- The Marshall Thundering Herd are a -3.5 point favorite vs. the Missouri State Bears
- Marshall vs. Missouri State Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
- TV Channel: CBSN
Marshall (1-1) visit Robert W. Plaster Stadium to take on Missouri State (1-1) on Sep. 19 in Springfield, MO. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:30 pm.
The Marshall Thundering Herd are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Marshall vs. Missouri State Over/Under is 52.5 total points.
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Marshall vs. Missouri State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Marshall | -3.5 -110 | 52.5 -110 | -175 |
| Missouri State | +3.5 -108 | 52.5 -108 | +145 |
Marshall vs Missouri State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Marshall will win this game with 53.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Marshall Thundering Herd and the Missouri State Bears, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Marshall vs Missouri State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Marshall will cover the spread with 51.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Marshall Best Bets Today
- Marshall has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.82 Units / 54% ROI)
- Marshall has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- Marshall has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+3.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Marshall has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+2.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- Marshall has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.75 Units / 26% ROI)
Missouri State Best Bets Today
- Missouri State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- Missouri State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- Missouri State has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.75 Units / 54% ROI)
- Missouri State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- Missouri State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Marshall Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Marshall Thundering Herd is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.22 Units / -100% ROI).
- Marshall is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Marshall is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Marshall is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Missouri State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Missouri State Bears is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Missouri State is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 11.76% ROI
- Missouri State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Missouri State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Marshall: Keys to the Game vs. Missouri State
Marshall was 5-1 (.833) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .388
Marshall was undefeated (8-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .628
Marshall was 8-2 (.800) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .643
Marshall was 10-3 (.769) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526
Missouri State: Keys to the Game vs. Marshall
Missouri State was winless (0-1) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .418
Missouri State was winless (0-1) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .442
Missouri State was winless (0-1) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .462
Missouri State was winless (0-1) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .382
Matchup Notes for Marshall vs. Missouri State
Missouri State’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.9% of 433 attempts last season — 19th-best among FBS offenses. Marshall’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.7% of attempts last season — 5th-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Missouri State’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.9% of 433 attempts last season — 19th-best among FBS offenses. Marshall’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.7% of attempts last season — 8th-worst among FBS defenses.
Missouri State’s QBs threw for 3,607 passing yards in 13 games (277.5 YPG) last season — 17th-best among FBS teams. Marshall’s defense allowed 261.7 passing yards per game last season — 5th-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Marshall’s RBs averaged 9.8 yards after the catch last season — T-21st-best among FBS RBs. Missouri State’s defense allowed 9.0 RAC to RBs last season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.
Marshall’s RBs gained 268 yards on 27 receptions (9.9 YPR) last season — T-21st-best among FBS RBs. Missouri State’s defense allowed 9.0 Yards Per Reception to RBs last season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.
Marshall Offensive Stats & Trends
Marshall RBs averaged 7.3 Yards per Carry (550 yards/75 carries) in the 4th quarter last season– T-3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2
Marshall WRs caught 5 touchdown passes in close and late situations last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Marshall RBs averaged 7.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (601 yards / 81 touches) in the 4th quarter last season– 5th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5
Marshall Skill Players caught 6 touchdown passes in close and late situations last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Marshall RBs did not rush for 0a TD on 36 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in close and late situations last season– T-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 23.7
Missouri State Offensive Stats & Trends
Missouri State Skill Players averaged just -2.0 yards per reception (-4 yards/2 catches) on 3rd and long last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9
Missouri State RBs averaged -1.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (-3 yards / 3 touches) on 3rd down last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6
Missouri State Skill Players averaged 26.7 yards per reception (160 yards/6 catches) on 1st down last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.4
Missouri State’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.9% of 433 attempts last season — 19th-best among FBS offenses. Marshall’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.7% of attempts last season — 5th-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Missouri State TEs averaged 27.7 yards per reception (83 yards/3 catches) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.1
Marshall Defensive Stats & Trends
Marshall allowed passes of 40+ yards on 19 of 365 attempts (5%) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 2%
Marshall tackled opponents for a loss on 9 of 37 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.
Marshall allowed 14.6 yards per completion (3,140 yards/215 completions) last season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.8
Marshall allowed 49.9 receiving yards per game (599/12) to RBs last season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 25.1
Marshall allowed 14.6 yards per completion (3,140 yards/215 completions) last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 11.5
Missouri State Defensive Stats & Trends
Missouri State allowed opponents to catch 4 of 4 passes (100% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long last season– worst in FBS; Average: 55%
Missouri State allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (4 completions/4 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
Missouri State allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (4 completions/4 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– worst in FBS; Average: 55%
Missouri State tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 6 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
Missouri State tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 6 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– best in FBS; Average: 15%.
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