Louisville vs Clemson Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 11, 2022, 2:30 PM
  • Clemson (8-1) are -7 point favorites vs Louisville (6-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Louisville Cardinals (7-4) visit Memorial Stadium to take on the Clemson Tigers (10-1) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Clemson.

are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Louisville vs. Clemson is total points.

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Louisville vs. Clemson Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Louisville
Clemson

Louisville vs Clemson Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Clemson will win this game with 63.6% confidence.

Louisville vs Clemson Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisville will cover the spread with 58.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Louisville and Clemson, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Louisville Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Louisville players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Malik Cunningham has hit the TD Passes Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+7.75 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Malik Cunningham has hit the Passing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.65 Units / 55% ROI)

Best Clemson Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Clemson players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • DJ Uiagalelei has hit the Passing Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.40 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Joseph Ngata has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 57% ROI)
  • DJ Uiagalelei has hit the TD Passes Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+3.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • DJ Uiagalelei has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+7.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Moneyline in their last 4 games (+4.30 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Louisville have covered the Spread in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.00 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+4.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.95 Units / 17% ROI)

Louisville Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Louisville has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Louisville is 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.85 Units / -4.19% ROI
  • Louisville is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • Louisville is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Clemson Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Clemson has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Clemson is 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.2 Units / 8.2% ROI
  • Clemson is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Clemson is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

Louisville: Keys to the Game vs. Clemson

Louisville is 2-12 (.143) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2020 season– 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .450

Louisville is 2-15 (.118) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2020 season– tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .302

Louisville is 3-12 (.167) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2020 season– tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .361

Louisville is 4-13 (.235) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2020 season– 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .465

Clemson: Keys to the Game vs. Louisville

#5 Clemson is undefeated (8-0) when not throwing an interception — tied for best in FBS; Average: .578

#5 Clemson is undefeated (9-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .424

#5 Clemson is 11-3 (.786) when not losing a fumble since the 2020 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .457

#5 Clemson is 13-2 (.684) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .422

Matchup Notes for Louisville vs. Clemson

Louisville’s QBs has 1,544 rushing yards since the 2021 season — third-most among FBS teams. Clemson’s defense has allowed 2,123 rushing yards since the 2021 season — fewest among ACC defenses.

Louisville’s QBs has 1,544 rushing yards since the 2021 season — third-most among FBS teams. Clemson’s defense has allowed 2,123 rushing yards since the 2021 season — fourth-fewest among FBS defenses.

Louisville’s QBs has 22 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — most among FBS teams. Clemson’s defense has allowed 14 rushing TDs since the 2021 season — tied for second-fewest among P5 defenses.

Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends

Louisville QBs have rushed for 29 TDs since last season– most among FBS Teams

Louisville QBs have rushed for 10 TDs in the 1st quarter since last season– most among FBS Teams

Louisville QBs have rushed for 22 TDs in the Red Zone since last season– most among FBS Teams

Louisville QBs have averaged 73.5 rushing yards per game (1,544/21) since last season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 24.2

Louisville’s QBs has 1,544 rushing yards since the 2021 season — third-most among FBS teams. Clemson’s defense has allowed 2,123 rushing yards since the 2021 season — fewest among ACC defenses.

Clemson Offensive Stats & Trends

#12 Clemson WRs have caught 4 touchdown passes in close and late situations this season– tied for most among Power 5 Teams

#12 Clemson Skill Players have averaged just 6.4 yards per reception (141 yards/22 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.5

#12 Clemson Skill Players have fumbled 6 times in close and late situations since last season– tied for 3rd most among Power 5 Teams

#12 Clemson Skill Players have averaged just 6.4 yards per reception (141 yards/22 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.7

#12 Clemson WRs have averaged just 7.9 yards per reception (79 yards/10 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14.4

Louisville Cardinals Defensive Stats & Trends

Louisville has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (28/230) this season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 7%

Louisville has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (28/230) this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

Louisville has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 17 of their 294 carries (6%) this season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 3%

Louisville has intercepted 3 of 26 attempts (8.7 pass attempts per int.) in the Red Zone this season– tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 33.8

Louisville has averaged 1.50 interceptions per game (12/8) this season– tied for 5th best in FBS; Average: 0.84

Clemson Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

#12 Clemson opponents has averaged 39.3 Passing Attempts per TD (747 Pass Attempts/19 Passing TDs) since last season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 20.0

#12 Clemson opponents has averaged 39.3 Passing Attempts per TD (747 Pass Attempts/19 Passing TDs) since last season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 21.4

#12 Clemson has tackled opponents for a loss on 19 of 74 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 15%.

#12 Clemson has tackled opponents for a loss on 19 of 74 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

#12 Clemson has allowed 14 rushing TDs on 684 carries (48.9 Carries Per TD) since last season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 24.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.