Massachusetts vs Connecticut Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 10

min read
AP Photos
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 04, 2022, 9:45 AM
  • (3-6) are point favorites vs (3-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on CBS Sports Network

The UMass Minutemen (1-8) visit Pratt and Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field to take on the UConn Huskies (5-5) on Nov. 4. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in East Hartford.

are betting favorites in Week 10, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Massachusetts vs. Connecticut is total points.

Bet now on Connecticut vs Massachusetts & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Massachusetts vs. Connecticut Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 10

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Massachusetts
Connecticut

Massachusetts vs Connecticut Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts predicted-winning-team will win this game with confidence-percentage confidence.

Massachusetts vs Connecticut Spread Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts spread-winning-team will cover the spread with spread-confidence confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Massachusetts and Connecticut, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Massachusetts Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Massachusetts players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player high – away 

Best Connecticut Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Connecticut players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player  high – home
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Massachusetts Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Massachusetts has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Massachusetts is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Massachusetts is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Massachusetts is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Connecticut Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Connecticut has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Connecticut is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Connecticut is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Connecticut is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Massachusetts: Keys to the Game vs. Connecticut

UMass is winless (0-15) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .423

UMass is winless (0-15) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .399

UMass is winless (0-15) when allowing 22 or more points — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .284

UMass is 1-14 (.059) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .406

Connecticut: Keys to the Game vs. Massachusetts

UConn is 1-9 (.100) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — tied for 7th-worst in FBS; Average: .497

UConn is winless (0-13) when allowing 22 or more points — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .284

UConn is winless (0-10) when not forcing a fumble — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .441

UConn is winless (0-7) when intercepting no passes — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .353

Matchup Notes for Massachusetts vs. Connecticut

UConn’s WRs have just 86.4 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among FBS WRs. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 191.2 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among NonP5 defenses.

UMass’s WRs has 8 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — third-fewest among FBS WRs. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 46 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — third-most among NonP5 defenses.

UMass has 11 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — second-fewest among FBS skill players. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 46 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — fifth-most among FBS defenses.

UMass’s WRs has 8 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — third-fewest among FBS WRs. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 46 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — fifth-most among FBS defenses.

Massachusetts Offensive Stats & Trends

UMass Skill Players have averaged just 9.2 receptions per game (74/8) this season– 5th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.4

UMass Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 37.0 receptions (74 Rec/2 TDs) this season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.6

UMass Skill Players have no touchdowns on 28 receptions in close and late situations since last season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.6

UMass Skill Players have averaged just 11.2 receptions per game (224/20) since last season– 4th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.1

UMass has averaged 102.0 Passing Yards per game (816/8) this season– 4th worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 235.4*

Connecticut Offensive Stats & Trends

UConn RBs have no touchdowns on 74 receptions since last season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 20.8

UConn WRs have fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for most among FBS Teams

UConn QBs have averaged 124.9 Passing Yards per game (999/8) this season– 5th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 247.7

UConn Skill Players have averaged just 8.6 yards per reception (584 yards/68 catches) in the 4th quarter since last season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1

UConn has averaged 113.1 Passing Yards per game (905/8) this season– 5th worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 235.4*

UMass Minutemen Defensive Stats & Trends

UMass has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 52 of their 799 carries (7%) since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 3%

UMass has allowed 4.5 touchdowns per interception (36 TDs allowed, and 8 INT) since last season– 5th worst in FBS; Average: 1.9

UMass has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 52 of their 799 carries (7%) since last season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4%

UMass has allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (12 completions/31 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 55%

UMass has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 78 of 504 attempts (15%) since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 10%

UConn Huskies Defensive Stats & Trends

UConn has allowed one passing TD (22 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– best in FBS; Average: 4.0

UConn has allowed one passing TD (22 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.8

UConn opponents has averaged 51.2 Passing Attempts per TD (256 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 18.9

UConn opponents has averaged 51.2 Passing Attempts per TD (256 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 20.7

UConn has allowed 5 touchdowns on 161 completions (32.2 Completions Per TD) this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 12.5


Looking to place a bet on this game with a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Connecticut vs Massachusetts and all NCAAF games with BetMGM

College Football Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.