- Eastern Michigan is a -8.5 point favorite vs. Massachusetts
- Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN+
The UMass Minutemen visit Rynearson Stadium to take on the Eastern Michigan Eagles on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:00pm EDT in Ypsilanti.
Eastern Michigan is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).
The Massachusetts vs. Eastern Michigan Over/Under is 50 total points.
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Massachusetts vs. Eastern Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 3
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Massachusetts | +7 -110 | 50 -110 | +230 |
| Eastern Michigan | -7 -110 | 50 -110 | -300 |
Massachusetts vs Eastern Michigan Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Eastern Michigan will win this game with 77.5% confidence.
Massachusetts vs Eastern Michigan Spread Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Eastern Michigan will cover the spread with 74.4% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Massachusetts and Eastern Michigan, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Massachusetts Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Massachusetts have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 63% ROI)
- Massachusetts have covered the 1H Spread in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Massachusetts has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 8 games (+3.15 Units / 39% ROI)
- Massachusetts has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- Massachusetts has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.40 Units / 22% ROI)
Eastern Michigan Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Eastern Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- Eastern Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.35 Units / 60% ROI)
- Eastern Michigan has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Eastern Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Eastern Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.30 Units / 24% ROI)
Massachusetts Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Massachusetts is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -35.82% ROI).
- Massachusetts is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 65% ROI
- Massachusetts is 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Massachusetts is 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
Eastern Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Eastern Michigan is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Eastern Michigan is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Eastern Michigan is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Eastern Michigan is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Massachusetts: Keys to the Game vs. Eastern Michigan
UMass is 2-21 (.087) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2021 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .450
UMass is winless (0-7) when not forcing a fumble since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .454
UMass is 2-21 (.087) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .421
UMass is winless (0-16) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .342
Eastern Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Massachusetts
Eastern Michigan is 4-1 (.800) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2022 season– tied for 13th-best in FBS; Average: .547
Eastern Michigan was 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 3 sacks in the 2022 season– tied for 11th-best in FBS; Average: .545
Eastern Michigan is 8-1 (.889) when not throwing an interception since the 2021 season– tied for 5th-best in FBS; Average: .586
Eastern Michigan is 10-3 (.769) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: .497
Matchup Notes for Massachusetts vs. Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.2% of 48 attempts this season — tied for 19th-worst among FBS offenses. UMass’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 21.9% of attempts this season — third-best among NonP5 defenses.
Eastern Michigan’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.2% of 48 attempts this season — tied for 19th-worst among FBS offenses. UMass’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 21.9% of attempts this season — third-best among FBS defenses.
Eastern Michigan has 28 receptions in 2 games (just 14.0 per game) this season — tied for 18th-worst among FBS skill players. UMass’s defense has allowed just 13.7 receptions per game this season — tied for 23rd-best among FBS defenses.
UMass has 46 receptions in 3 games (just 15.3 per game) this season — 24th-worst among FBS skill players. Eastern Michigan’s defense has allowed just 13.0 receptions per game this season — tied for 15th-best among FBS defenses.
UMass has 176 receptions in 15 games (just 11.7 per game) since the 2022 season — fifth-worst among FBS skill players. Eastern Michigan’s defense has allowed just 16.8 receptions per game since the 2022 season — 22nd-best among FBS defenses.
UMass’s WRs has 121 receptions in 15 games (just 8.1 per game) since the 2022 season — tied for ninth-worst among FBS WRs. Eastern Michigan’s defense has allowed just 11.3 receptions per game to WRs since the 2022 season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.
Massachusetts Offensive Stats & Trends
UMass TEs have no touchdowns on 29 receptions since last season– tied for 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.6
UMass TEs had no touchdowns on 23 receptions in the 2022 season– tied for 4th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.4
UMass Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 29.8 receptions (119 Rec/4 TDs) in the 2022 season– 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.8
UMass RBs have averaged 4.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,308 yards / 330 touches) on 1st down since the 2021 season– tied for 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4
UMass WRs have averaged 20.5 yards per reception (533 yards/26 catches) in close and late situations since the 2021 season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4
Eastern Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends
Eastern Michigan’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.2% of 48 attempts this season — tied for 19th-worst among FBS offenses. UMass’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 21.9% of attempts this season — third-best among NonP5 defenses.
Eastern Michigan’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.2% of 48 attempts this season — tied for 19th-worst among FBS offenses. UMass’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 21.9% of attempts this season — third-best among FBS defenses.
Eastern Michigan TEs have averaged 9.0 receptions per game (9/1) this season– tied for 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.2
Eastern Michigan TEs have 7 receptions in the 1st half this season– tied for 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Eastern Michigan TEs have been targeted 4 times on 3rd down this season– tied for 5th-most among FBS Teams
UMass Minutemen Defensive Stats & Trends
UMass has allowed 7 rushing TDs this season– most in FBS
UMass has allowed 499 rushing yards this season– most in FBS
UMass has allowed 16.0 yards per completion (2,941 yards/184 completions) since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 12.5
UMass has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 57 of 338 attempts (17%) since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 10%
UMass has allowed 15.7 yards per completion (6,013 yards/382 completions) since the 2021 season– worst in FBS; Average: 12.7
Eastern Michigan Eagles Defensive Stats & Trends
Eastern Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on just 14 of 169 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– tied for 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.
Eastern Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on just 14 of 169 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– tied for 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
Eastern Michigan allowed a passer rating of 235.6 in the Red Zone (34.0 Pass Attempts) in the 2022 season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 164.5
Eastern Michigan has allowed a Completion Pct of just 46% (57 completions/123 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2021 season– 5th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 55%
Eastern Michigan allowed a passer rating of 235.6 in the Red Zone (34.0 Pass Attempts) in the 2022 season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 161.7
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