Kentucky vs Missouri Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 04, 2022, 9:15 AM
  • (3-6) are point favorites vs (3-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on SEC Network

The Kentucky Wildcats (6-3) visit Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium to take on the Missouri Tigers (4-5) on Nov. 5. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Columbia.

are betting favorites in Week 10, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Kentucky vs. Missouri is total points.

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Kentucky vs. Missouri Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 10

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kentucky
Missouri

Kentucky vs Missouri Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts predicted-winning-team will win this game with confidence-percentage confidence.

Kentucky vs Missouri Spread Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts spread-winning-team will cover the spread with spread-confidence confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Kentucky and Missouri, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Kentucky Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Kentucky players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player high – away 

Best Missouri Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Missouri players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player  high – home
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kentucky has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Kentucky is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Kentucky is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Kentucky is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Missouri Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Missouri has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Missouri is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Missouri is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Missouri is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Kentucky: Keys to the Game vs. Missouri

#19 Kentucky is 12-2 (.750) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — tied for 13th-best in FBS; Average: .511

#19 Kentucky is 1-6 (.143) when allowing 22 or more points — tied for 14th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .301

#19 Kentucky is undefeated (5-0) when averaging more than 5 yards per rush — 5th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .501

#19 Kentucky is 8-5 (.571) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — tied for 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .376

Missouri: Keys to the Game vs. Kentucky

Missouri is 3-9 (.250) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties — tied for 9th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .522

Missouri is 2-10 (.167) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .435

Missouri is 2-13 (.133) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2020 season– tied for 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .360

Missouri is 2-7 (.222) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — tied for 9th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .497

Matchup Notes for Kentucky vs. Missouri

Missouri’s TEs has 5 receptions in 7 games (just 0.7 per game) this season — tied for third-worst among P5 TEs. Tennessee’s defense has allowed 26.2 receptions per game this season — worst among P5 defenses.

Missouri’s TEs has 5 receptions in 7 games (just 0.7 per game) this season — tied for third-worst among P5 TEs. Tennessee’s defense has allowed 26.2 receptions per game this season — worst among SEC defenses.

Missouri’s TEs has 5 receptions in 7 games (just 0.7 per game) this season — tied for third-worst among P5 TEs. Tennessee’s defense has allowed 26.2 receptions per game this season — worst among FBS defenses.

Kentucky’s TEs has 4 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for fifth-most among P5 TEs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 10 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — most among SEC defenses.

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends

Kentucky have been sacked on 15% of pass attempts (31/213) this season– worst among Power 5 Offenses; Average: 6%

Kentucky have been sacked on 15% of pass attempts (31/213) this season– 3rd worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 7%

Kentucky RBs have averaged 6.1 Yards per Carry (827 yards/136 carries) in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Kentucky WRs have 8 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– tied for 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

Kentucky Skill Players have 9 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– tied for 4th most among Power 5 Teams

Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends

Missouri WRs have averaged a touchdown every 38.0 receptions (114 Rec/3 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.8

Missouri WRs have averaged a touchdown every 38.0 receptions (114 Rec/3 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.1

Missouri WRs have averaged a touchdown every 25.8 receptions (309 Rec/12 TDs) since last season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.8

Missouri WRs have averaged a touchdown every 25.8 receptions (309 Rec/12 TDs) since last season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9

Missouri Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 29.4 receptions (147 Rec/5 TDs) this season– 4th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.6

Kentucky Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends

Kentucky has allowed 5 touchdowns on 135 completions (27.0 Completions Per TD) this season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 12.5

Kentucky has allowed 8.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (140 yards / 17 touches) on 3rd and short this season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.6

Kentucky opponents has averaged 45.0 Passing Attempts per TD (225 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) this season– 5th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 22.8

Kentucky has averaged a sack every 9.2 pass attempts (55 Pass Attempts/6 Sacks) in the Red Zone since last season– 5th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16.2

Kentucky has one interception and 2 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– tied for 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 8.1

Missouri Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

Missouri has allowed a passer rating of 173.0 in close and late situations (88.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 125.8

Missouri has allowed a passer rating of 173.0 in close and late situations (88.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 125.6

Missouri has allowed a Completion Pct of just 49% (66 completions/134 attempts) in the 1st half this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 62%

Missouri has allowed a Completion Pct of just 49% (66 completions/134 attempts) in the 1st half this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 61%

Missouri has not allowed a first down on any of their opponents’ 22 rush attempts on 3rd and long this season– tied for best in FBS; Average: 16%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.