Kent State vs Buffalo U Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 26, 2022, 9:08 AM
  • Buffalo U (5-5) are -4 point favorites vs Kent State (4-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 53 points

The Kent State Golden Flashes (4-7) visit UB Stadium to take on the Buffalo Bulls (5-5) on Nov. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Buffalo.

Buffalo U are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -4 (-110).

The Kent State vs. Buffalo U Over/Under is 53 total points.

Bet now on Buffalo U vs Kent State & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Kent State vs. Buffalo U Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kent State+4 -11053 -110+150
Buffalo U -4 -11053 -110-185

Kent State vs Buffalo U Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Buffalo will win this game with 51.0% confidence.

Kent State vs Buffalo U Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Buffalo will cover the spread with 69.4% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Kent State and Buffalo U, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • Kent State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Kent State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Kent State have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Kent State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Kent State have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+6.05 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+5.05 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Buffalo have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)

Kent State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kent State has gone 4-7 against the spread this college football season (-3.65 Units / -30.42% ROI).

  • Kent State is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -29.91% ROI
  • Kent State is 3-8 when betting the Over for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI
  • Kent State is 8-3 when betting the Under for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI

Buffalo U Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Buffalo U has gone 6-3 against the spread this college football season (+2.7 Units / 0% ROI).

  • Buffalo U is 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 3.7% ROI
  • Buffalo U is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • Buffalo U is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

Buffalo U: Keys to the Game vs. Kent State

Buffalo is 2-10 (.167) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2021 season– tied for 12th-worst in FBS; Average: .448

Buffalo is 2-9 (.182) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season– tied for 15th-worst in FBS; Average: .497

Kent State Offensive Stats & Trends

Kent State Kickers have averaged 48.1 yards per kickoff (6,781 yards/141 kickoffs) since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 61.2

Kent State RBs have been targeted 1.7 times per game (41/24) since the 2021 season– tied for 3rd-lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

Kent State RBs have averaged just 0 yards per target (0 yards/7 targets) in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.9

Kent State Kickers have averaged touchbacks on 16% of kickoffs (22 touchbacks/141 kickoffs) since last season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 50%

Kent State RBs have been targeted 1.0 times per game (23/24) in the 1st half since last season– tied for 4th lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 2.3

Buffalo U Offensive Stats & Trends

Buffalo RBs have averaged 3.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (428 yards / 132 touches) on 1st down this season– tied for worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Buffalo QBs have fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Buffalo Skill Players have been targeted 179 times in close and late situations since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Buffalo RBs have averaged 10.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (325 yards / 31 touches) on third and 3-5 yards to go since last season– 5th best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.7

Buffalo RBs have picked up first downs on 12 receptions in close and late situations since last season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

Kent State Golden Flashes Defensive Stats & Trends

Kent State has allowed 303 first down receptions since last season– 2nd most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Kent State has allowed a Completion Pct of 69% (235 completions/340 attempts) — 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 60%

Kent State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 5 of 103 attempts (5%) on 3rd and long since last season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 10%

Kent State has allowed a Completion Pct of 84% (27 completions/32 attempts) on 3rd and short since last season– tied for 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 63%

Kent State has allowed 303 first down receptions since last season– 2nd most in FBS

Buffalo Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

Buffalo has allowed 10.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (183 yards / 17 touches) on 3rd and short this season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 5.1

Buffalo has allowed 10.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (183 yards / 17 touches) on 3rd and short this season– worst in FBS; Average: 4.8

Buffalo has allowed 15.0 yards per completion (5,010 yards/335 completions) since last season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 12.7

Buffalo has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 21 of their 314 carries (7%) this season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4%

Buffalo has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 45 of their 801 carries (6%) since last season– tied for 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 3%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.