Miami Florida vs Clemson Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 5

Clemson head coach Dabo Swinney questions an official after a play during the first half of the Cheez-It Bowl NCAA college football game against Iowa State in Orlando, Fla., Wednesday, Dec. 29, 2021. Clemson had won six straight ACC titles heading into last season, but started 4-3 and fell out of contention for a seventh. The team rebounded, though, to win their last six games โ€” the longest current win streak among Power Five teams โ€” and look to a slimmer, more confident quarterback DJ Uiagalelei to start a new championship run. (AP Photo/Phelan M. Ebenhack, File)
(AP Photo/Phelan M. Ebenhack)
Sportsbook Promos This Week
  • The Miami (FL) Hurricanes are a -18.5 point favorite vs. the Clemson Tigers
  • Miami Florida vs. Clemson Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • TV Channel: ABC

Miami Florida (4-0) visit Memorial Stadium to take on Clemson (3-1) on Oct. 3 in Clemson, SC. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm.

The Miami (FL) Hurricanes are betting favorites in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -18.5 (+110).

The Miami Florida vs. Clemson Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

Bet now on Clemson Tigers vs Miami (FL) Hurricanes & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Miami Florida vs. Clemson Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Miami Florida-18.5 +11051.5 -165-800
Clemson +18.5 -14551.5 +125+600

Miami Florida vs Clemson Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Miami (FL) will win this game with 81.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Miami (FL) Hurricanes and the Clemson Tigers, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Miami Florida vs Clemson Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Miami (FL) will cover the spread with 52.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Clemson Tigers vs Miami (FL) Hurricanes and all games with BetMGM


  • Miami has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 away games (+8.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Miami has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.20 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Miami has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.65 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Miami have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Miami have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.75 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+2.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+2.35 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.70 Units / 24% ROI)

Miami Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Miami (FL) Hurricanes is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Miami Florida is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Miami Florida is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Miami Florida is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Clemson Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Clemson Tigers is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.49% ROI).

  • Clemson is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 12.56% ROI
  • Clemson is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.18 Units / -4.11% ROI
  • Clemson is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.52% ROI

Miami Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Clemson

Miami (FL) was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

Miami (FL) was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Miami (FL) is 8-2 (.800) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2024 season– T-8th-best in FBS; Average: .440

Miami (FL) is 17-1 (.944) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .658

Clemson: Keys to the Game vs. Miami Florida

Clemson was undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .647

Clemson was 5-2 (.714) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– 15th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481

Clemson was 9-2 (.818) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– 29th-best in FBS; Average: .668

Clemson was undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .632

Matchup Notes for Miami Florida vs. Clemson

Clemson’s offense threw for 3,481 passing yards in 13 games (267.8 YPG) last season — 25th-best among FBS offenses. Miami (FL)’s defense allowed just 204.9 passing yards per game last season — 4th-best among ACC defenses.

Clemson’s TEs gained 510 yards on 51 receptions (just 10.0 YPR) last season — 5th-worst among ACC TEs. Miami (FL)’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Clemson’s QBs threw for 3,406 passing yards in 13 games (262.0 YPG) last season — 31st-best among FBS teams. Miami (FL)’s defense allowed just 204.9 passing yards per game last season — 4th-best among ACC defenses.

Miami (FL)’s WRs averaged 22.9 targets per game last season — T-34th-highest among FBS WRs. Clemson’s defense allowed 14.0 receptions per game to WRs last season — 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Miami (FL)’s WRs averaged 22.9 targets per game last season — 5th-highest among ACC WRs. Clemson’s defense allowed 14.0 receptions per game to WRs last season — 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Miami (FL)’s WRs had 202.4 receiving yards per game last season — 22nd-best among FBS WRs. Clemson’s defense allowed 183.8 receiving yards per game to WRs last season — 19th-worst among FBS defenses.

Miami Florida Offensive Stats & Trends

Miami (FL) Skill Players had 20 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– T-most among FBS Teams

Miami (FL) have thrown for 6 TDs in the 3rd quarter this season– most among FBS Offenses

Miami (FL) have thrown for 9 TDs in the Red Zone this season– T-most among FBS Offenses

Miami (FL) QBs had 76 completions for 20 or more yards last season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams

Miami (FL) QBs have 16 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down this season– most among FBS Teams

Clemson Offensive Stats & Trends

Clemson Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 33.5 receptions (67 Rec/2 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.7

Clemson have thrown 7 TDs on 59 pass attempts (one TD every 8.4 Pass Attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 3.7

Clemson WRs have averaged a touchdown every 5.7 receptions (17 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

Clemson have averaged a touchdown every 4.1 receptions (29 Rec/7 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Offenses; Average: 2.1

Clemson Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 4.1 receptions (29 Rec/7 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

Miami Florida Defensive Stats & Trends

Miami (FL) has not allowed any rushing touchdowns on 85 rushes this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 26.9

Miami (FL) has not allowed any rushing touchdowns on 85 rushes this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 31.8

The Miami (FL) defense has allowed scores on 7% of opponent drives (2/28) in the 2nd half this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 22%

Miami (FL) has tackled opponents for a loss on 9 of 37 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 11%.

Miami (FL) tackled opponents for a loss on 9 of 25 rushing attempts (36% TFL%) last week– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Clemson Defensive Stats & Trends

Clemson allowed a Completion Pct of just 14% (2 completions/14 attempts) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 63%

Clemson allowed a Completion Pct of just 14% (2 completions/14 attempts) on 3rd and short last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Clemson has allowed a Completion Pct of just 26% (5 completions/19 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best in FBS; Average: 62%

Clemson allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 30 of their 477 carries (6%) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3%

Clemson has allowed a Completion Pct of just 26% (5 completions/19 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%


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