Massachusetts vs Kent St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 7

BetMGM Betting Oct 10, 2025, 11:18 AM

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(AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)

Kent St is a -3 point favorite vs. Massachusetts
Massachusetts vs. Kent State Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
TV Channel: ESPN+

Massachusetts (0-5) visit Dix Stadium to take on Kent State (1-4) on Oct. 11 in Kent, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:30pm EDT.

Kent St is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -3 (-102).

The Massachusetts vs. Kent State Over/Under is 50.5 total points.

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Massachusetts vs. Kent State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Massachusetts	+3 -118	50.5 -115	125
Kent State	-3 -102	50.5 -105	-150

Massachusetts vs Kent State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Kent State will win this game with 57.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Massachusetts and Kent St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Massachusetts vs Kent State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UMass will cover the spread with 55.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Massachusetts Best Bets Today

Massachusetts has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 59% ROI)
Massachusetts have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 48% ROI)
Massachusetts has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 54% ROI)
Massachusetts has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.70 Units / 22% ROI)
Massachusetts has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.40 Units / 21% ROI)

Kent State Best Bets Today

Kent State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+4.40 Units / 76% ROI)
Kent State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 25% ROI)
Kent State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 52% ROI)
Kent State has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
Kent State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 1 of their last 5 games at home (+0.45 Units / 7% ROI)

Massachusetts Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Massachusetts is 1-4 against the spread this college football season (-3.45 Units / -62.16% ROI).

Massachusetts is 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.6 Units / -100% ROI
Massachusetts is 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
Massachusetts is 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI

Kent State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kent St iss 2-3 against the spread this college football season (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI).

Kent State is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Kent State is 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
Kent State is 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI

Massachusetts: Keys to the Game vs. Kent State

Kent State RBs averaged 2.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (153 yards / 60 touches) in the 4th quarter last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5

Kent State’s QBs has thrown for 934 passing yards in 5 games (just 186.8 YPG) this season — 34th-worst among FBS teams. UMass’s defense has allowed 248.8 passing yards per game this season — 29th-worst among FBS defenses.

Kent State’s offense has thrown for 934 passing yards in 5 games (just 186.8 YPG) this season — 33rd-worst among FBS offenses. UMass’s defense has allowed 248.8 passing yards per game this season — 29th-worst among FBS defenses.

Kent State RBs averaged just 2.4 Yards per Carry (140 yards/58 carries) in the 4th quarter last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

Kent State RBs have averaged just 3.3 Yards per Carry (1,283 yards/385 carries) since the 2024 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Kent State: Keys to the Game vs. Massachusetts

UMass has no interceptions and 20 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 8.8

UMass allowed passes of 20+ yards on 8 of 38 attempts (21%) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 9%

UMass allowed passes of 20+ yards on 50 of 285 attempts (17%) in the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 10%

UMass allowed passes of 20+ yards on 50 of 285 attempts (17%) in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%

UMass has allowed 8 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– T-4th-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Matchup Notes for Massachusetts vs. Kent State