Massachusetts vs C Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 9

Footballs sit ready on the field before an NCAA football game on Saturday, Oct. 14, 2023, in Muncie, Ind. (AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
(AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
  • C Michigan is a -16.5 point favorite vs. Massachusetts
  • Massachusetts vs. Central Michigan Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

Massachusetts (0-7) visit Kramer/Deromedi Field at Kelly/Shorts Stadium to take on Central Michigan (4-3) on Oct. 25 in Mount Pleasant, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

C Michigan is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-110).

The Massachusetts vs. Central Michigan Over/Under is 46.5 total points.

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Massachusetts vs. Central Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Massachusetts+16.5 -11046.5 -105525
Central Michigan -16.5 -11046.5 -115-750

Massachusetts vs Central Michigan Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Central Michigan will win this game with 78.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Massachusetts and C Michigan, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Massachusetts vs Central Michigan Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UMass will cover the spread with 52.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Massachusetts have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Massachusetts has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Massachusetts has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Massachusetts has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games (+4.30 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Massachusetts has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Central Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.73 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Central Michigan has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Central Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Central Michigan has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+2.40 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Central Michigan have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)

Massachusetts Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Massachusetts is 2-5 against the spread this college football season (-3.55 Units / -45.81% ROI).

  • Massachusetts is 0-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.65 Units / -100% ROI
  • Massachusetts is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • Massachusetts is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

Central Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

C Michigan iss 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).

  • Central Michigan is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 28.22% ROI
  • Central Michigan is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • Central Michigan is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

Massachusetts: Keys to the Game vs. Central Michigan

Central Michigan was 1-6 (.143) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– 12th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400

Central Michigan was 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Central Michigan is 4-1 (.800) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .565

Central Michigan was 2-4 (.333) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .481

Central Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Massachusetts

UMass has allowed 20 TD passes this season– most in FBS

UMass allowed 24 first down receptions last week– most in FBS

UMass allowed 24 first down receptions last week– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

UMass has no interceptions and 22 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 8.6

UMass allowed passes of 20+ yards on 50 of 285 attempts (17%) in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%

Matchup Notes for Massachusetts vs. Central Michigan

UMass has allowed 20 TD passes this season– most in FBS

UMass allowed 24 first down receptions last week– most in FBS

UMass allowed 24 first down receptions last week– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

UMass has no interceptions and 22 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 8.6

UMass allowed passes of 20+ yards on 50 of 285 attempts (17%) in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%

Central Michigan was 1-6 (.143) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– 12th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400

Central Michigan was 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Central Michigan is 4-1 (.800) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .565

Central Michigan was 2-4 (.333) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .481

Massachusetts Offensive Stats & Trends

Central Michigan was 1-6 (.143) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– 12th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400

Central Michigan was 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Central Michigan is 4-1 (.800) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .565

Central Michigan was 2-4 (.333) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .481

Central Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

UMass has allowed 20 TD passes this season– most in FBS

UMass allowed 24 first down receptions last week– most in FBS

UMass allowed 24 first down receptions last week– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

UMass has no interceptions and 22 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 8.6

UMass allowed passes of 20+ yards on 50 of 285 attempts (17%) in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%

Massachusetts Defensive Stats & Trends

Central Michigan was 1-6 (.143) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– 12th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400

Central Michigan was 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Central Michigan is 4-1 (.800) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .565

Central Michigan was 2-4 (.333) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .481

Central Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends

UMass has allowed 20 TD passes this season– most in FBS

UMass allowed 24 first down receptions last week– most in FBS

UMass allowed 24 first down receptions last week– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

UMass has no interceptions and 22 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 8.6

UMass allowed passes of 20+ yards on 50 of 285 attempts (17%) in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%


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