- Liberty (8-1) are -14.5 point favorites vs Connecticut (5-5)
- Total (Over/Under): 45 points
- Watch the game on CBS Sports Network
The Liberty Flames (8-3) visit Pratt and Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field to take on the UConn Huskies (6-6) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in East Hartford.
– are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().
The Over/Under for Liberty vs. Connecticut is total points.
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Liberty vs. Connecticut Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 11
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Liberty | |||
| Connecticut |
Liberty vs Connecticut Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Liberty will win this game with 62% confidence.
Liberty vs Connecticut Spread Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Liberty will cover the spread with 51% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Liberty and Connecticut, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Liberty Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Liberty has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+11.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.79 Units / 42% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+8.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
Connecticut Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Connecticut has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+14.15 Units / 118% ROI)
- Connecticut has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+10.05 Units / 65% ROI)
- Connecticut has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- Connecticut have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- Connecticut has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 4 games (+5.75 Units / 62% ROI)
Liberty Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Liberty has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Liberty is 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.35 Units / 36.77% ROI
- Liberty is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
- Liberty is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
Connecticut Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Connecticut has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Connecticut is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.15 Units / 101.15% ROI
- Connecticut is 2-6 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -46.46% ROI
- Connecticut is 6-2 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 38.38% ROI
Liberty: Keys to the Game vs. Connecticut
Liberty is undefeated (6-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks — tied for 7th-best in FBS; Average: .552
Liberty is 10-4 (.714) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — tied for 9th-best in FBS; Average: .420
Liberty is 9-1 (.900) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .497
Connecticut: Keys to the Game vs. Liberty
UConn is 1-9 (.100) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — tied for 7th-worst in FBS; Average: .497
UConn is winless (0-13) when allowing 22 or more points — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .284
UConn is winless (0-10) when not forcing a fumble — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .441
UConn is winless (0-7) when intercepting no passes — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .353
Matchup Notes for Liberty vs. Connecticut
UConn’s WRs have just 86.4 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among FBS WRs. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 191.2 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among NonP5 defenses.
Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends
#19 Liberty Skill Players have 29 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since last season– most among FBS Teams
#19 Liberty Skill Players have averaged 16.7 yards per reception (1,339 yards/80 catches) in the 4th quarter since last season– 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1
#19 Liberty WRs have 18 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams
#19 Liberty Skill Players have 13 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among FBS Teams
#19 Liberty QBs have 9 completions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– tied for most among FBS Teams
Connecticut Offensive Stats & Trends
UConn RBs have no touchdowns on 74 receptions since last season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 20.8
UConn WRs have fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for most among FBS Teams
UConn QBs have averaged 124.9 Passing Yards per game (999/8) this season– 5th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 247.7
UConn Skill Players have averaged just 8.6 yards per reception (584 yards/68 catches) in the 4th quarter since last season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1
UConn has averaged 113.1 Passing Yards per game (905/8) this season– 5th worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 235.4*
Liberty Flames Defensive Stats & Trends
#19 Liberty has tackled opponents for a loss on 74 of 294 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) this season– tied for best in FBS; Average: 16%.
#19 Liberty has tackled opponents for a loss on 74 of 294 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) this season– tied for best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.
#19 Liberty has allowed a passer rating of just 115.5 (247.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 5th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 135.4
#19 Liberty has allowed 8.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (155 yards / 19 touches) on 3rd and short this season– tied for 4th worst in FBS; Average: 4.9
#19 Liberty has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (29/247) this season– 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%
UConn Huskies Defensive Stats & Trends
UConn has allowed one passing TD (22 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– best in FBS; Average: 4.0
UConn has allowed one passing TD (22 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.8
UConn opponents has averaged 51.2 Passing Attempts per TD (256 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 18.9
UConn opponents has averaged 51.2 Passing Attempts per TD (256 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 20.7
UConn has allowed 5 touchdowns on 161 completions (32.2 Completions Per TD) this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 12.5
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