Liberty vs Arkansas Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 04, 2022, 9:39 AM
  • (3-6) are point favorites vs (3-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on SEC Network

The Liberty Flames (8-1) visit Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks (5-4) on Nov. 5. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Fayetteville.

are betting favorites in Week 10, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Liberty vs. Arkansas is total points.

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Liberty vs. Arkansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 10

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Liberty
Arkansas

Liberty vs Arkansas Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts predicted-winning-team will win this game with confidence-percentage confidence.

Liberty vs Arkansas Spread Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts spread-winning-team will cover the spread with spread-confidence confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Liberty and Arkansas, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Liberty Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Liberty players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player high – away 

Best Arkansas Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Arkansas players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player  high – home
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Liberty Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Liberty has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Liberty is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Liberty is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Liberty is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Arkansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arkansas has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Arkansas is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Arkansas is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Arkansas is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Liberty: Keys to the Game vs. Arkansas

Liberty is undefeated (6-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks — tied for 7th-best in FBS; Average: .552

Liberty is 10-4 (.714) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — tied for 9th-best in FBS; Average: .420

Liberty is 9-1 (.900) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .497

Arkansas: Keys to the Game vs. Liberty

Arkansas is 2-7 (.200) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2020 season– tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .392

Arkansas is 4-11 (.250) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2020 season– tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .465

Arkansas is 4-12 (.235) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2020 season– 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .434

Arkansas is 4-13 (.222) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2020 season– 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .419

Matchup Notes for Liberty vs. Arkansas

Arkansas’s RBs has gained 348 yards on 26 receptions (13.4 YPR) this season — tied for fourth-best among FBS RBs. LSU’s defense has allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception this season — third-worst among SEC defenses.

There are no matchup notes available for this game

Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends

#19 Liberty Skill Players have 29 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since last season– most among FBS Teams

#19 Liberty Skill Players have averaged 16.7 yards per reception (1,339 yards/80 catches) in the 4th quarter since last season– 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1

#19 Liberty WRs have 18 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

#19 Liberty Skill Players have 13 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

#19 Liberty QBs have 9 completions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends

Arkansas TEs have caught 4 touchdown passes in close and late situations since last season– tied for 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

Arkansas QBs have 9 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Arkansas RBs have picked up first downs on 7 receptions on 3rd down this season– tied for 5th most among FBS Teams

Arkansas QBs have rushed for 140 yards in close and late situations this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Arkansas’s RBs has gained 348 yards on 26 receptions (13.4 YPR) this season — tied for fourth-best among FBS RBs. LSU’s defense has allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception this season — third-worst among SEC defenses.

Liberty Flames Defensive Stats & Trends

#19 Liberty has tackled opponents for a loss on 74 of 294 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) this season– tied for best in FBS; Average: 16%.

#19 Liberty has tackled opponents for a loss on 74 of 294 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) this season– tied for best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

#19 Liberty has allowed a passer rating of just 115.5 (247.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 5th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 135.4

#19 Liberty has allowed 8.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (155 yards / 19 touches) on 3rd and short this season– tied for 4th worst in FBS; Average: 4.9

#19 Liberty has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (29/247) this season– 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

Arkansas Razorbacks Defensive Stats & Trends

Arkansas defense has allowed 41 completions for 20 or more yards this season– tied for fewest in FBS

Arkansas has allowed 340.0 Passing Yards per game (2,720/8) this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 239.7

Arkansas has allowed 41 receptions for 20+ yards this season– tied for fewest among Power 5 Teams

Arkansas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 35 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

Arkansas has allowed 340.0 Passing Yards per game (2,720/8) this season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 240.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.