LSU vs Texas A&M Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 26, 2022, 9:08 AM
  • LSU (9-2) are -9.5 point favorites vs Texas A&M (4-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points

The LSU Tigers (9-3) visit Kyle Field to take on the Texas A&M Aggies (5-7) on Nov. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in College Station.

are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at ().

The LSU vs. Texas A&M Over/Under is total points.

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LSU vs. Texas A&M Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
LSU
Texas A&M

LSU vs Texas A&M Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts LSU will win this game with 61.4% confidence.

LSU vs Texas A&M Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts LSU will cover the spread with 57.2% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both LSU and Texas A&M, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best LSU Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for LSU players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Malik Nabers has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Kayshon Boutte has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Jayden Daniels has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Jayden Daniels has hit the Passing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 away games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)

Best Texas A&M Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Texas A&M players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Evan Stewart has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Devon Achane has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Max Johnson has hit the Passing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Ainias Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Devon Achane has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 50% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 20 games (+13.55 Units / 58% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.40 Units / 44% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+7.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.50 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+4.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.85 Units / 38% ROI)

LSU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

LSU has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • LSU is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.05 Units / 33.61% ROI
  • LSU is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • LSU is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Texas A&M Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas A&M has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Texas A&M is 1-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.6 Units / -88.3% ROI
  • Texas A&M is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • Texas A&M is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI

LSU: Keys to the Game vs. Texas A&M

#6 LSU is 5-2 (.556) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — tied for 12th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .432

#6 LSU is 2-7 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2021 season– tied for 14th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .312

Texas A&M: Keys to the Game vs. LSU

Texas A&M is 3-8 (.273) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– tied for 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .495

Texas A&M is 2-9 (.182) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– 11th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .437

Texas A&M is 2-7 (.222) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2021 season– tied for 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .460

Texas A&M is 2-10 (.167) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– tied for 12th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .409

Matchup Notes for LSU vs. Texas A&M

LSU’s QBs has 718 rushing yards this season — fourth-most among FBS teams. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 2,090 rushing yards this season — most among SEC defenses.

LSU’s QBs has 11 rushing touchdowns this season — tied for third-most among FBS teams. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 9 rushing TDs this season — second-fewest among SEC defenses.

LSU’s QBs has 10 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for third-most among FBS teams. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 8 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — second-fewest among SEC defenses.

LSU Offensive Stats & Trends

#6 LSU Skill Players have averaged just 8.6 yards per reception (438 yards/51 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– tied for 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.5

#6 LSU Skill Players have averaged just 8.6 yards per reception (438 yards/51 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– tied for 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 11.9

LSU’s QBs has 718 rushing yards this season — fourth-most among FBS teams. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 2,090 rushing yards this season — most among SEC defenses.

#6 LSU QBs have rushed for 10 TDs in the Red Zone — tied for 3rd-most among FBS Teams

#6 LSU have been sacked on 12% of pass attempts (36/314) this season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Offenses; Average: 6%

Texas A&M Offensive Stats & Trends

Texas A&M QBs have fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Texas A&M Skill Players have been targeted 118 times in the 4th quarter this season– 3rd most among Power 5 Teams

Texas A&M WRs have been targeted 91 times in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Texas A&M Skill Players have been targeted 118 times in the 4th quarter this season– 4th most among FBS Teams

Texas A&M WRs have caught just 28 of 74 passes (38% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

LSU Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

#6 LSU opponents has averaged 10.7 Passing Attempts per TD (32 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone — 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 4.0

#6 LSU opponents has averaged 10.7 Passing Attempts per TD (32 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone — best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.2

#6 LSU has not allowed an opponent to rush for 10 or more yards on any of their 15 carries on 3rd and long this season– tied for best in FBS; Average: 18%

#6 LSU has allowed 10.2 Yards per Attempt (1,162 yards/114 attempts) on 3rd and long since last season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7.6

#6 LSU has allowed first downs on 36% of rush attempts in close and late situations this season– worst in FBS; Average: 22%

Texas A&M Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends

Texas A&M has allowed 13 rushing TDs on 126 carries (9.7 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 4.8

Texas A&M has allowed 15 rushing TDs on 874 carries (58.3 Carries Per TD) since the 2021 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 24.2

Texas A&M has allowed 13 rushing TDs on 126 carries (9.7 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.8

Texas A&M has allowed 15 rushing TDs on 874 carries (58.3 Carries Per TD) since the 2021 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 25.6

Texas A&M has allowed just 10.9 yards per completion (4,148 yards/382 completions) since last season– best in FBS; Average: 12.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.