Kent St vs Toledo Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 8

Toledo head coach Jason Candle is doused after the Mid-American Conference championship NCAA college football game against Ohio, Saturday, Dec. 3, 2022, in Detroit. (AP Photo/Carlos Osorio)
(AP Photo/Carlos Osorio)
  • Toledo is a -26.5 point favorite vs. Kent St
  • Kent State vs. Toledo Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

Kent State (2-4) visit Glass Bowl to take on Toledo (3-3) on Oct. 18 in Toledo, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:00pm EDT.

Toledo is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -26.5 (-110).

The Kent State vs. Toledo Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

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Kent State vs. Toledo Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kent State+26.5 -11051.5 -1051400
Toledo -26.5 -11051.5 -115-5000

Kent State vs Toledo Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Toledo will win this game with 75.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Kent St and Toledo, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Kent State vs Toledo Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Toledo will cover the spread with 51.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Kent State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Kent State has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.45 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Kent State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Kent State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.15 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Kent State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 11 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Toledo have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.70 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.05 Units / 21% ROI)

Kent State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kent St is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Kent State is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 23.81% ROI
  • Kent State is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Kent State is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

Toledo Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Toledo iss 4-2 against the spread this college football season (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • Toledo is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.7 Units / -25.93% ROI
  • Toledo is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Toledo is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

Kent State: Keys to the Game vs. Toledo

Kent State RBs averaged just 2.4 Yards per Carry (140 yards/58 carries) in the 4th quarter last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

Kent State has gained 1,113 yards on 80 receptions (13.9 YPR) this season — 15th-best among FBS skill players. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

Kent State Skill Players averaged 24.1 yards per reception (313 yards/13 catches) with 4-6 yards to go last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3

Kent State’s QBs has thrown for 1,086 passing yards in 6 games (just 181.0 YPG) this season — 28th-worst among FBS teams. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 137.3 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.

Kent State has gained 1,113 yards on 80 receptions (13.9 YPR) this season — 15th-best among FBS skill players. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.

Toledo: Keys to the Game vs. Kent State

Kent State was winless (0-12) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .442

Kent State is winless (0-8) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .552

Kent State is winless (0-15) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: .418

Kent State was winless (0-10) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .382

Matchup Notes for Kent State vs. Toledo

Kent State was winless (0-12) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .442

Kent State is winless (0-8) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .552

Kent State is winless (0-15) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: .418

Kent State was winless (0-10) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .382

Kent State RBs averaged just 2.4 Yards per Carry (140 yards/58 carries) in the 4th quarter last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

Kent State has gained 1,113 yards on 80 receptions (13.9 YPR) this season — 15th-best among FBS skill players. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

Kent State Skill Players averaged 24.1 yards per reception (313 yards/13 catches) with 4-6 yards to go last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3

Kent State’s QBs has thrown for 1,086 passing yards in 6 games (just 181.0 YPG) this season — 28th-worst among FBS teams. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 137.3 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.

Kent State has gained 1,113 yards on 80 receptions (13.9 YPR) this season — 15th-best among FBS skill players. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.

Kent State Offensive Stats & Trends

Kent State RBs averaged just 2.4 Yards per Carry (140 yards/58 carries) in the 4th quarter last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

Kent State has gained 1,113 yards on 80 receptions (13.9 YPR) this season — 15th-best among FBS skill players. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

Kent State Skill Players averaged 24.1 yards per reception (313 yards/13 catches) with 4-6 yards to go last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3

Kent State’s QBs has thrown for 1,086 passing yards in 6 games (just 181.0 YPG) this season — 28th-worst among FBS teams. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 137.3 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.

Kent State has gained 1,113 yards on 80 receptions (13.9 YPR) this season — 15th-best among FBS skill players. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.

Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends

Kent State was winless (0-12) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .442

Kent State is winless (0-8) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .552

Kent State is winless (0-15) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: .418

Kent State was winless (0-10) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .382

Kent State Defensive Stats & Trends

Kent State RBs averaged just 2.4 Yards per Carry (140 yards/58 carries) in the 4th quarter last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

Kent State has gained 1,113 yards on 80 receptions (13.9 YPR) this season — 15th-best among FBS skill players. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

Kent State Skill Players averaged 24.1 yards per reception (313 yards/13 catches) with 4-6 yards to go last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3

Kent State’s QBs has thrown for 1,086 passing yards in 6 games (just 181.0 YPG) this season — 28th-worst among FBS teams. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 137.3 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.

Kent State has gained 1,113 yards on 80 receptions (13.9 YPR) this season — 15th-best among FBS skill players. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.

Toledo Defensive Stats & Trends

Kent State was winless (0-12) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .442

Kent State is winless (0-8) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .552

Kent State is winless (0-15) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: .418

Kent State was winless (0-10) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .382


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