Maryland vs UCLA Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 8

• UCLA is a -3.5 point favorite vs. Maryland
• Maryland vs. UCLA Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
• TV Channel: FS1

Maryland (4-2) visit Rose Bowl to take on UCLA (2-4) on Oct. 18 in Pasadena, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.

UCLA is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-102).

The Maryland vs. UCLA Over/Under is 52.5 total points.

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Maryland vs. UCLA Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Maryland vs UCLA Prediction:

The winning team model predicts UCLA will win this game with 56.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Maryland and UCLA, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Maryland vs UCLA Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Maryland will cover the spread with 55.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Maryland Best Bets Today

• Maryland has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 41% ROI)
• Maryland has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+5.25 Units / 24% ROI)
• Maryland has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.60 Units / 22% ROI)
• Maryland has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+0.50 Units / 1% ROI)
• Maryland has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 12 games (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)

UCLA Best Bets Today

• UCLA has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+11.00 Units / 57% ROI)
• UCLA has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
• UCLA has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.65 Units / 23% ROI)
• UCLA has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+1.35 Units / 7% ROI)
• UCLA has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.30 Units / 9% ROI)

Maryland Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Maryland is 4-2 against the spread this college football season (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI).

• Maryland is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.15 Units / 6.37% ROI
• Maryland is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
• Maryland is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI

UCLA Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UCLA iss 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• UCLA is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.8 Units / 50.43% ROI
• UCLA is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
• UCLA is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI

Maryland: Keys to the Game vs. UCLA

UCLA has gained 1,134 yards on 114 receptions (just 9.9 YPR) this season — T-14th-worst among FBS skill players. Maryland’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA has averaged just 10.8 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-18th-worst among FBS skill players. Maryland’s defense has allowed 11.4 RAC since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

UCLA TEs averaged 18.7 yards per reception (431 yards/23 catches) in the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.9

UCLA has gained 1,134 yards on 114 receptions (just 9.9 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten skill players. Maryland’s defense has allowed just 8.1 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA’s WRs has gained 758 yards on 65 receptions (just 11.7 YPR) this season — T-26th-worst among FBS WRs. Maryland’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA: Keys to the Game vs. Maryland

Maryland was 2-7 (.222) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .382

Maryland was 1-7 (.125) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Maryland is 2-9 (.182) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– 12th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Maryland is 2-9 (.182) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– 7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .458

Matchup Notes for Maryland vs. UCLA

Maryland was 2-7 (.222) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .382

Maryland was 1-7 (.125) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Maryland is 2-9 (.182) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– 12th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Maryland is 2-9 (.182) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– 7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .458

UCLA has gained 1,134 yards on 114 receptions (just 9.9 YPR) this season — T-14th-worst among FBS skill players. Maryland’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA has averaged just 10.8 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-18th-worst among FBS skill players. Maryland’s defense has allowed 11.4 RAC since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

UCLA TEs averaged 18.7 yards per reception (431 yards/23 catches) in the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.9

UCLA has gained 1,134 yards on 114 receptions (just 9.9 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten skill players. Maryland’s defense has allowed just 8.1 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA’s WRs has gained 758 yards on 65 receptions (just 11.7 YPR) this season — T-26th-worst among FBS WRs. Maryland’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Maryland Offensive Stats & Trends

UCLA has gained 1,134 yards on 114 receptions (just 9.9 YPR) this season — T-14th-worst among FBS skill players. Maryland’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA has averaged just 10.8 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-18th-worst among FBS skill players. Maryland’s defense has allowed 11.4 RAC since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

UCLA TEs averaged 18.7 yards per reception (431 yards/23 catches) in the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.9

UCLA has gained 1,134 yards on 114 receptions (just 9.9 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten skill players. Maryland’s defense has allowed just 8.1 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA’s WRs has gained 758 yards on 65 receptions (just 11.7 YPR) this season — T-26th-worst among FBS WRs. Maryland’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA Offensive Stats & Trends

Maryland was 2-7 (.222) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .382

Maryland was 1-7 (.125) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Maryland is 2-9 (.182) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– 12th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Maryland is 2-9 (.182) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– 7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .458

Maryland Defensive Stats & Trends

UCLA has gained 1,134 yards on 114 receptions (just 9.9 YPR) this season — T-14th-worst among FBS skill players. Maryland’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA has averaged just 10.8 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-18th-worst among FBS skill players. Maryland’s defense has allowed 11.4 RAC since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

UCLA TEs averaged 18.7 yards per reception (431 yards/23 catches) in the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.9

UCLA has gained 1,134 yards on 114 receptions (just 9.9 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten skill players. Maryland’s defense has allowed just 8.1 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA’s WRs has gained 758 yards on 65 receptions (just 11.7 YPR) this season — T-26th-worst among FBS WRs. Maryland’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA Defensive Stats & Trends

Maryland was 2-7 (.222) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .382

Maryland was 1-7 (.125) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Maryland is 2-9 (.182) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– 12th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Maryland is 2-9 (.182) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– 7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .458

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