Louisiana Tech vs SMU Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 1

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(AP Photo/Paul Sancya)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 05, 2023, 1:31 PM
  • SMU is a -18.5 point favorite vs Louisiana Tech
  • Total (Over/Under): 65.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPNU

The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs visit Gerald J. Ford Stadium to take on the SMU Mustangs on Sep. 2. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in Dallas.

is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at ().

The Louisiana Tech vs. SMU Over/Under is total points.

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Louisiana Tech vs. SMU Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 1

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Louisiana Tech
SMU

Louisiana Tech vs SMU Prediction for Week 1

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts SMU will win this game with 89.6% confidence.

Louisiana Tech vs SMU Spread Prediction for Week 1

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisiana Tech will cover the spread with 67.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Louisiana Tech and SMU, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best SMU Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for SMU players for Week 1, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jordan Kerley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tyler Lavine has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+5.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • SMU have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.00 Units / 26% ROI)

Louisiana Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Louisiana Tech went against the spread last college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Louisiana Tech went 3-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -45.64% ROI
  • Louisiana Tech went 8-3 when betting the Over for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI
  • Louisiana Tech went 3-8 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI

SMU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

SMU went against the spread last college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • SMU went 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 0.73% ROI
  • SMU went 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
  • SMU went 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI

Louisiana Tech: Keys to the Game vs. SMU

Louisiana Tech is 2-8 (.200) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season– tied for 13th-worst in FBS; Average: .497

Louisiana Tech is 4-17 (.190) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2021 season– 14th-worst in FBS; Average: .452

Louisiana Tech is 2-10 (.167) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2021 season– tied for 13th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Louisiana Tech is 1-7 (.125) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: .513

SMU: Keys to the Game vs. Louisiana Tech

SMU was winless (0-6) when throwing at least 1 interception in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .355

Matchup Notes for Louisiana Tech vs. SMU

SMU’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.2% of 514 attempts in the 2022 season — tied for 22nd-best among FBS offenses. Louisiana Tech’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.6% of attempts in the 2022 season — tied for 31st-worst among FBS defenses.

SMU’s WRs had 242 receptions in 13 games (18.6 per game) in the 2022 season — 14th-best among FBS WRs. Louisiana Tech’s defense allowed just 11.4 receptions per game to WRs in the 2022 season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.

SMU’s RBs had 2 rushing touchdowns per game in the 2022 season — tied for 18th-best among FBS RBs. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed 2.9 rushing touchdowns per game in the 2022 season — second-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Louisiana Tech’s QBs has thrown for 6,648 passing yards in 24 games (277.0 YPG) since the 2021 season — 30th-best among FBS teams. SMU’s defense has allowed 264.7 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Tech’s offense has thrown for 6,353 passing yards in 24 games (264.7 YPG) since the 2021 season — 27th-best among FBS offenses. Florida International’s defense has allowed 268.6 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — 21st-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Tech’s offense has thrown for 6,353 passing yards in 24 games (264.7 YPG) since the 2021 season — 27th-best among FBS offenses. SMU’s defense has allowed 264.7 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana Tech’s QBs has thrown for 6,648 passing yards in 24 games (277.0 YPG) since the 2021 season — 30th-best among FBS teams. SMU’s defense has allowed 264.7 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Tech’s offense has thrown for 6,353 passing yards in 24 games (264.7 YPG) since the 2021 season — 27th-best among FBS offenses. Florida International’s defense has allowed 268.6 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — 21st-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Tech’s offense has thrown for 6,353 passing yards in 24 games (264.7 YPG) since the 2021 season — 27th-best among FBS offenses. SMU’s defense has allowed 264.7 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Tech’s offense threw for 3,202 passing yards in 12 games (266.8 YPG) in the 2022 season — 33rd-best among FBS offenses. Florida International’s defense allowed 270.5 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — tied for 25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Tech’s WRs had 205.9 receiving yards per game in the 2022 season — 27th-best among FBS WRs. Florida International’s defense allowed 260.8 receiving yards per game in the 2022 season — 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

SMU Offensive Stats & Trends

SMU QBs had 22 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down in the 2022 season– most among FBS Teams

SMU’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.2% of 514 attempts in the 2022 season — tied for 22nd-best among FBS offenses. Louisiana Tech’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.6% of attempts in the 2022 season — tied for 31st-worst among FBS defenses.

SMU QBs have 35 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down since the 2021 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

SMU WRs had 63 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 2022 season– tied for 2nd-most among FBS Teams

SMU TEs caught 9 touchdown passes in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for 3rd-most among FBS Teams

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana Tech allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 37 of their 478 carries (8%) in the 2022 season– worst in FBS; Average: 3%

Louisiana Tech has tackled opponents for a loss on just 109 of 920 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) since the 2021 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

Louisiana Tech allowed 7.0 Yards per Carry (1,688 yards/240 carries) on 1st down in the 2022 season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.5

Louisiana Tech allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 5 of 15 carries (33%) on 3rd and long in the 2022 season– tied for 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 17%

Louisiana Tech tackled opponents for a loss on just 47 of 478 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) in the 2022 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

SMU Mustangs Defensive Stats & Trends

SMU has tackled opponents for a loss on just 132 of 970 rushing attempts (14% TFL%) since the 2021 season– tied for 28th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

SMU allowed 6.5 Yards per Carry (1,544 yards/237 carries) on 1st down in the 2022 season– tied for 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 4.4

SMU tackled opponents for a loss on just 70 of 533 rushing attempts (13% TFL%) in the 2022 season– tied for 23rd-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

SMU tackled opponents for a loss on just 10 of 100 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for 23rd-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

SMU has tackled opponents for a loss on just 20 of 161 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– tied for 31st-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.