- Maryland Terrapins is a -12.5 point favorite vs. Connecticut Huskies
- Maryland vs. Connecticut Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
- TV Channel: CBSN
Maryland (1-0) visit Pratt & Whitney Stadium to take on Connecticut (1-0) on Sep. 12 in East Hartford, CT. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm.
The Maryland Terrapins are betting favorites in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-108).
The Maryland vs. Connecticut Over/Under is 52.5 total points.
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Maryland vs. Connecticut Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Maryland | -12.5 -108 | 52.5 -110 | -475 |
| Connecticut | +12.5 -110 | 52.5 -108 | +360 |
Maryland vs Connecticut Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Maryland will win this game with 72.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Maryland Terrapins and the Connecticut Huskies, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Maryland vs Connecticut Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Maryland will cover the spread with 50.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Maryland Best Bets Today
- Maryland have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.10 Units / 55% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+1.85 Units / 3% ROI)
Connecticut Best Bets Today
- UConn has hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+7.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- UConn has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- UConn has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- UConn have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- UConn has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.45 Units / 16% ROI)
Maryland Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Maryland Terrapins is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Maryland is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Maryland is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Maryland is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Connecticut Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Connecticut Huskies is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Connecticut is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
- Connecticut is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
- Connecticut is when betting the Under for Units / ROI
Maryland: Keys to the Game vs. Connecticut
Maryland was 1-2 (.333) when in a one score game last season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514
Maryland was 2-7 (.222) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .418
Maryland was 1-2 (.333) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578
Maryland was 2-8 (.200) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .420
Connecticut: Keys to the Game vs. Maryland
UConn was 8-2 (.800) when rushing for more than 100 yards last season– 8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572
UConn was 7-2 (.778) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– 31st-best in FBS; Average: .604
UConn was 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .602
UConn was winless (0-7) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .399
Matchup Notes for Maryland vs. Connecticut
UConn’s offense threw for 3,430 passing yards in 12 games (285.8 YPG) last season — 11th-best among FBS offenses. Maryland’s defense allowed 226.5 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
UConn’s QBs threw for 3,415 passing yards in 12 games (284.6 YPG) last season — 12th-best among FBS teams. Maryland’s defense allowed 226.5 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
UConn had 2.2 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-16th-best among FBS skill players. Maryland’s defense allowed 2.1 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-7th-worst among FBS defenses.
Maryland’s WRs averaged 25.2 targets per game last season — 18th-highest among FBS WRs. UConn’s defense allowed 14.3 receptions per game to WRs last season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Maryland’s WRs has 195 receptions in 13 games (15.0 per game) since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among Big Ten WRs. UConn’s defense has allowed just 2.6 receptions per game to TEs since the 2024 season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.
Maryland’s WRs averaged 25.2 targets per game last season — highest among Big Ten WRs. UConn’s defense allowed 14.3 receptions per game to WRs last season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Maryland Offensive Stats & Trends
Maryland WRs averaged a touchdown every 3.7 receptions (11 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 1.8
Maryland Skill Players were targeted 40.1 times per game (481/12) last season– highest among Big Ten Teams; Average: 28.3
Maryland TEs caught just 7 of 21 passes(33% Reception Pct) in the 4th quarter last season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 68%
Maryland were sacked 8 times on 491 pass attempts (one sack every 61.4 pass attempts) last season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 15.7
Maryland Skill Players were targeted 481 times last season– most among Big Ten Teams
Connecticut Offensive Stats & Trends
UConn were not intercepted (97 pass attempts) in the 4th quarter last season– T-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 32.0
UConn threw 26 TDs and just one interception last season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 2.0
UConn’s offense threw for 3,430 passing yards in 12 games (285.8 YPG) last season — 11th-best among FBS offenses. Maryland’s defense allowed 226.5 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
UConn RBs averaged 10.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (443 yards / 43 touches) on 3rd down last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.8
UConn threw 4 TDs and no interceptions in the 4th quarter last season– T-2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 1.6
Maryland Defensive Stats & Trends
Maryland did not record a sack (49 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 16.2
Maryland forced 2 fumbles on 479 carries (239.5 Carries Per Fumble) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 46.0
Maryland forced 2 fumbles on 479 carries (239.5 Carries Per Fumble) last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 47.5
Maryland allowed first downs on 41% of pass attempts in the Red Zone last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 22%
Maryland allowed first downs on 41% of pass attempts in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 22%
Connecticut Defensive Stats & Trends
UConn tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 64 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
UConn tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 64 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
UConn forced 4 fumbles on 425 carries (106.2 Carries Per Fumble) last season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: 43.4
UConn tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 43 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 16th-best in FBS; Average: 11%.
UConn tackled opponents for a loss on just 64 of 513 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) last season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
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