- The Texas A&M Aggies are a -15 point favorite vs. the Kentucky Wildcats
- Kentucky vs. Texas A&M Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN | DIS+
Kentucky (1-1) visit Kyle Field to take on Texas A&M (2-0) on Sep. 19 in College Station, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm.
The Texas A&M Aggies are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -15 (-135).
The Kentucky vs. Texas A&M Over/Under is 48.5 total points.
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Kentucky vs. Texas A&M Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Kentucky | +15 +100 | 48.5 +100 | +600 |
| Texas A&M | -15 -135 | 48.5 -130 | -800 |
Kentucky vs Texas A&M Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Texas A&M will win this game with 81.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Kentucky Wildcats and the Texas A&M Aggies, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Kentucky vs Texas A&M Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas A&M will cover the spread with 66.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Kentucky Best Bets Today
- Kentucky has hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.37 Units / 19% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.95 Units / 18% ROI)
Texas A&M Best Bets Today
- Texas A&M has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+44.55 Units / 143% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.60 Units / 17% ROI)
Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kentucky Wildcats is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.35% ROI).
- Kentucky is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Kentucky is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Kentucky is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Texas A&M Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas A&M Aggies is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Texas A&M is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 14.71% ROI
- Texas A&M is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Texas A&M is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Kentucky: Keys to the Game vs. Texas A&M
Kentucky was 1-8 (.111) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481
Kentucky was 2-8 (.200) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .515
Kentucky was 1-8 (.111) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .442
Kentucky was 1-7 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462
Texas A&M: Keys to the Game vs. Kentucky
Texas A&M was 7-1 (.875) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .628
Texas A&M was 8-1 (.800) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-25th-best in FBS; Average: .624
Texas A&M was 1-5 (.167) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2023 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .450
Texas A&M was 7-1 (.875) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– 10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659
Matchup Notes for Kentucky vs. Texas A&M
Texas A&M’s WRs gained 2,671 yards on 176 receptions (15.2 YPR) last season — 13th-best among FBS WRs. Kentucky’s defense allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas A&M’s offense threw for 3,378 passing yards in 13 games (259.8 YPG) last season — 32nd-best among FBS offenses. Kentucky’s defense allowed 239.9 passing yards per game last season — 32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas A&M gained 3,378 yards on 248 receptions (13.6 YPR) last season — 4th-best among SEC skill players. Kentucky’s defense allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kentucky’s RBs averaged just 5.6 yards after the catch last season — T-12th-worst among FBS RBs. Texas A&M’s defense allowed just 10.6 RAC last season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
Kentucky’s TEs gained 567 yards on 45 receptions (12.6 YPR) last season — 5th-best among SEC TEs. Texas A&M’s defense allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception last season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Kentucky gained 2,423 yards on 229 receptions (just 10.6 YPR) last season — 3rd-worst among SEC skill players. Texas A&M’s defense allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception last season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends
Kentucky WRs caught just 114 of 220 passes(52% Reception Pct) last season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 61%
Kentucky’s RBs averaged just 5.6 yards after the catch last season — T-12th-worst among FBS RBs. Texas A&M’s defense allowed just 10.6 RAC last season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
Kentucky’s TEs gained 567 yards on 45 receptions (12.6 YPR) last season — 5th-best among SEC TEs. Texas A&M’s defense allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception last season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Kentucky gained 2,423 yards on 229 receptions (just 10.6 YPR) last season — 3rd-worst among SEC skill players. Texas A&M’s defense allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception last season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Kentucky had just 201.9 receiving yards per game last season — 3rd-worst among SEC skill players. Texas A&M’s defense allowed just 176.6 receiving yards per game last season — 3rd-best among SEC defenses.
Texas A&M Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas A&M threw 0 TDs on 60 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in close and late situations last season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.8
Texas A&M Skill Players had no touchdowns on 25 receptions in close and late situations last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.5
Texas A&M TEs averaged 17.8 yards per reception (71 yards/4 catches) with 4-6 yards to go last season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 9.7
Texas A&M WRs had no touchdowns on 28 receptions in close and late situations last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.5
Texas A&M’s WRs gained 2,671 yards on 176 receptions (15.2 YPR) last season — 13th-best among FBS WRs. Kentucky’s defense allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends
Kentucky’s opponents attempted just 23.2 passes per game last season– lowest in the SEC; Average: 29.8
Kentucky opponents did not attempt a two-point conversion (39 PATs) last season– lowest in the SEC; Average: 7%
Kentucky’s opponents attempted just 23.2 passes per game last season– lowest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 31.0
Kentucky allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 2 of 48 attempts (4%) on 3rd and long last season– best in the SEC; Average: 8%
Kentucky tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 37 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.
Texas A&M Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas A&M did not record a sack (40 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 13.7
Texas A&M allowed 10.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (193 yards / 18 touches) on 3rd and short last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.0
Texas A&M tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 19 rushing attempts (32% TFL%) on 3rd and short in the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 10%.
Texas A&M intercepted 3 of 379 attempts (126.3 pass attempts per int.) last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 39.4
Texas A&M allowed 10.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (193 yards / 18 touches) on 3rd and short last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 5.0
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