Louisiana vs USC Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 2

• USC Trojans is a -30.5 point favorite vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns
• Louisiana vs. USC Total (Over/Under): 59.5 points
• TV Channel: BTN

Louisiana (1-0) visit Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum to take on USC (2-0) on Sep. 12 in Los Angeles, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 11:00 pm.

The USC Trojans are betting favorites in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -30.5 (-110).

The Louisiana vs. USC Over/Under is 59.5 total points.

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Louisiana vs. USC Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Louisiana vs USC Prediction:

The winning team model predicts USC will win this game with 94.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns and the USC Trojans, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Louisiana vs USC Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisiana will cover the spread with 64.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Louisiana Best Bets Today

• Louisiana has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 55% ROI)
• Louisiana has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 40% ROI)
• Louisiana has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
• Louisiana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 56% ROI)
• Louisiana has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 away games (+1.35 Units / 41% ROI)

USC Best Bets Today

• USC has hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 11% ROI)
• USC has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+4.00 Units / 8% ROI)
• USC has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.75 Units / 35% ROI)
• USC has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
• USC has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.15 Units / 14% ROI)

Louisiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

• Louisiana is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 8.33% ROI
• Louisiana is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
• Louisiana is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

USC Against the Spread (ATS) Record

USC Trojans is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• USC is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 4.55% ROI
• USC is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
• USC is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Louisiana: Keys to the Game vs. USC

Louisiana was 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Louisiana was 9-2 (.818) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .570

Louisiana was 7-1 (.875) when they have committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .470

Louisiana was 9-1 (.900) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-9th-best in FBS; Average: .624

USC: Keys to the Game vs. Louisiana

USC is undefeated (10-0) when not throwing an interception since the 2024 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .699

USC was 2-5 (.250) when not forcing a fumble in the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .513

USC is 15-6 (.714) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2024 season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .530

USC is 12-5 (.706) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .521

Matchup Notes for Louisiana vs. USC

USC’s RBs averaged 9.6 yards after the catch last season — 25th-best among FBS RBs. Louisiana’s defense allowed just 6.3 RAC to RBs last season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

USC has gained 4,578 yards on 334 receptions (13.7 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-best among Big Ten skill players. Louisiana’s defense has allowed 12.7 Yards Per Reception to TEs since the 2024 season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.

USC has averaged 13.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-best among Big Ten skill players. Louisiana’s defense has allowed 12.7 RAC to TEs since the 2024 season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 7.6% of 341 attempts last season — T-16th-worst among FBS offenses. USC’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.1% of attempts last season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.

Louisiana’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 7.6% of 341 attempts last season — T-16th-worst among FBS offenses. USC’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.1% of attempts last season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

Louisiana’s RBs had just 16.5 receiving yards per game last season — 35th-worst among FBS RBs. USC’s defense allowed 29.5 receiving yards per game to RBs last season — 35th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Offensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 7.6% of 341 attempts last season — T-16th-worst among FBS offenses. USC’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.1% of attempts last season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.

Louisiana’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 7.6% of 341 attempts last season — T-16th-worst among FBS offenses. USC’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.1% of attempts last season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

Louisiana QBs rushed for 5 TDs in the 4th quarter last season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

Louisiana RBs averaged 5.7 Yards per Carry (2,055 yards/363 carries) last season– T-22nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Louisiana WRs averaged just 8.2 receptions per game (106/13) last season– 16th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.4

USC Offensive Stats & Trends

USC TEs gained no yards on 1 catches (0.0 YPR) on 3rd and long last season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.0

USC TEs averaged 17.4 yards per reception (365 yards/21 catches) on 1st down last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.0

USC TEs had no touchdowns on 5 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 2.3

USC WRs caught 9 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter last season– most among Big Ten Teams

USC TEs had no touchdowns on 33 receptions last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.6

Louisiana Defensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana allowed 7 TD passes in close and late situations last season– T-3rd-most in FBS

Louisiana allowed 11 TD passes in close and late situations in the 2023 season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Louisiana tackled opponents for a loss on just 64 of 516 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) last season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

Louisiana allowed a Completion Pct of just 25% (5 completions/20 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go in the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 55%

Louisiana allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 3 of 429 attempts (1%) last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%

USC Defensive Stats & Trends

USC tackled opponents for a loss on just 4 of 68 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.

USC tackled opponents for a loss on just 49 of 403 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) last season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

USC allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (9 completions/9 attempts) on 3rd and short in the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 60%

USC allowed a Completion Pct of 68% (296 completions/436 attempts) last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 61%

USC had no interceptions and 16 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 12.5

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