Memphis vs Boise State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 2

Boise State fans watch during the second half of the Fiesta Bowl College Football Playoff game against Penn State, Tuesday, Dec. 31, 2024, in Glendale, Ariz. (AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin)
(AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin)
Sportsbook Promos This Week
  • Boise State Broncos is a -9 point favorite vs. Memphis Tigers
  • Memphis vs. Boise State Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
  • TV Channel: USA

Memphis (2-0) visit Albertsons Stadium to take on Boise State (0-1) on Sep. 12 in Boise, ID. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:00 pm.

The Boise State Broncos are betting favorites in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -9 (-108).

The Memphis vs. Boise State Over/Under is 54.5 total points.

Bet now on Boise State Broncos vs Memphis Tigers & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Memphis vs. Boise State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Memphis+9 -11054.5 -102+275
Boise State -9 -10854.5 -115-350

Memphis vs Boise State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Boise State will win this game with 69.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Memphis Tigers and the Boise State Broncos, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Memphis vs Boise State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Boise State will cover the spread with 65.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Boise State Broncos vs Memphis Tigers and all games with BetMGM


Memphis Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Memphis Tigers is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Memphis is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / 50% ROI
  • Memphis is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Memphis is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Boise State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Boise State Broncos is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 92.59% ROI).

  • Boise State is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Boise State is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 92.59% ROI
  • Boise State is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.12 Units / -100% ROI

Memphis: Keys to the Game vs. Boise State

Memphis was 6-2 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .388

Memphis was 10-1 (.909) when not losing a fumble last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .533

Memphis was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .643

Memphis was 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .612

Boise State: Keys to the Game vs. Memphis

Boise State was undefeated (5-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .388

Boise State was undefeated (5-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– best in FBS; Average: .429

Boise State was 11-1 (.917) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .570

Boise State was 12-1 (.923) when allowing less than 3 sacks last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .583

Matchup Notes for Memphis vs. Boise State

Boise State’s WRs gained 2,363 yards on 157 receptions (15.1 YPR) last season — 2nd-best among Pac-12 WRs. Memphis’s defense allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception last season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.

Boise State gained 3,427 yards on 273 receptions (12.6 YPR) last season — 3rd-best among Pac-12 skill players. Memphis’s defense allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception last season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.

Boise State gained 3,427 yards on 273 receptions (12.6 YPR) last season — T-35th-best among FBS skill players. Memphis’s defense allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception last season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.

Memphis’s RBs averaged just 5.5 yards after the catch last season — T-9th-worst among FBS RBs. Boise State’s defense allowed 8.6 RAC to RBs last season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Memphis’s RBs averaged just 5.5 yards after the catch last season — T-9th-worst among FBS RBs. Boise State’s defense allowed 11.3 RAC last season — 4th-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Memphis’s WRs had 187 receptions in 13 games (14.4 per game) last season — T-33rd-best among FBS WRs. Boise State’s defense allowed just 9.4 receptions per game to WRs last season — T-7th-best among FBS defenses.

Memphis Offensive Stats & Trends

Memphis QBs had 20 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down last season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Memphis RBs caught 7 touchdown passes last season– T-most among FBS Teams

Memphis RBs were targeted 15 times in the Red Zone last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Memphis RBs caught 6 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last season– most among FBS Teams

Memphis RBs had 55 receptions in the 1st half last season– most among FBS Teams

Boise State Offensive Stats & Trends

Boise State RBs averaged 222.9 rushing yards per game (3,120/14) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 125.9

Boise State’s WRs gained 2,363 yards on 157 receptions (15.1 YPR) last season — 2nd-best among Pac-12 WRs. Memphis’s defense allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception last season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.

Boise State gained 3,427 yards on 273 receptions (12.6 YPR) last season — 3rd-best among Pac-12 skill players. Memphis’s defense allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception last season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.

Boise State RBs rushed for 15 TDs in the 4th quarter last season– most among FBS Teams

Boise State RBs averaged 6.7 Yards per Carry (3,120 yards/469 carries) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Memphis Defensive Stats & Trends

Memphis did not record a sack (27 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.8

Memphis allowed 28.2 carries per game (366 carries / 13 games) last season– 2nd-lowest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.3

Memphis tackled opponents for a loss on just 6 of 71 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 16th-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.

Memphis tackled opponents for a loss on 73 of 366 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) last season– 17th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Memphis allowed first downs on 25% of rush attempts in the Red Zone last season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: 17%

Boise State Defensive Stats & Trends

Boise State sacked opponents 9 times in the Red Zone last season– most in FBS

Boise State sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (56/451) last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Boise State sacked opponents 9 times in the Red Zone last season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Boise State sacked opponents 56 times last season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Boise State had no interceptions and 13 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 8.0


Bet now on Boise State Broncos vs Memphis Tigers and all games with BetMGM


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.