Kansas vs Texas Tech Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

min read
AP Photos
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 11, 2022, 2:30 PM
  • Texas Tech (4-5) are -3.5 point favorites vs Kansas (6-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 64.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Kansas Jayhawks (6-5) visit Jones AT&T Stadium to take on the Texas Tech Red Raiders (6-5) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Lubbock.

are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Kansas vs. Texas Tech is total points.

Bet now on Texas Tech vs Kansas & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Kansas vs. Texas Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kansas
Texas Tech

Kansas vs Texas Tech Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Texas Tech will win this game with 57.2% confidence.

Kansas vs Texas Tech Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas Tech will cover the spread with 69.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Kansas and Texas Tech, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Kansas Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Kansas players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Lawrence Arnold has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Jason Bean has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)

Best Texas Tech Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Texas Tech players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Donovan Smith has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Myles Price has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • SaRodorick Thompson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Donovan Smith has hit the TD Passes Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+16.05 Units / 229% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 away games (+7.90 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 away games (+7.90 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Kansas have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.90 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+7.30 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+8.75 Units / 98% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+4.55 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Texas Tech have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.55 Units / 27% ROI)

Kansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kansas has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Kansas is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.3 Units / 71.22% ROI
  • Kansas is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • Kansas is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Texas Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas Tech has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Texas Tech is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.56% ROI
  • Texas Tech is 6-2 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI
  • Texas Tech is 2-6 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI

Kansas: Keys to the Game vs. Texas Tech

#19 Kansas is winless (0-11) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .509

#19 Kansas is 1-16 (.050) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2020 season– 2nd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .361

#19 Kansas is winless (0-13) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2020 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .319

#19 Kansas is 1-18 (.053) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2020 season– 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .392

Texas Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas

Texas Tech is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards — 9th-worst in FBS; Average: .395

Texas Tech is 1-10 (.067) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .364

Texas Tech is 2-12 (.105) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2020 season– 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .361

Texas Tech is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards — tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .395

Matchup Notes for Kansas vs. Texas Tech

Texas Tech’s WRs has averaged 33.0 targets per game this season — third-highest among FBS WRs. Kansas’s defense has allowed 17.8 receptions per game to WRs this season — tied for third-worst among FBS defenses.

Texas Tech’s WRs has averaged 33.0 targets per game this season — second-highest among Power 5 WRs. Kansas’s defense has allowed 17.8 receptions per game to WRs this season — tied for third-worst among FBS defenses.

Texas Tech has 220 receptions in 8 games (27.5 per game) this season — tied for fourth-best among Power 5 skill players. Kansas’s defense has allowed 23.9 receptions per game this season — tied for fourth-worst among P5 defenses.

Kansas’s offense has given up4 sacks this season — third-fewest among FBS offenses. Texas Tech’s defense has sacked the quarterback 20 times this season — tied for second-most among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas’s offense has given up19 sacks since the 2021 season — tied for second-fewest among FBS offenses. Texas Tech’s defense has sacked the quarterback 40 times since the 2021 season — fourth-fewest among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas’s TEs has 5 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — fourth-most among P5 TEs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 4 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for fewest among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas Offensive Stats & Trends

Kansas Skill Players have averaged 18.6 yards per reception (372 yards/20 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.4

Kansas RBs have fumbled 4 times in close and late situations since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Kansas WRs have averaged 24.0 yards per reception (168 yards/7 catches) in close and late situations this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.3

Kansas Skill Players have averaged 18.6 yards per reception (372 yards/20 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.9

Kansas RBs have averaged 8.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (257 yards / 29 touches) on 3rd down this season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5

Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Texas Tech’s WRs has averaged 33.0 targets per game this season — third-highest among FBS WRs. Kansas’s defense has allowed 17.8 receptions per game to WRs this season — tied for third-worst among FBS defenses.

Texas Tech Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 35.5 receptions (71 Rec/2 TDs) in close and late situations since last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.5

Texas Tech Skill Players have no touchdowns on 35 receptions in close and late situations this season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.2

Texas Tech’s WRs has averaged 33.0 targets per game this season — second-highest among Power 5 WRs. Kansas’s defense has allowed 17.8 receptions per game to WRs this season — tied for third-worst among FBS defenses.

Texas Tech WRs have been targeted 77 times in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

Kansas Jayhawks Defensive Stats & Trends

Kansas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 89 of 825 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

Kansas has allowed first downs on 39% of pass attempts since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 31%

Kansas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 14 of 168 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

Kansas has allowed 65 TDs in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 2.1

Kansas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 67 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) on 3rd and short since last season– 5th worst in FBS; Average: 11%.

Texas Tech Red Raiders Defensive Stats & Trends

Texas Tech has no interceptions (92 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 41.7

Texas Tech has no interceptions and 22 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.2

Texas Tech has sacked opponents 5 times in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd most in FBS

Texas Tech has sacked opponents 5 times in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

Texas Tech has allowed opponents to catch just 13 of 34 passes (38% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– 5th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 53%


Looking to place a bet on this game with a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Texas Tech vs Kansas and all NCAAF games with BetMGM

College Football Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.