Louisiana Tech vs Arkansas Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 13

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Arkansas tight end Luke Hasz (9) pulls in a touchdown reception in the second half of an NCAA college football game against LSU in Baton Rouge, La., Saturday, Sept. 23, 2023. LSU won 34-31. (AP Photo/Gerald Herbert)
(AP Photo/Gerald Herbert)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 22, 2024, 1:14 PM
  • Arkansas is a -21.5 point favorite vs. Louisiana Tech
  • Louisiana Tech vs. Arkansas Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (4-6) visit Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks (5-5) on Nov. 23 in Fayetteville, AR. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EST.

Arkansas is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -21.5 (-115).

The Louisiana Tech vs. Arkansas Over/Under is 49.5 total points.

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Louisiana Tech vs. Arkansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Louisiana Tech+21.5 -10549.5 -110+1000
Arkansas -21.5 -11549.5 -110-2000

Louisiana Tech vs Arkansas Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Arkansas will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Louisiana Tech and Arkansas, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Louisiana Tech vs Arkansas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisiana Tech will cover the spread with 87.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Louisiana Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+10.40 Units / 129% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.05 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games (+3.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.90 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Arkansas have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games (+1.20 Units / 4% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Louisiana Tech players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Louisiana Tech Player Prop Bets Today

  • Tru Edwards has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Eli Finley has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last away game (+1.05 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Omiri Wiggins has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Marlion Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Arkansas players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Arkansas Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Tyrone Broden has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Luke Hasz has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Braylen Russell has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Louisiana Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Louisiana Tech is 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.55 Units / 13.9% ROI).

  • Louisiana Tech is 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -19.51% ROI
  • Louisiana Tech is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • Louisiana Tech is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI

Arkansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arkansas is 7-3 against the spread this college football season (+3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI).

  • Arkansas is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 7.4% ROI
  • Arkansas is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Arkansas is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Louisiana Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Arkansas

Louisiana Tech is 1-9 (.100) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .405

Louisiana Tech is 3-10 (.231) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .505

Louisiana Tech is winless (0-13) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .284

Louisiana Tech is 3-14 (.176) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– 7th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Arkansas: Keys to the Game vs. Louisiana Tech

Arkansas is undefeated (6-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .697

Arkansas is 2-11 (.154) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .450

Arkansas is 3-11 (.214) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .489

Arkansas is winless (0-10) when losing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .439

Matchup Notes for Louisiana Tech vs. Arkansas

Arkansas’s QBs has thrown for 2,779 passing yards in 10 games (277.9 YPG) this season — 19th-best among FBS teams. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed just 187.3 passing yards per game this season — 26th-best among FBS defenses.

Arkansas’s WRs has gained 2,131 yards on 140 receptions (15.2 YPR) this season — T-17th-best among FBS WRs. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed just 11.4 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.

Arkansas has gained 2,778 yards on 203 receptions (13.7 YPR) this season — T-15th-best among FBS skill players. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception this season — 33rd-best among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Tech’s RBs has averaged just 6.2 yards after the catch this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS RBs. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 11.0 RAC to RBs this season — T-11th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Tech’s RBs has averaged just 6.2 yards after the catch this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS RBs. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 12.7 RAC this season — T-worst among SEC defenses.

Louisiana Tech’s RBs has averaged just 6.2 yards after the catch this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS RBs. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 12.7 RAC this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana Tech’s RBs has averaged just 6.2 yards after the catch this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS RBs. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 11.0 RAC to RBs this season — T-11th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Tech’s RBs has averaged just 6.2 yards after the catch this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS RBs. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 12.7 RAC this season — T-worst among SEC defenses.

Louisiana Tech’s RBs has averaged just 6.2 yards after the catch this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS RBs. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 12.7 RAC this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Tech Skill Players have fumbled 5 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

Louisiana Tech WRs have no touchdowns on 22 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.6

Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends

Arkansas TEs have averaged 21.2 yards per reception (297 yards/14 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.6

Arkansas QBs have fumbled 7 times in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

Arkansas TEs have averaged 26.3 yards per reception (158 yards/6 catches) in close and late situations since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.4

Arkansas WRs have averaged a touchdown every 28.0 receptions (140 Rec/5 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 10.6

Arkansas TEs have averaged 21.2 yards per reception (297 yards/14 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana Tech opponents has averaged 8.5 Passing Attempts per TD (17 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: 3.9

Louisiana Tech has intercepted 9 of 611 attempts (67.9 pass attempts per int.) since the 2023 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 36.5

Louisiana Tech has allowed a Completion Pct of just 35% (6 completions/17 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%

Louisiana Tech opponents has averaged 8.5 Passing Attempts per TD (17 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8

Louisiana Tech has intercepted 9 of 611 attempts (67.9 pass attempts per int.) since the 2023 season– 5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.7

Arkansas Razorbacks Defensive Stats & Trends

Arkansas has no interceptions and 23 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 8.7

Arkansas has no interceptions and 9 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 4.9

Arkansas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 57 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 11%.

Arkansas has allowed 19 TD passes this season– 2nd-most in the SEC

Arkansas has no interceptions and 23 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.