Miami (FL) vs Virginia Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 26, 2022, 3:01 PM
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  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The Miami (FL) Hurricanes (4-4) visit Scott Stadium to take on the Virginia Cavaliers (3-5) on Oct. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Charlottesville.

are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Miami (FL) vs. Virginia is total points.

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Miami (FL) vs. Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 9

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Miami (FL)
Virginia

Miami (FL) vs Virginia Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts predicted-winning-team will win this game with confidence-percentage confidence.

Miami (FL) vs Virginia Spread Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts spread-winning-team will cover the spread with spread-confidence confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Miami (FL) and Virginia, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Miami (FL) Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Miami (FL) players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player high – away 

Best Virginia Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Virginia players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player  high – home
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Miami (FL) Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Miami (FL) has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Miami (FL) is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Miami (FL) is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Miami (FL) is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Virginia has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Virginia is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Virginia is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Virginia is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Miami (FL): Keys to the Game vs. Virginia

Miami (FL) is winless (0-2) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2020 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .386

Miami (FL) is 2-7 (.200) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays — tied for 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .431

Miami (FL) is 2-1 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times — tied for 11th-best in FBS; Average: .376

Miami (FL) is 3-8 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards — tied for 12th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .447

Virginia: Keys to the Game vs. Miami (FL)

Virginia is 3-8 (.273) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for 13th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .435

Virginia is winless (0-7) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2020 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .386

Virginia is winless (0-7) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .404

Virginia is 2-6 (.222) when not forcing a fumble — tied for 11th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .453

Matchup Notes for Miami (FL) vs. Virginia

Virginia has gained 5,792 yards on 440 receptions (13.2 YPR) since the 2021 season — fourth-best among ACC skill players. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 12.9 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — third-worst among ACC defenses.

Virginia’s TEs has 21 receptions in 8 games (just 2.6 per game) this season — tied for third-worst among ACC TEs. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 4.8 receptions per game to TEs this season — third-worst among FBS defenses.

Virginia’s QBs has thrown for 6,881 passing yards in 20 games (344.0 YPG) since the 2021 season — fifth-best among FBS teams. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 265.1 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among ACC defenses.

Miami (FL)’s TEs has gained 488 yards on 37 receptions (13.2 YPR) this season — fourth-best among ACC TEs. Florida State’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-best among ACC defenses.

Miami (FL)’s WRs has gained 1,328 yards on 112 receptions (just 11.9 YPR) this season — third-worst among ACC WRs. Florida State’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-best among ACC defenses.

Miami (FL)’s TEs has gained 928 yards on 73 receptions (12.7 YPR) since the 2021 season — best among ACC TEs. Florida State’s defense has allowed just 11.5 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fourth-best among ACC defenses.

Miami (FL) Offensive Stats & Trends

Miami (FL) TEs have 9 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

Miami (FL)’s TEs has gained 488 yards on 37 receptions (13.2 YPR) this season — fourth-best among ACC TEs. Florida State’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-best among ACC defenses.

Miami (FL)’s WRs has gained 1,328 yards on 112 receptions (just 11.9 YPR) this season — third-worst among ACC WRs. Florida State’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-best among ACC defenses.

Miami (FL)’s TEs has gained 928 yards on 73 receptions (12.7 YPR) since the 2021 season — best among ACC TEs. Florida State’s defense has allowed just 11.5 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fourth-best among ACC defenses.

Miami (FL) TEs have 9 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– 3rd most among Power 5 Teams

Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends

Virginia has gained 5,792 yards on 440 receptions (13.2 YPR) since the 2021 season — fourth-best among ACC skill players. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 12.9 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — third-worst among ACC defenses.

Virginia’s TEs has 21 receptions in 8 games (just 2.6 per game) this season — tied for third-worst among ACC TEs. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 4.8 receptions per game to TEs this season — third-worst among FBS defenses.

Virginia’s QBs has thrown for 6,881 passing yards in 20 games (344.0 YPG) since the 2021 season — fifth-best among FBS teams. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 265.1 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among ACC defenses.

Virginia RBs have been targeted 8.7 times per game (166/19) since last season– 3rd highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

Virginia’s WRs has gained 3,800 yards on 245 receptions (15.5 YPR) since the 2021 season — best among ACC WRs. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 12.9 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — third-worst among ACC defenses.

Miami (FL) Hurricanes Defensive Stats & Trends

Miami (FL) has allowed a Completion Pct of just 19% (3 completions/16 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– best in FBS; Average: 53%

Miami (FL) has allowed 9.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (451 yards / 47 touches) on 3rd and short since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 5.0

Miami (FL) has allowed a Completion Pct of just 19% (3 completions/16 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 51%

Miami (FL) has sacked opposing QBs on 14% of pass attempts (19/135) this season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 7%

Miami (FL) has sacked opposing QBs on 14% of pass attempts (19/135) this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

Virginia Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

Virginia has sacked opponents 4 times in the Red Zone this season– most among Power 5 Teams

Virginia has tackled opponents for a loss on just 88 of 747 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) since last season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

Virginia has tackled opponents for a loss on just 88 of 747 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) since last season– tied for 4th worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Virginia has allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (34 completions/88 attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 53%

Virginia has sacked opponents 23 times this season– tied for 3rd most in FBS


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.