Kentucky vs Auburn Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 10

General view of Jordan-Hare Stadium during the first half of an NCAA football game between Georgia and Auburn on Saturday, Sept. 30, 2023, in Auburn, Ala. (AP Photo/Stew Milne)
(AP Photo/Stew Milne)
  • Auburn is a -10.5 point favorite vs. Kentucky
  • Kentucky vs. Auburn Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
  • TV Channel: SECN

Kentucky (2-5) visit Jordan-Hare Stadium to take on Auburn (4-4) on Nov. 1 in Auburn, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

Auburn is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Kentucky vs. Auburn Over/Under is 45.5 total points.

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Kentucky vs. Auburn Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kentucky+10.5 -11045.5 -115320
Auburn -10.5 -11045.5 -105-425

Kentucky vs Auburn Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Auburn will win this game with 75.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Kentucky and Auburn, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Kentucky vs Auburn Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 59.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Kentucky has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+3.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Kentucky have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.35 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.25 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.50 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.25 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.25 Units / 0% ROI)

Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kentucky is 2-5 against the spread this college football season (-3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI).

  • Kentucky is 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -8.02% ROI
  • Kentucky is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 23.38% ROI
  • Kentucky is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -31.17% ROI

Auburn Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Auburn iss 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI).

  • Auburn is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.85 Units / -2.07% ROI
  • Auburn is 2-6 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
  • Auburn is 6-2 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI

Kentucky: Keys to the Game vs. Auburn

Auburn was winless (0-5) when in a one score game last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Auburn was winless (0-6) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

Auburn is winless (0-3) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .420

Auburn was 3-6 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .479

Auburn: Keys to the Game vs. Kentucky

Kentucky WRs have averaged just 5.8 yards per reception (58 yards/10 catches) on 3rd and long this season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 14.1

Kentucky’s TEs has gained 391 yards on 28 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — 4th-best among SEC TEs. Auburn’s defense has allowed 12.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-worst among SEC defenses.

Kentucky’s WRs has averaged 14.3 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS WRs. Auburn’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC since the 2024 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Kentucky WRs caught just 114 of 220 passes(52% Reception Pct) last season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 61%

Kentucky’s RBs has averaged just 5.8 yards after the catch this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS RBs. Auburn’s defense has allowed just 4.8 RAC to RBs this season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.

Matchup Notes for Kentucky vs. Auburn

Kentucky WRs have averaged just 5.8 yards per reception (58 yards/10 catches) on 3rd and long this season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 14.1

Kentucky’s TEs has gained 391 yards on 28 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — 4th-best among SEC TEs. Auburn’s defense has allowed 12.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-worst among SEC defenses.

Kentucky’s WRs has averaged 14.3 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS WRs. Auburn’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC since the 2024 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Kentucky WRs caught just 114 of 220 passes(52% Reception Pct) last season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 61%

Kentucky’s RBs has averaged just 5.8 yards after the catch this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS RBs. Auburn’s defense has allowed just 4.8 RAC to RBs this season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.

Auburn was winless (0-5) when in a one score game last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Auburn was winless (0-6) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

Auburn is winless (0-3) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .420

Auburn was 3-6 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .479

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends

Auburn was winless (0-5) when in a one score game last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Auburn was winless (0-6) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

Auburn is winless (0-3) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .420

Auburn was 3-6 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .479

Auburn Offensive Stats & Trends

Kentucky WRs have averaged just 5.8 yards per reception (58 yards/10 catches) on 3rd and long this season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 14.1

Kentucky’s TEs has gained 391 yards on 28 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — 4th-best among SEC TEs. Auburn’s defense has allowed 12.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-worst among SEC defenses.

Kentucky’s WRs has averaged 14.3 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS WRs. Auburn’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC since the 2024 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Kentucky WRs caught just 114 of 220 passes(52% Reception Pct) last season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 61%

Kentucky’s RBs has averaged just 5.8 yards after the catch this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS RBs. Auburn’s defense has allowed just 4.8 RAC to RBs this season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends

Auburn was winless (0-5) when in a one score game last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Auburn was winless (0-6) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

Auburn is winless (0-3) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .420

Auburn was 3-6 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .479

Auburn Defensive Stats & Trends

Kentucky WRs have averaged just 5.8 yards per reception (58 yards/10 catches) on 3rd and long this season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 14.1

Kentucky’s TEs has gained 391 yards on 28 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — 4th-best among SEC TEs. Auburn’s defense has allowed 12.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-worst among SEC defenses.

Kentucky’s WRs has averaged 14.3 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS WRs. Auburn’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC since the 2024 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Kentucky WRs caught just 114 of 220 passes(52% Reception Pct) last season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 61%

Kentucky’s RBs has averaged just 5.8 yards after the catch this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS RBs. Auburn’s defense has allowed just 4.8 RAC to RBs this season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.


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