Liberty vs New Mexico State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 2

Liberty was undefeated (6-0) when they have committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .378

Liberty was undefeated (13-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .427

Liberty was undefeated (6-0) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .404

Liberty was undefeated (7-0) when passing for more than 200 yards in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .413

New Mexico State is 11-5 (.524) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– T-14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .420

New Mexico State was 7-3 (.583) when allowing less than 3 sacks in the 2023 season– 13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .464

New Mexico State was 7-2 (.636) when not losing a fumble in the 2023 season– 12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .424

New Mexico State is 8-3 (.571) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2022 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .486

New Mexico State had just 189.3 receiving yards per game last season — 32nd-worst among FBS skill players. Liberty’s defense allowed 254.8 receiving yards per game last season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.

New Mexico State had 200 receptions in 15 games (just 13.3 per game) last season — T-10th-worst among FBS skill players. Liberty’s defense allowed 21.4 receptions per game last season — 21st-worst among FBS defenses.

New Mexico State’s QBs had 1 rushing touchdowns per game last season — T-31st-best among FBS teams. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 0.9 rushing touchdowns per game last season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.

Liberty’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 15.8% of 303 attempts last season — 6th-best among FBS offenses. New Mexico State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.2% of attempts last season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.

Liberty’s RBs had just 10.4 receiving yards per game last season — 13th-worst among FBS RBs. New Mexico State’s defense allowed 42.3 receiving yards per game to RBs last season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Liberty’s RBs had just 10.4 receiving yards per game last season — 13th-worst among FBS RBs. New Mexico State’s defense allowed 249.2 receiving yards per game last season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Liberty Skill Players averaged 16.2 yards per reception (2,882 yards/178 catches) in the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1

Liberty WRs caught just 3 of 19 passes(16% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 53%

Liberty WRs averaged 22.8 yards per reception (411 yards/18 catches) with 4-6 yards to go in the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6

Liberty’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 15.8% of 303 attempts last season — 6th-best among FBS offenses. New Mexico State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.2% of attempts last season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.

Liberty rushed for 4,100 yards in the 2023 season– most among FBS Offenses

New Mexico State Skill Players have averaged 17.1 yards per reception (2,291 yards/134 catches) on 1st down since the 2022 season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.5

New Mexico State Skill Players have averaged just 12.3 receptions per game (357/29) since the 2022 season– 5th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.0

New Mexico State RBs averaged 13.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (145 yards / 11 touches) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 6.8

New Mexico State WRs have averaged 18.0 yards per reception (2,873 yards/160 catches) with 7-10 yards to go since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.6

New Mexico State RBs averaged 6.9 Yards per Carry (507 yards/73 carries) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– 6th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Liberty has sacked opposing QBs just once on 92 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 15.9

Liberty did not record a sack (56 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

Liberty did not record a sack (56 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4

Liberty has sacked opposing QBs just once on 92 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4

Liberty had 21 interceptions in the 2023 season– most in FBS

New Mexico State allowed 72 first down receptions on 1st down in the 2023 season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

New Mexico State intercepted 7 of 478 attempts (68.3 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: 36.7

New Mexico State has allowed a Completion Pct of 82% (23 completions/28 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

New Mexico State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 44% (40 completions/90 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-9th-best in FBS; Average: 54%

New Mexico State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 44% (40 completions/90 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%