yards/192 completions) this season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.2

West Virginia has intercepted 3 of 317 attempts (105.7 pass attempts per int.) this season– 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 38.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.