- The James Madison Dukes are a -17 point favorite vs. the Marshall Thundering Herd
- Marshall vs. James Madison Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPNU
Marshall (3-1) visit Bridgeforth Stadium/Zane Showker Field to take on James Madison (4-0) on Oct. 3 in Harrisonburg, VA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:45 pm.
The James Madison Dukes are betting favorites in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -17 (-140).
The Marshall vs. James Madison Over/Under is 54.5 total points.
Bet now on James Madison Dukes vs Marshall Thundering Herd & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Marshall vs. James Madison Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Marshall | +17 +105 | 54.5 +110 | +700 |
| James Madison | -17 -140 | 54.5 -145 | -1000 |
Marshall vs James Madison Prediction:
The winning team model predicts James Madison will win this game with 89.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Marshall Thundering Herd and the James Madison Dukes, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Marshall vs James Madison Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts James Madison will cover the spread with 67.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on James Madison Dukes vs Marshall Thundering Herd and all games with BetMGM
Marshall Best Bets Today
- Marshall has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- Marshall has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Marshall has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- Marshall has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.82 Units / 49% ROI)
- Marshall has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+2.00 Units / 27% ROI)
James Madison Best Bets Today
- James Madison has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games (+11.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- James Madison have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- James Madison has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- James Madison has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.20 Units / 1% ROI)
- James Madison has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.15 Units / 20% ROI)
Marshall Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Marshall Thundering Herd is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.37 Units / -53.02% ROI).
- Marshall is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 6.96% ROI
- Marshall is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.6% ROI
- Marshall is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.25 Units / -5.62% ROI
James Madison Against the Spread (ATS) Record
James Madison Dukes is 4-0 against the spread this college football season (+4 Units / 91.32% ROI).
- James Madison is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 54.31% ROI
- James Madison is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.63% ROI
- James Madison is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.28 Units / -6.25% ROI
Marshall: Keys to the Game vs. James Madison
Marshall was undefeated (8-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .591
Marshall was 5-1 (.833) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .388
Marshall was 5-1 (.833) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .429
Marshall was 10-3 (.769) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .575
James Madison: Keys to the Game vs. Marshall
James Madison is 10-1 (.909) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385
James Madison is 10-1 (.909) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2024 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .440
James Madison is 13-1 (.929) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .564
James Madison is 16-2 (.889) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .544
Matchup Notes for Marshall vs. James Madison
James Madison’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.2% of 385 attempts last season — T-25th-best among FBS offenses. Marshall’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.7% of attempts last season — 8th-worst among FBS defenses.
James Madison gained 2,956 yards on 225 receptions (13.1 YPR) last season — T-22nd-best among FBS skill players. Marshall’s defense allowed 14.6 Yards Per Reception last season — 2nd-worst among NonP5 defenses.
James Madison’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.2% of 385 attempts last season — T-25th-best among FBS offenses. Marshall’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.7% of attempts last season — 5th-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Marshall has 485 receptions in 29 games (just 16.7 per game) since the 2024 season — T-30th-worst among FBS skill players. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 16.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.
Marshall’s RBs averaged 9.8 yards after the catch last season — T-21st-best among FBS RBs. James Madison’s defense allowed just 6.2 RAC to RBs last season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.
Marshall’s RBs gained 268 yards on 27 receptions (9.9 YPR) last season — T-21st-best among FBS RBs. James Madison’s defense allowed just 6.3 Yards Per Reception to RBs last season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.
Marshall Offensive Stats & Trends
Marshall RBs averaged 7.3 Yards per Carry (550 yards/75 carries) in the 4th quarter last season– T-3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2
Marshall QBs have fumbled 6 times this season– T-most among FBS Teams
Marshall QBs had 8 completions for 20 or more yards last week– T-4th-most among FBS Teams
Marshall Skill Players had 8 receptions for 20 or more yards last week– T-4th-most among FBS Teams
Marshall QBs have fumbled 4 times in close and late situations since the 2024 season– T-most among FBS Teams
James Madison Offensive Stats & Trends
James Madison RBs have averaged 7.6 Yards per Carry (914 yards/121 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– T-2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
James Madison threw for 4 TDs in the 1st half last week– T-3rd-most among FBS Offenses
James Madison’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.2% of 385 attempts last season — T-25th-best among FBS offenses. Marshall’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.7% of attempts last season — 8th-worst among FBS defenses.
James Madison RBs averaged 8.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (863 yards / 100 touches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4
James Madison RBs have averaged 8.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,035 yards / 130 touches) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4
Marshall Defensive Stats & Trends
Marshall tackled opponents for a loss on 9 of 37 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.
Marshall has allowed 14.3 yards per completion (4,325 yards/302 completions) since the 2024 season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 11.5
Marshall has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 23 of 501 attempts (5%) since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 2%
Marshall has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 23 of 501 attempts (5%) since the 2024 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%
Marshall allowed passes of 40+ yards on 19 of 365 attempts (5%) last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%
James Madison Defensive Stats & Trends
James Madison sacked opponents 9 times last week– 2nd-most in FBS
James Madison tackled opponents for a loss on 12 of 28 rushing attempts (43% TFL%) last week– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
James Madison sacked opponents 9 times last week– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
James Madison has allowed a Completion Pct of just 41% (39 completions/96 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– best in FBS; Average: 55%
The James Madison defense has allowed scores on 12% of opponent drives (16/138) in the 2nd half since the 2024 season– best in FBS; Average: 23%
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