- Memphis is a -9.5 point favorite vs. Navy
- Memphis vs. Navy Total(Over/Under): 50.5 points
- TV Channel: CBSSN
The Memphis Tigers (3-0) visit Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium to take on the Navy Midshipmen (2-0) on Sep. 21 in Annapolis, MD. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Memphis is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The Memphis vs. Navy Over/Under is 50.5 total points.
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Memphis vs. Navy Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Memphis | -9.5 -110 | 50.5 -110 | -350 |
| Navy | +9.5 -110 | 50.5 -110 | +275 |
Memphis vs Navy Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Memphis will win this game with 77.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Memphis and Navy, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Memphis vs Navy Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Memphis will cover the spread with 88.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Navy vs Memphis and all games with BetMGM
Memphis Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Memphis has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Memphis have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+5.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.80 Units / 53% ROI)
Navy Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Navy have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.10 Units / 59% ROI)
- Navy has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- Navy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- Navy has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+2.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- Navy has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Memphis players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Memphis Player Prop Bets Today
- Seth Henigan has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Demeer Blankumsee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Roc Taylor has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Seth Henigan has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Navy players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Navy Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Eli Heidenreich has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Brandon Chatman has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Memphis Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Memphis is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 89.55% ROI).
- Memphis is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.2 Units / 27.83% ROI
- Memphis is 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
- Memphis is 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
Navy Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Navy is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Navy is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 21.28% ROI
- Navy is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Navy is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Memphis: Keys to the Game vs. Navy
Memphis is 7-1 (.875) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .403
Memphis is undefeated (6-0) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .495
Memphis is 7-1 (.875) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .418
Memphis is undefeated (9-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: .552
Navy: Keys to the Game vs. Memphis
Navy is 1-4 (.167) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-15th-worst in FBS; Average: .497
Navy is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2022 season– T-17th-worst in FBS; Average: .291
Navy is 2-9 (.182) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– T-18th-worst in FBS; Average: .395
Navy is winless (0-3) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2022 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .221
Matchup Notes for Memphis vs. Navy
Navy’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 17.9% of 28 attempts this season — 6th-best among FBS offenses. Memphis’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 4.8% of attempts this season — 3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Navy’s offense has thrown for 1,553 passing yards in 14 games (just 110.9 YPG) since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among FBS offenses. Memphis’s defense has allowed 247.1 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Navy’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 17.9% of 28 attempts this season — 6th-best among FBS offenses. Memphis’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 4.8% of attempts this season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.
Memphis’s RBs has 19 receptions in 3 games (6.3 per game) this season — T-5th-best among FBS RBs. Navy’s defense has allowed 22.5 receptions per game this season — 23rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Memphis’s WRs has averaged 14.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-27th-best among FBS WRs. Navy’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Memphis has 67 receptions in 3 games (22.3 per game) this season — 34th-best among FBS skill players. Navy’s defense has allowed 22.5 receptions per game this season — 23rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Memphis Offensive Stats & Trends
Memphis WRs have no touchdowns on 34 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.4
Memphis TEs have 7 receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams
Memphis Skill Players have 16 receptions in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Memphis RBs have 5 receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams
Memphis RBs have been targeted 5 times in the Red Zone this season– T-most among FBS Teams
Navy Offensive Stats & Trends
Navy RBs have averaged 7.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,892 yards / 238 touches) on 1st down since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4
Navy Skill Players have been targeted 11.6 times per game (290/25) since the 2022 season– 3rd-lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 29.8
Navy WRs have averaged just 2.6 receptions per game (65/25) since the 2022 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.0
Navy Skill Players have averaged 20.4 yards per reception (776 yards/38 catches) on 1st down since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6
Navy WRs have been targeted 5.3 times per game (132/25) since the 2022 season– T-lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 21.2
Memphis Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends
Memphis has allowed no passing TDs (84 pass attempts) this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.8
Memphis has tackled opponents for a loss on 26 of 89 rushing attempts (29% TFL%) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
Memphis has allowed no passing TDs (84 pass attempts) this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 23.7
Memphis has not allowed any touchdowns on 49 completions this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 14.3
Memphis has not allowed any touchdowns on 49 completions this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.3
Navy Midshipmen Defensive Stats & Trends
Navy has allowed first downs on 40% of rush attempts on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%
Navy has allowed first downs on 40% of rush attempts on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 60%
Navy has allowed a Completion Pct of 90% (9 completions/10 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– T-3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 54%
Navy has allowed 20 rushing TDs on 815 carries (40.8 Carries Per TD) since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 23
Navy has sacked opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts (67/720) since the 2022 season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
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