Memphis vs SMU Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 26, 2022, 9:05 AM
  • SMU (6-5) are -4.5 point favorites vs Memphis (6-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 69 points

The Memphis Tigers (6-5) visit Gerald J. Ford Stadium to take on the SMU Mustangs (6-5) on Nov. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Dallas.

SMU are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Memphis vs. SMU Over/Under is 69 total points.

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Memphis vs. SMU Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Memphis+4.5 -11069 -110+165
SMU -4.5 -11069 -110-210

Memphis vs SMU Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts SMU will win this game with 57.3% confidence.

Memphis vs SMU Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Memphis will cover the spread with 58.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Memphis and SMU, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Memphis Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Memphis players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Seth Henigan has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.10 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Brandon Thomas has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)

Best SMU Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for SMU players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tre Siggers has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Rashee Rice has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Team Total Over in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.28 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Memphis have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 53% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+7.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+5.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • SMU have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.15 Units / 31% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.85 Units / 5% ROI)

Memphis Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Memphis has gone 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.5 Units / -12.5% ROI).

  • Memphis is 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -0.66% ROI
  • Memphis is 8-3 when betting the Over for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI
  • Memphis is 3-8 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI

SMU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

SMU has gone 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.5 Units / -4.57% ROI).

  • SMU is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 4.21% ROI
  • SMU is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • SMU is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Matchup Notes for Memphis vs. SMU

SMU has 564 receptions in 22 games (25.6 per game) since the 2021 season — fourth-best among FBS skill players. Memphis’s defense has allowed 22.2 receptions per game since the 2021 season — third-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Memphis Offensive Stats & Trends

Memphis QBs have 15 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Memphis RBs have 5 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 4th most among FBS Teams

Memphis WRs have fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Memphis WRs have averaged 17.5 yards per reception (1,048 yards/60 catches) in the 4th quarter since last season– 5th best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4

Memphis Skill Players have 13 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

SMU Offensive Stats & Trends

SMU TEs have caught 9 touchdown passes in the Red Zone — tied for 2nd-most among FBS Teams

SMU QBs have 55 completions for 20 or more yards — tied for 2nd-most among FBS Teams

SMU Skill Players have 55 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

SMU WRs have 50 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

SMU QBs have 112 completions for 20 or more yards since the 2021 season– tied for 3rd-most among FBS Teams

Memphis Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

Memphis’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 17% of PATs this season– highest among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 6%

Memphis’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 17% of PATs this season– 3rd highest in FBS; Average: 6%

Memphis has allowed 6 TD passes in close and late situations this season– tied for 2nd most in FBS

Memphis’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 11% of PATs since last season– highest among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4%

Memphis has allowed just 11.5 yards per completion (5,607 yards/489 completions) since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.1

SMU Mustangs Defensive Stats & Trends

SMU has allowed 6.9 Yards per Carry (1,319 yards/192 carries) on 1st down this season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 4.4

SMU has allowed 14.5 yards per completion (5,920 yards/409 completions) since last season– tied for 5th worst in FBS; Average: 12.7

SMU has allowed 14.5 yards per completion (5,920 yards/409 completions) since last season– tied for 5th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.1

SMU has allowed 8.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (2,259 yards / 258 touches) on 1st down this season– tied for 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 6.8

SMU has allowed 3.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (251 yards / 73 touches) on 3rd and short since last season– tied for 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 5.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.