Marshall vs James Madison Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 14

James Madison wide receiver Taji Hudson (19) catches a ball during warmups before an NCAA college football game against Georgia State, Saturday, Nov. 4 2023, in Atlanta, Ga. (AP Photo/Hakim Wright Sr.)
(AP Photo/Hakim Wright Sr.)
  • James Madison is a -3.5 point favorite vs. Marshall
  • Marshall vs. James Madison Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPNU

The Marshall Thundering Herd (8-3) visit Showker Field at Bridgeforth Stadium to take on the James Madison Dukes (8-3) on Nov. 30 in Harrisonburg, VA. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST.

James Madison is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Marshall vs. James Madison Over/Under is 52.5 total points.

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Marshall vs. James Madison Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Marshall+3.5 -11052.5 -110+145
James Madison -3.5 -11052.5 -110-175

Marshall vs James Madison Prediction:

The winning team model predicts James Madison will win this game with 59.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Marshall and James Madison, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Marshall vs James Madison Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts James Madison will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Marshall have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.80 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Marshall have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Marshall has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.15 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Marshall has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.50 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Marshall has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • James Madison has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • James Madison has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • James Madison has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • James Madison have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • James Madison have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.65 Units / 11% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Marshall players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marshall Player Prop Bets Today

  • A.J. Turner has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for James Madison players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best James Madison Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Omarion Dollison has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Taylor Thompson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Alonza Barnett III has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Marshall Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Marshall is 9-1 against the spread this college football season (+7.9 Units / 64.75% ROI).

  • Marshall is 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.1 Units / 17.94% ROI
  • Marshall is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • Marshall is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI

James Madison Against the Spread (ATS) Record

James Madison is 6-5 against the spread this college football season (+0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI).

  • James Madison is 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.65 Units / -5.51% ROI
  • James Madison is 3-8 when betting the Over for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI
  • James Madison is 8-3 when betting the Under for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI

Marshall: Keys to the Game vs. James Madison

Marshall is 8-2 (.800) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .480

Marshall is undefeated (13-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .640

Marshall is 7-3 (.700) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. since the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .489

Marshall is 13-4 (.765) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-15th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .622

James Madison: Keys to the Game vs. Marshall

James Madison is undefeated (14-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .581

James Madison is 15-1 (.938) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .467

James Madison is 11-1 (.917) when not throwing an interception since the 2023 season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .662

James Madison is 15-1 (.938) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .526

Matchup Notes for Marshall vs. James Madison

James Madison’s RBs has rushed for 1,567 yards on 280 carries (5.6 YPC) this season — T-31st-best among FBS RBs. Marshall’s defense have allowed 5.4 YPC to RBs this season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Alonza Barnett (JM) has averaged just 2.5 pass attempts per touchdown in the Red Zone this season — T-8th-best of Qualified Quarterbacks. Marshall’s defense has allowed 7.2 pass attempts per touchdown in the Red Zone this season — 9th-best among FBS defenses.

Alonza Barnett (JM) has 8.0 TDs per interception (24/3) this season — 2nd-best of Qualified Quarterbacks. Marshall’s defense has allowed just 1.2 TDs per Interception this season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.

Marshall’s RBs has averaged 10.4 yards after the catch this season — T-19th-best among FBS RBs. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 6.4 RAC to RBs this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

Marshall’s RBs has gained 250 yards on 24 receptions (10.4 YPR) this season — T-19th-best among FBS RBs. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 6.5 Yards Per Reception to RBs this season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.

Marshall’s RBs has rushed for 1,548 yards on 244 carries (6.3 YPC) this season — T-7th-best among FBS RBs. James Madison’s defense have allowed just 3.6 YPC this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Marshall Offensive Stats & Trends

Marshall QBs have fumbled 9 times in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

Marshall RBs have averaged 7.1 Yards per Carry (413 yards/58 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– T-8th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

Marshall’s RBs has averaged 10.4 yards after the catch this season — T-19th-best among FBS RBs. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 6.4 RAC to RBs this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

Marshall WRs have caught 7 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Marshall RBs have averaged 7.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (81 yards / 11 touches) on 3rd and short this season– T-8th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.5

James Madison Offensive Stats & Trends

James Madison TEs have averaged 22.4 yards per reception (157 yards/7 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.2

James Madison TEs have caught 4 touchdown passes in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

James Madison RBs have caught 7 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

James Madison RBs have averaged 5.6 Yards per Carry (1,567 yards/280 carries) this season– T-31st-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

James Madison RBs have picked up first downs on 6 receptions in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Marshall Thundering Herd Defensive Stats & Trends

Marshall has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 31 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

Marshall has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 31 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.

Marshall sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Marshall has tackled opponents for a loss on 12 of 62 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 11%.

Marshall has tackled opponents for a loss on 27 of 123 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

James Madison Dukes Defensive Stats & Trends

James Madison did not record a sack (38 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

James Madison has sacked opposing QBs just once on 66 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 10th-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

James Madison has sacked opposing QBs just once on 66 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.4

James Madison did not record a sack (38 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4

James Madison has allowed a Completion Pct of just 54% (196 completions/365 attempts) this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%


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