- James Madison Dukes is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Liberty Flames
- Liberty vs. James Madison Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPNU
Liberty (0-0) visit Bridgeforth Stadium/Zane Showker Field to take on James Madison (0-0) on Sep. 5 in Harrisonburg, VA. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 pm.
The James Madison Dukes are betting favorites in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-108).
The Liberty vs. James Madison Over/Under is 50.5 total points.
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Liberty vs. James Madison Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Liberty | +6.5 -110 | 50.5 -110 | +188 |
| James Madison | -6.5 -108 | 50.5 -108 | -225 |
Liberty vs James Madison Prediction:
The winning team model predicts James Madison will win this game with 62.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Liberty Flames and James Madison Dukes, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Liberty vs James Madison Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts James Madison will cover the spread with 55.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on James Madison Dukes vs Liberty Flames and all games with BetMGM
Liberty Best Bets Today
- Liberty have covered the 1H Spread in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+6.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Liberty have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.30 Units / 49% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
James Madison Best Bets Today
- James Madison has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 12 games (+10.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- James Madison has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 65% ROI)
- James Madison has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- James Madison has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- James Madison has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
Liberty: Keys to the Game vs. James Madison
Liberty was undefeated (6-0) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .399
Liberty was undefeated (6-0) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .438
Liberty was undefeated (9-0) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .474
Liberty was 4-1 (.800) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .643
James Madison: Keys to the Game vs. Liberty
James Madison was 10-2 (.833) when rushing for more than 100 yards last season– T-5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572
James Madison was 10-1 (.909) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .591
James Madison was 9-3 (.750) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .584
James Madison was 10-2 (.833) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .604
Matchup Notes for Liberty vs. James Madison
James Madison’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.2% of 385 attempts last season — T-25th-best among FBS offenses. Liberty’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.5% of attempts last season — 26th-worst among FBS defenses.
James Madison had 225 receptions in 14 games (just 16.1 per game) last season — T-28th-worst among FBS skill players. Liberty’s defense allowed just 16.9 receptions per game last season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
James Madison’s RBs had 33.4 receiving yards per game last season — 35th-best among FBS RBs. Liberty’s defense allowed just 19.4 receiving yards per game to RBs last season — 33rd-best among FBS defenses.
Liberty’s RBs averaged 12.1 yards after the catch last season — 5th-best among FBS RBs. James Madison’s defense allowed just 6.2 RAC to RBs last season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.
Liberty’s WRs had just 122.7 receiving yards per game last season — 25th-worst among FBS WRs. James Madison’s defense allowed just 181.6 receiving yards per game last season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.
Liberty’s WRs had just 122.7 receiving yards per game last season — 25th-worst among FBS WRs. James Madison’s defense allowed just 137.8 receiving yards per game to WRs last season — 33rd-best among FBS defenses.
Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends
Liberty threw 6 interceptions in close and late situations last season– T-most among FBS Offenses
Liberty RBs averaged 196.7 rushing yards per game (2,360/12) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 125.9
Liberty RBs rushed for 517 yards in close and late situations last season– most among FBS Teams
Liberty RBs averaged 7.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (961 yards / 129 touches) on 2nd down last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3
Liberty averaged 15.5 yards per reception (668 yards/43 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– 5th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.7
James Madison Offensive Stats & Trends
James Madison RBs averaged 8.2 Yards per Carry (742 yards/91 carries) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
James Madison RBs averaged 8.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (863 yards / 100 touches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4
James Madison’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.2% of 385 attempts last season — T-25th-best among FBS offenses. Liberty’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.5% of attempts last season — 26th-worst among FBS defenses.
James Madison QBs rushed for 7 TDs in the 4th quarter last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
James Madison WRs averaged just 8.3 yards per reception (208 yards/25 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2
Liberty Defensive Stats & Trends
Liberty did not record a sack (56 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1
Liberty allowed 12 TDs in close and late situations last season– 4th-most in FBS
Liberty did not allow a first down on any of their opponents’ 25 rush attempts on 3rd and long last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 18%
Liberty did not record a sack (56 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4
Liberty tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 35 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.
James Madison Defensive Stats & Trends
James Madison allowed opponents to catch just 214 of 414 passes (52% Reception Pct) last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 62%
James Madison allowed 86.4 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 149.5
James Madison allowed a Completion Pct of just 51% (214 completions/417 attempts) last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 62%
James Madison allowed a Completion Pct of just 51% (214 completions/417 attempts) last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
James Madison allowed 266.6 yards from scrimmage per game last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 383.0
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