Kentucky vs Tennessee Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 29, 2022, 12:30 PM
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The Kentucky Wildcats (5-3) visit Neyland Stadium to take on the Tennessee Volunteers (8-0) on Oct. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Knoxville.

are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Kentucky vs. Tennessee is total points.

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Kentucky vs. Tennessee Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 9

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kentucky
Tennessee

Kentucky vs Tennessee Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this game with 68.9% confidence.

Kentucky vs Tennessee Spread Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 50.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Kentucky and Tennessee, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Kentucky Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Kentucky players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player high – away 

Best Tennessee Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Tennessee players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player  high – home
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kentucky has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Kentucky is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Kentucky is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Kentucky is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tennessee has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Tennessee is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Tennessee is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Tennessee is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Kentucky: Keys to the Game vs. Tennessee

#19 Kentucky is 8-1 (.800) when allowing less than 3 sacks — 12th-best in FBS; Average: .552

#19 Kentucky is 7-1 (.700) when allowing less than 3 sacks — 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .462

#19 Kentucky is 11-2 (.733) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — tied for 15th-best in FBS; Average: .510

#19 Kentucky is 8-2 (.533) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — 15th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .422

Tennessee: Keys to the Game vs. Kentucky

#8 Tennessee is 2-13 (.118) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2020 season– 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .350

#8 Tennessee is 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2020 season– 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .319

#3 Tennessee is 9-2 (.750) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — 9th-best in FBS; Average: .435

#8 Tennessee is 3-10 (.231) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2020 season– tied for 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .392

Matchup Notes for Kentucky vs. Tennessee

Tennessee’s offense has thrown for 2,478 passing yards in 7 games (354.0 YPG) this season — second-best among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 184.1 passing yards per game this season — second-best among SEC defenses.

Tennessee has gained 5,820 yards on 400 receptions (14.6 YPR) since the 2021 season — best among Power 5 skill players. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — second-best among P5 defenses.

Tennessee has gained 2,478 yards on 157 receptions (15.8 YPR) this season — best among Power 5 skill players. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — third-best among SEC defenses.

Kentucky’s TEs has 58 receptions in 20 games (just 2.9 per game) since the 2021 season — fifth-best among SEC TEs. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 16.2 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among P5 defenses.

Kentucky has 368 receptions in 20 games (just 18.4 per game) since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among SEC skill players. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 16.2 receptions per game since the 2021 season — second-best among SEC defenses.

Kentucky have just 226.4 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among SEC skill players. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 205.4 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among SEC defenses.

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends

#19 Kentucky WRs have 7 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

Kentucky’s TEs has 58 receptions in 20 games (just 2.9 per game) since the 2021 season — fifth-best among SEC TEs. Missouri’s defense has allowed just 16.2 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among P5 defenses.

#19 Kentucky QBs have 10 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

#19 Kentucky RBs have averaged 6.6 Yards per Carry (760 yards/116 carries) in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

#19 Kentucky RBs have averaged 7.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (899 yards / 129 touches) in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends

Tennessee’s offense has thrown for 2,478 passing yards in 7 games (354.0 YPG) this season — second-best among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 184.1 passing yards per game this season — second-best among SEC defenses.

Tennessee has gained 5,820 yards on 400 receptions (14.6 YPR) since the 2021 season — best among Power 5 skill players. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — second-best among P5 defenses.

Tennessee has gained 2,478 yards on 157 receptions (15.8 YPR) this season — best among Power 5 skill players. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — third-best among SEC defenses.

Tennessee’s QBs has thrown for 2,464 passing yards in 7 games (352.0 YPG) this season — fourth-best among FBS teams. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 184.1 passing yards per game this season — second-best among SEC defenses.

Tennessee has gained 5,820 yards on 400 receptions (14.6 YPR) since the 2021 season — best among SEC skill players. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — second-best among P5 defenses.

Kentucky Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends

#19 Kentucky opponents has averaged 87.5 Passing Attempts per TD (175 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 20.9

#19 Kentucky opponents has averaged 87.5 Passing Attempts per TD (175 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 23.8

#19 Kentucky has allowed 2 touchdowns on 99 completions (49.5 Completions Per TD) this season– best in FBS; Average: 12.7

#19 Kentucky has not allowed a first down on a pass in the Red Zone this season– tied for best in FBS; Average: 22%

#19 Kentucky has allowed 1.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (32 yards / 18 touches) in the Red Zone this season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 3.7

Tennessee Volunteers Defensive Stats & Trends

Opponents have averaged 29.8 completions per game (149 / 5) against #3 Tennessee this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 19.7

#3 Tennessee’s opponents has attempted 45.8 passes per game this season– highest among Power 5 Teams; Average: 33.0

#3 Tennessee has allowed 300.5 Passing Yards per game (5,409/18) since last season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 240.0

#3 Tennessee’s opponents has attempted 45.8 passes per game this season– highest in FBS; Average: 31.8

Opponents have averaged 24.9 completions per game (449 / 18) against #3 Tennessee since last season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 19.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.