Louisville vs Virginia Tech Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 10

Virginia Tech head coach Brent Pry watches as his team plays against Pittsburgh during the second half of an NCAA college football game, Saturday, Oct. 8, 2022, in Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh won 45-29. (AP Photo/Keith Srakocic)
(AP Photo/Keith Srakocic)
  • Louisville is a -10.5 point favorite vs. Virginia Tech
  • Louisville vs. Virginia Tech Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
  • TV Channel: CW

Louisville (6-1) visit Lane Stadium to take on Virginia Tech (3-5) on Nov. 1 in Blacksburg, VA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EDT.

Louisville is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Louisville vs. Virginia Tech Over/Under is 53.5 total points.

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Louisville vs. Virginia Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Louisville-10.5 -11053.5 -102-425
Virginia Tech +10.5 -11053.5 -118325

Louisville vs Virginia Tech Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Louisville will win this game with 65.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Louisville and Virginia Tech, key player performances this season and recent team trends.


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  • Louisville has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+5.45 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Louisville have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Louisville have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.05 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+2.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+1.80 Units / 18% ROI)

Louisville Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Louisville is 2-5 against the spread this college football season (-3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI).

  • Louisville is 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.05 Units / 5.7% ROI
  • Louisville is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • Louisville is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

Virginia Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Virginia Tech iss 2-6 against the spread this college football season (-4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI).

  • Virginia Tech is 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.55 Units / -33.33% ROI
  • Virginia Tech is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.57% ROI
  • Virginia Tech is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.45 Units / -5.08% ROI

Louisville: Keys to the Game vs. Virginia Tech

Louisville is undefeated (6-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .603

Louisville was 8-3 (.727) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– 35th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Louisville was 6-2 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Louisville is 11-2 (.846) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2024 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .436

Virginia Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Louisville

Virginia Tech RBs averaged 8.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (150 yards / 18 touches) on 3rd and short last season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

Virginia Tech’s offense has thrown for 1,515 passing yards in 8 games (just 189.4 YPG) this season — 32nd-worst among FBS offenses. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 181.0 passing yards per game this season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.

Virginia Tech’s TEs has 20 receptions in 8 games (just 2.5 per game) this season — 2nd-worst among ACC TEs. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 16.9 receptions per game this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

Virginia Tech’s offense has thrown for 1,515 passing yards in 8 games (just 189.4 YPG) this season — 32nd-worst among FBS offenses. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 181.0 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-best among ACC defenses.

Virginia Tech have just 189.5 receiving yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among ACC skill players. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 181.0 receiving yards per game this season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.

Matchup Notes for Louisville vs. Virginia Tech

Virginia Tech RBs averaged 8.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (150 yards / 18 touches) on 3rd and short last season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

Virginia Tech’s offense has thrown for 1,515 passing yards in 8 games (just 189.4 YPG) this season — 32nd-worst among FBS offenses. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 181.0 passing yards per game this season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.

Virginia Tech’s TEs has 20 receptions in 8 games (just 2.5 per game) this season — 2nd-worst among ACC TEs. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 16.9 receptions per game this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

Virginia Tech’s offense has thrown for 1,515 passing yards in 8 games (just 189.4 YPG) this season — 32nd-worst among FBS offenses. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 181.0 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-best among ACC defenses.

Virginia Tech have just 189.5 receiving yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among ACC skill players. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 181.0 receiving yards per game this season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.

Louisville is undefeated (6-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .603

Louisville was 8-3 (.727) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– 35th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Louisville was 6-2 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Louisville is 11-2 (.846) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2024 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .436

Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends

Louisville is undefeated (6-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .603

Louisville was 8-3 (.727) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– 35th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Louisville was 6-2 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Louisville is 11-2 (.846) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2024 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .436

Virginia Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Virginia Tech RBs averaged 8.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (150 yards / 18 touches) on 3rd and short last season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

Virginia Tech’s offense has thrown for 1,515 passing yards in 8 games (just 189.4 YPG) this season — 32nd-worst among FBS offenses. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 181.0 passing yards per game this season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.

Virginia Tech’s TEs has 20 receptions in 8 games (just 2.5 per game) this season — 2nd-worst among ACC TEs. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 16.9 receptions per game this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

Virginia Tech’s offense has thrown for 1,515 passing yards in 8 games (just 189.4 YPG) this season — 32nd-worst among FBS offenses. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 181.0 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-best among ACC defenses.

Virginia Tech have just 189.5 receiving yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among ACC skill players. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 181.0 receiving yards per game this season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.

Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends

Louisville is undefeated (6-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .603

Louisville was 8-3 (.727) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– 35th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Louisville was 6-2 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Louisville is 11-2 (.846) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2024 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .436

Virginia Tech Defensive Stats & Trends

Virginia Tech RBs averaged 8.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (150 yards / 18 touches) on 3rd and short last season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

Virginia Tech’s offense has thrown for 1,515 passing yards in 8 games (just 189.4 YPG) this season — 32nd-worst among FBS offenses. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 181.0 passing yards per game this season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.

Virginia Tech’s TEs has 20 receptions in 8 games (just 2.5 per game) this season — 2nd-worst among ACC TEs. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 16.9 receptions per game this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

Virginia Tech’s offense has thrown for 1,515 passing yards in 8 games (just 189.4 YPG) this season — 32nd-worst among FBS offenses. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 181.0 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-best among ACC defenses.

Virginia Tech have just 189.5 receiving yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among ACC skill players. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 181.0 receiving yards per game this season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.


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