- The Liberty Flames are a -7.5 point favorite vs. the Delaware Fightin´ Blue Hens
- Liberty vs. Delaware Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
- TV Channel: CBSN
Liberty (3-1) visit Delaware Stadium to take on Delaware (2-2) on Oct. 2 in Newark, DE. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Liberty Flames are betting favorites in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-108).
The Liberty vs. Delaware Over/Under is 49.5 total points.
Bet now on Delaware Fightin´ Blue Hens vs Liberty Flames & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Liberty vs. Delaware Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Liberty | -7.5 -108 | 49.5 -105 | -285 |
| Delaware | +7.5 -112 | 49.5 -112 | +230 |
Liberty vs Delaware Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Liberty will win this game with 60.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Liberty Flames and the Delaware Fightin´ Blue Hens, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Liberty vs Delaware Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Liberty will cover the spread with 52.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Delaware Fightin´ Blue Hens vs Liberty Flames and all games with BetMGM
Liberty Best Bets Today
- Liberty have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- Liberty have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.30 Units / 18% ROI)
Delaware Best Bets Today
- Delaware has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+8.35 Units / 9% ROI)
- Delaware has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.45 Units / 11% ROI)
- Delaware have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 60% ROI)
- Delaware has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- Delaware has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.30 Units / 29% ROI)
Liberty Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Liberty Flames is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Liberty is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 3.73% ROI
- Liberty is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.25 Units / -5.62% ROI
- Liberty is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.6% ROI
Delaware Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Delaware Fightin´ Blue Hens is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.95 Units / 44.83% ROI).
- Delaware is 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Delaware is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Delaware is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
Liberty: Keys to the Game vs. Delaware
Liberty is 3-7 (.300) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-27th-worst in FBS; Average: .497
Liberty is 3-6 (.333) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .463
Liberty was undefeated (6-0) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .438
Liberty was 2-4 (.286) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .454
Delaware: Keys to the Game vs. Liberty
Delaware is 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2024 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .440
Delaware is 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2024 season– T-10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385
Delaware is 7-1 (.875) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2024 season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .639
Delaware is 7-1 (.875) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2024 season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .683
Matchup Notes for Liberty vs. Delaware
Delaware’s WRs has 303 receptions in 17 games (17.8 per game) since the 2024 season — 6th-best among FBS WRs. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 16.0 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 4th-best among NonP5 defenses.
Delaware’s WRs has 303 receptions in 17 games (17.8 per game) since the 2024 season — 6th-best among FBS WRs. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 11.1 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
Delaware’s WRs has 303 receptions in 17 games (17.8 per game) since the 2024 season — 6th-best among FBS WRs. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 16.0 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 6th-best among FBS defenses.
Liberty’s WRs has averaged 14.6 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-13th-best among FBS WRs. Delaware’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC since the 2024 season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.
Liberty has averaged 13.6 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 8th-best among FBS skill players. Delaware’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC since the 2024 season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.
Liberty’s WRs has 256 receptions in 28 games (just 9.1 per game) since the 2024 season — T-12th-worst among FBS WRs. Delaware’s defense has allowed 20.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends
Liberty have averaged 20.5 yards per completion (205 yards/10 completions) in the 4th quarter this season– T-5th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.8
Liberty have averaged 16.5 yards per completion (873 yards/53 completions) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– 3rd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.7
Liberty have averaged 20.5 yards per reception (205 yards/10 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– T-5th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.8
Liberty RBs have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Liberty WRs have averaged 20.0 yards per reception (679 yards/34 catches) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.5
Delaware Offensive Stats & Trends
Delaware Skill Players caught just 7 of 25 passes(28% Reception Pct) last week– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 65%
Delaware RBs have averaged 16.7 yards per reception (150 yards/9 catches) this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.9
Delaware WRs have 20 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– T-most among FBS Teams
Delaware QBs have 18 completions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations since the 2024 season– most among FBS Teams
Delaware Skill Players have averaged 27.2 yards per reception (109 yards/4 catches) in close and late situations this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.8
Liberty Defensive Stats & Trends
Liberty has allowed a Completion Pct of just 49% (55 completions/111 attempts) this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%
The Liberty defense has not allowed scores on any opponent drives (14 drives) in the 4th quarter this season– best in FBS; Average: 23%
Liberty did not record a sack (56 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1
Liberty did not allow a first down on any of their opponents’ 25 rush attempts on 3rd and long last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 18%
Liberty did not record a sack (56 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4
Delaware Defensive Stats & Trends
Delaware allowed 5 TD passes last week– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Delaware allowed 5 TD passes last week– most in FBS
Delaware has sacked opponents 8 times on 1st down this season– T-most in FBS
Delaware has averaged 3.8 sacks per game this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.8
Delaware allowed 20 first down receptions last week– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Bet now on Delaware Fightin´ Blue Hens vs Liberty Flames and all games with BetMGM
More College Football Betting at BetMGM
College football betting is available at the online sportsbook throughout the season.
Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Indiana football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State odds this week, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.
Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
