Memphis vs Rice Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 10

  • Memphis is a -14 point favorite vs. Rice
  • Memphis vs. Rice Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN2

Memphis (7-1) visit Rice Stadium to take on Rice (4-4) on Oct. 31 in Houston, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.

Memphis is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -14 (-118).

The Memphis vs. Rice Over/Under is 49.5 total points.

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Memphis vs. Rice Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Memphis-14 -11849.5 -110-650
Rice +14 -10249.5 -110475

Memphis vs Rice Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Memphis will win this game with 78.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Memphis and Rice, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Memphis vs Rice Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Memphis will cover the spread with 53.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Memphis have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+6.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+6.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Rice have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.67 Units / 24% ROI)

Memphis Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Memphis is 7-1 against the spread this college football season (+5.9 Units / 67.05% ROI).

  • Memphis is 7-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.4 Units / -9.73% ROI
  • Memphis is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.45 Units / -28% ROI
  • Memphis is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.21% ROI

Rice Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Rice iss 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Rice is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 5.92% ROI
  • Rice is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
  • Rice is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

Memphis: Keys to the Game vs. Rice

Rice was winless (0-8) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400

Rice is 1-10 (.091) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .443

Rice was 3-8 (.273) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .454

Rice was 2-7 (.222) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-14th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385

Rice: Keys to the Game vs. Memphis

Rice did not record a sack (48 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 16.0

Rice intercepted 5 of 376 attempts (75.2 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 36.7

Rice tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 60 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

Rice has tackled opponents for a loss on just 8 of 91 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.

Rice has tackled opponents for a loss on just 8 of 91 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Matchup Notes for Memphis vs. Rice

Rice did not record a sack (48 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 16.0

Rice intercepted 5 of 376 attempts (75.2 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 36.7

Rice tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 60 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

Rice has tackled opponents for a loss on just 8 of 91 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.

Rice has tackled opponents for a loss on just 8 of 91 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Rice was winless (0-8) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400

Rice is 1-10 (.091) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .443

Rice was 3-8 (.273) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .454

Rice was 2-7 (.222) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-14th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385

Memphis Offensive Stats & Trends

Rice was winless (0-8) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400

Rice is 1-10 (.091) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .443

Rice was 3-8 (.273) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .454

Rice was 2-7 (.222) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-14th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385

Rice Offensive Stats & Trends

Rice did not record a sack (48 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 16.0

Rice intercepted 5 of 376 attempts (75.2 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 36.7

Rice tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 60 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

Rice has tackled opponents for a loss on just 8 of 91 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.

Rice has tackled opponents for a loss on just 8 of 91 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Memphis Defensive Stats & Trends

Rice was winless (0-8) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400

Rice is 1-10 (.091) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .443

Rice was 3-8 (.273) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .454

Rice was 2-7 (.222) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-14th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385

Rice Defensive Stats & Trends

Rice did not record a sack (48 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 16.0

Rice intercepted 5 of 376 attempts (75.2 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 36.7

Rice tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 60 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

Rice has tackled opponents for a loss on just 8 of 91 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.

Rice has tackled opponents for a loss on just 8 of 91 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.


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