- Miami Florida is a -13.5 point favorite vs. Louisville
- Louisville vs. Miami Florida Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
Louisville (4-1) visit Hard Rock Stadium to take on Miami Florida (5-0) on Oct. 17 in Miami, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
Miami Florida is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-115).
The Louisville vs. Miami Florida Over/Under is 50.5 total points.
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Louisville vs. Miami Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Louisville | +13.5 -105 | 50.5 -105 | 425 |
| Miami Florida | -13.5 -115 | 50.5 -115 | -600 |
Louisville vs Miami Florida Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Miami (FL) will win this game with 79.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Louisville and Miami Florida, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Louisville vs Miami Florida Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisville will cover the spread with 56.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Louisville Best Bets Today
- Louisville has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Louisville have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.95 Units / 6% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.60 Units / 11% ROI)
Miami Florida Best Bets Today
- Miami has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- Miami has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.20 Units / 6% ROI)
- Miami have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- Miami have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- Miami has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.50 Units / 16% ROI)
Louisville Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Louisville is 1-4 against the spread this college football season (-3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI).
- Louisville is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.65 Units / 2.11% ROI
- Louisville is 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
- Louisville is 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
Miami Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Miami Florida iss against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Miami Florida is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
- Miami Florida is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
- Miami Florida is when betting the Under for Units / ROI
Louisville: Keys to the Game vs. Miami Florida
Louisville has gained 1,445 yards on 129 receptions (just 11.2 YPR) this season — 3rd-worst among ACC skill players. Miami (FL)’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-2nd-best among ACC defenses.
Louisville’s offense has thrown for 1,445 passing yards in 5 games (289.0 YPG) this season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. Miami (FL)’s defense has allowed just 189.0 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among ACC defenses.
Louisville RBs have averaged 12.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (101 yards / 8 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.7
Louisville’s WRs has gained 1,097 yards on 87 receptions (just 12.6 YPR) this season — 3rd-worst among ACC WRs. Miami (FL)’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-2nd-best among ACC defenses.
Louisville’s QBs has thrown for 1,445 passing yards in 5 games (289.0 YPG) this season — 20th-best among FBS teams. Miami (FL)’s defense has allowed just 189.0 passing yards per game this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.
Miami Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Louisville
Miami (FL) was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668
Miami (FL) was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688
Miami (FL) is undefeated (12-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .709
Miami (FL) is 14-1 (.933) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– T-3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .662
Matchup Notes for Louisville vs. Miami Florida
Miami (FL) was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668
Miami (FL) was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688
Miami (FL) is undefeated (12-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .709
Miami (FL) is 14-1 (.933) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– T-3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .662
Louisville has gained 1,445 yards on 129 receptions (just 11.2 YPR) this season — 3rd-worst among ACC skill players. Miami (FL)’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-2nd-best among ACC defenses.
Louisville’s offense has thrown for 1,445 passing yards in 5 games (289.0 YPG) this season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. Miami (FL)’s defense has allowed just 189.0 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among ACC defenses.
Louisville RBs have averaged 12.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (101 yards / 8 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.7
Louisville’s WRs has gained 1,097 yards on 87 receptions (just 12.6 YPR) this season — 3rd-worst among ACC WRs. Miami (FL)’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-2nd-best among ACC defenses.
Louisville’s QBs has thrown for 1,445 passing yards in 5 games (289.0 YPG) this season — 20th-best among FBS teams. Miami (FL)’s defense has allowed just 189.0 passing yards per game this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.
Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends
Louisville has gained 1,445 yards on 129 receptions (just 11.2 YPR) this season — 3rd-worst among ACC skill players. Miami (FL)’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-2nd-best among ACC defenses.
Louisville’s offense has thrown for 1,445 passing yards in 5 games (289.0 YPG) this season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. Miami (FL)’s defense has allowed just 189.0 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among ACC defenses.
Louisville RBs have averaged 12.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (101 yards / 8 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.7
Louisville’s WRs has gained 1,097 yards on 87 receptions (just 12.6 YPR) this season — 3rd-worst among ACC WRs. Miami (FL)’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-2nd-best among ACC defenses.
Louisville’s QBs has thrown for 1,445 passing yards in 5 games (289.0 YPG) this season — 20th-best among FBS teams. Miami (FL)’s defense has allowed just 189.0 passing yards per game this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.
Miami Florida Offensive Stats & Trends
Miami (FL) was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668
Miami (FL) was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688
Miami (FL) is undefeated (12-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .709
Miami (FL) is 14-1 (.933) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– T-3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .662
Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends
Louisville has gained 1,445 yards on 129 receptions (just 11.2 YPR) this season — 3rd-worst among ACC skill players. Miami (FL)’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-2nd-best among ACC defenses.
Louisville’s offense has thrown for 1,445 passing yards in 5 games (289.0 YPG) this season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. Miami (FL)’s defense has allowed just 189.0 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among ACC defenses.
Louisville RBs have averaged 12.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (101 yards / 8 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.7
Louisville’s WRs has gained 1,097 yards on 87 receptions (just 12.6 YPR) this season — 3rd-worst among ACC WRs. Miami (FL)’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-2nd-best among ACC defenses.
Louisville’s QBs has thrown for 1,445 passing yards in 5 games (289.0 YPG) this season — 20th-best among FBS teams. Miami (FL)’s defense has allowed just 189.0 passing yards per game this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.
Miami Florida Defensive Stats & Trends
Miami (FL) was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668
Miami (FL) was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688
Miami (FL) is undefeated (12-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .709
Miami (FL) is 14-1 (.933) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– T-3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .662
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