Kansas vs West Virginia Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 4

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West Virginia head coach Neal Brown questions a call against his team during the second half of an NCAA college football game against Iowa State, Saturday, Nov. 5, 2022, in Ames, Iowa. Iowa State 31-14. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
(AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 20, 2024, 1:42 PM
  • West Virginia is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Kansas
  • Kansas vs. West Virginia Total(Over/Under): 56.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN2

The Kansas Jayhawks (1-2) visit Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium to take on the West Virginia Mountaineers (1-2) on Sep. 21 in Morgantown, WV. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

West Virginia is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Kansas vs. West Virginia Over/Under is 56.5 total points.

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Kansas vs. West Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kansas+2.5 -11056.5 -110+110
West Virginia -2.5 -11056.5 -110-135

Kansas vs West Virginia Prediction:

The winning team model predicts West Virginia will win this game with 57.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Kansas and West Virginia, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Kansas vs West Virginia Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts West Virginia will cover the spread with 60.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Kansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.55 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Kansas have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Kansas have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.75 Units / 53% ROI)
  • West Virginia have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+5.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.65 Units / 45% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+4.00 Units / 23% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Kansas players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Kansas Player Prop Bets Today

  • Lawrence Arnold has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Devin Neal has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Luke Grimm has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Quentin Skinner has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Daniel Hishaw Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for West Virginia players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best West Virginia Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Traylon Ray has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Jaden Bray has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Jahiem White has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Garrett Greene has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Garrett Greene has hit the Passing Yards Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.65 Units / 24% ROI)

Kansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kansas is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Kansas is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -100% ROI
  • Kansas is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • Kansas is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI

West Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

West Virginia is 0-3 against the spread this college football season (-3.35 Units / -100% ROI).

  • West Virginia is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -100% ROI
  • West Virginia is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • West Virginia is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI

Kansas: Keys to the Game vs. West Virginia

Kansas is 5-1 (.714) when not throwing an interception since the 2023 season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .589

Kansas is 8-3 (.615) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .495

Kansas is 6-1 (.750) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2023 season– T-18th-best in FBS; Average: .480

Kansas is 5-3 (.625) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .498

West Virginia: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas

West Virginia is undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2022 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .556

West Virginia is 8-3 (.615) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-7th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .408

West Virginia is 3-11 (.214) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2022 season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .429

West Virginia is 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2022 season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .570

Matchup Notes for Kansas vs. West Virginia

West Virginia has gained 3,293 yards on 229 receptions (14.4 YPR) since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among Big 12 skill players. Kansas’s defense has allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.

West Virginia has gained 3,293 yards on 229 receptions (14.4 YPR) since the 2023 season — 10th-best among FBS skill players. Kansas’s defense has allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — best among Big 12 defenses.

West Virginia’s TEs has gained 123 yards on 13 receptions (just 9.5 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 TEs. Kansas’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Kansas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.8% of 77 attempts this season — T-33rd-worst among FBS offenses. West Virginia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 18.4% of attempts this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.

Kansas has gained 3,614 yards on 244 receptions (14.8 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-6th-best among FBS skill players. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.

Kansas has gained 3,614 yards on 244 receptions (14.8 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-6th-best among FBS skill players. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas Offensive Stats & Trends

Kansas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.8% of 77 attempts this season — T-33rd-worst among FBS offenses. West Virginia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 18.4% of attempts this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.

Kansas Skill Players have averaged 16.4 yards per reception (1,441 yards/88 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.3

Kansas has gained 3,614 yards on 244 receptions (14.8 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-6th-best among FBS skill players. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.

Kansas has gained 3,614 yards on 244 receptions (14.8 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-6th-best among FBS skill players. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas WRs have averaged 19.2 yards per reception (1,149 yards/60 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.6

West Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends

West Virginia has gained 3,293 yards on 229 receptions (14.4 YPR) since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among Big 12 skill players. Kansas’s defense has allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.

West Virginia has gained 3,293 yards on 229 receptions (14.4 YPR) since the 2023 season — 10th-best among FBS skill players. Kansas’s defense has allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — best among Big 12 defenses.

West Virginia’s TEs has gained 123 yards on 13 receptions (just 9.5 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 TEs. Kansas’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

West Virginia’s RBs has averaged 9.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 22nd-best among FBS RBs. Kansas’s defense has allowed just 11.0 RAC since the 2023 season — best among Big 12 defenses.

West Virginia has gained 3,293 yards on 229 receptions (14.4 YPR) since the 2023 season — 10th-best among FBS skill players. Kansas’s defense has allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.

Kansas Jayhawks Defensive Stats & Trends

Kansas’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 24% of PATs since the 2023 season– highest in FBS; Average: 7%

Kansas’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 24% of PATs since the 2023 season– highest in the Big 12; Average: 9%

Kansas has allowed a Completion Pct of 68% (79 completions/117 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2022 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 53%

Kansas’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 16% of PATs since the 2022 season– highest in FBS; Average: 7%

Kansas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 127 of 1,062 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) since the 2022 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

West Virginia Mountaineers Defensive Stats & Trends

West Virginia has no interceptions and 8 TD passes allowed this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 1.5

West Virginia has no interceptions (87 pass attempts) this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 35.6

West Virginia has no interceptions and 8 TD passes allowed this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.1

West Virginia has no interceptions (87 pass attempts) this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 31.3

West Virginia has no interceptions (87 pass attempts) this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 35.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.