Massachusetts vs Texas A&M Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 18, 2022, 10:25 AM
  • Texas A&M (3-7) are -33.5 point favorites vs Massachusetts (1-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The UMass Minutemen (1-10) visit Kyle Field to take on the Texas A&M Aggies (4-7) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in College Station.

are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Massachusetts vs. Texas A&M is total points.

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Massachusetts vs. Texas A&M Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Massachusetts
Texas A&M

Massachusetts vs Texas A&M Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Texas A&M will win this game with 82% confidence.

Massachusetts vs Texas A&M Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas A&M will cover the spread with 52% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Massachusetts and Texas A&M, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Texas A&M Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Texas A&M players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Evan Stewart has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Devon Achane has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Max Johnson has hit the Passing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Ainias Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Devon Achane has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Massachusetts has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Massachusetts have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Massachusetts has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.55 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Massachusetts has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Massachusetts has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+4.15 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+7.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.60 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+3.52 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 21 games (+2.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Texas A&M have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.95 Units / 45% ROI)

Massachusetts Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Massachusetts has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Massachusetts is 1-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.05 Units / -73.78% ROI
  • Massachusetts is 3-7 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI
  • Massachusetts is 7-3 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI

Texas A&M Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas A&M has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Texas A&M is 1-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.6 Units / -88.3% ROI
  • Texas A&M is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • Texas A&M is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Massachusetts: Keys to the Game vs. Texas A&M

UMass is winless (0-1) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .493

UMass is winless (0-8) when not forcing a fumble — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .442

UMass is winless (0-16) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .398

UMass is 1-15 (.062) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays — 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .427

Texas A&M: Keys to the Game vs. Massachusetts

Texas A&M is 1-8 (.111) when intercepting no passes — tied for 11th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .341

Texas A&M is 2-9 (.182) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays — 11th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .437

Texas A&M is 12-3 (.800) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2020 season– tied for 5th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .499

Texas A&M is 10-1 (.833) when not throwing an interception since the 2020 season– 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .511

Matchup Notes for Massachusetts vs. Texas A&M

UMass’s offense has thrown for 2,963 passing yards in 21 games (just 141.1 YPG) since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among FBS offenses. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 194.5 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — best among SEC defenses.

UMass’s QBs has thrown for 3,223 passing yards in 21 games (just 153.5 YPG) since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among FBS teams. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 194.5 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — best among SEC defenses.

UMass’s QBs has thrown for 3,223 passing yards in 21 games (just 153.5 YPG) since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among FBS teams. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 194.5 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — third-best among P5 defenses.

Massachusetts Offensive Stats & Trends

UMass’s offense has thrown for 2,963 passing yards in 21 games (just 141.1 YPG) since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among FBS offenses. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 194.5 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — best among SEC defenses.

UMass’s QBs has thrown for 3,223 passing yards in 21 games (just 153.5 YPG) since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among FBS teams. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 194.5 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — best among SEC defenses.

UMass’s QBs has thrown for 3,223 passing yards in 21 games (just 153.5 YPG) since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among FBS teams. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 194.5 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — third-best among P5 defenses.

UMass’s WRs has 10 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-fewest among FBS WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 26 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — tied for second-fewest among SEC defenses.

UMass’s offense has thrown for 2,963 passing yards in 21 games (just 141.1 YPG) since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among FBS offenses. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 194.5 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — third-best among P5 defenses.

Texas A&M Offensive Stats & Trends

Texas A&M Skill Players have been targeted 115 times in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Texas A&M WRs have been targeted 89 times in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

Texas A&M WRs have been targeted 89 times in the 4th quarter this season– most among Power 5 Teams

Texas A&M Skill Players have caught just 45 of 104 passes (43% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long since last season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 58%

Texas A&M QBs have fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

UMass Minutemen Defensive Stats & Trends

UMass has allowed 64 rushing TDs since last season– most in FBS

UMass has allowed 15.3 yards per completion (4,802 yards/314 completions) since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 12.7

UMass has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 55 of their 823 carries (7%) since last season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4%

UMass has allowed a Completion Pct of just 40% (14 completions/35 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 55%

UMass has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 55 of their 823 carries (7%) since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 3%

Texas A&M Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends

Texas A&M has allowed 13 rushing TDs on 124 carries (9.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 4.8

Texas A&M has allowed 15 rushing TDs on 833 carries (55.5 Carries Per TD) since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 25.7

Texas A&M has allowed 15 rushing TDs on 833 carries (55.5 Carries Per TD) since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 24.1

Texas A&M has allowed 13 rushing TDs on 124 carries (9.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.9

Texas A&M has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 49 of 650 attempts (7%) since last season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 10%


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