Miami (FL) vs Georgia Tech Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 11, 2022, 2:40 PM
  • Georgia Tech (4-5) are -1.5 point favorites vs Miami (FL) (4-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
  • Watch the game on RSN

The Miami (FL) Hurricanes (5-6) visit Bobby Dodd Stadium at Historic Grant Field to take on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (5-6) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Atlanta.

are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Miami (FL) vs. Georgia Tech is total points.

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Miami (FL) vs. Georgia Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Miami (FL)
Georgia Tech

Miami (FL) vs Georgia Tech Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Miami will win this game with 52% confidence.

Miami (FL) vs Georgia Tech Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Miami will cover the spread with 51% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Miami (FL) and Georgia Tech, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Georgia Tech Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Georgia Tech players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jeff Sims has hit the TD Passes Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.40 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Miami (FL) has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Miami (FL) has hit the Game Total Under in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Miami (FL) has hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Miami (FL) has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+4.00 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Miami (FL) has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+9.55 Units / 171% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech has hit the Game Total Under in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 57% ROI)

Miami (FL) Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Miami (FL) has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Miami (FL) is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.25 Units / -38.29% ROI
  • Miami (FL) is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
  • Miami (FL) is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI

Georgia Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia Tech has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Georgia Tech is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.55 Units / 76.16% ROI
  • Georgia Tech is 2-6 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -46.46% ROI
  • Georgia Tech is 6-2 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 38.38% ROI

Miami (FL): Keys to the Game vs. Georgia Tech

Miami (FL) is winless (0-2) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2020 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .386

Miami (FL) is 2-1 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times — tied for 12th-best in FBS; Average: .378

Miami (FL) is 3-9 (.231) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards — 15th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .395

Miami (FL) is 2-6 (.222) when allowing 200 or more passing yards — 12th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .465

Georgia Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Miami (FL)

Georgia Tech is 2-6 (.250) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties — tied for 9th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .522

Georgia Tech is 1-11 (.083) when intercepting no passes — tied for 10th-worst in FBS; Average: .353

Georgia Tech is 5-12 (.250) when rushing more than 30 times — 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .447

Georgia Tech is 3-10 (.231) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes — 12th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .462

Matchup Notes for Miami (FL) vs. Georgia Tech

Georgia Tech have just 169.4 receiving yards per game this season — fourth-worst among Power 5 skill players. Miami (FL)’s defense has allowed just 206.6 receiving yards per game this season — fifth-best among ACC defenses.

Miami (FL) Offensive Stats & Trends

Miami (FL) TEs have 10 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Miami (FL) TEs have 10 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– tied for 3rd most among Power 5 Teams

Miami (FL) WRs have averaged just 8.1 yards per reception (364 yards/45 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.5

Miami (FL) WRs have averaged just 4.9 yards per reception (49 yards/10 catches) with 4-6 yards to go this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.5

Miami (FL) WRs have caught 16 of 22 passes (73% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– tied for 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 55%

Georgia Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Tech Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 5.5 receptions (11 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.1

Georgia Tech TEs have no touchdowns on 38 receptions since last season– tied for 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9.6

Georgia Tech have just 169.4 receiving yards per game this season — fourth-worst among Power 5 skill players. Miami (FL)’s defense has allowed just 206.6 receiving yards per game this season — fifth-best among ACC defenses.

Georgia Tech TEs have averaged 22.7 yards per reception (68 yards/3 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.9

Georgia Tech Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 3.3 receptions (30 Rec/9 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.1

Miami (FL) Hurricanes Defensive Stats & Trends

Miami (FL) has sacked opposing QBs on 15% of pass attempts (30/202) this season– best in FBS; Average: 7%

Miami (FL) has sacked opposing QBs on 15% of pass attempts (30/202) this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

Miami (FL) has sacked opponents 5 times in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd most in FBS

Miami (FL) has allowed 15.0 yards per completion (1,809 yards/121 completions) this season– tied for 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.2

Miami (FL) has tackled opponents for a loss on 152 of 708 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) since last season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Tech has allowed 14.5 yards per completion (5,532 yards/382 completions) since last season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.4

Georgia Tech has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 23 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%.

Georgia Tech has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 84 of 612 attempts (14%) since last season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10%

Georgia Tech defense has allowed 84 completions for 20 or more yards since last season– 3rd fewest among Power 5 Teams

Georgia Tech has allowed a passer rating of 152.6 (612.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 130.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.