Miami Florida vs Ole Miss Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ College Football Playoffs

Mississippi head coach Pete Golding walks the sideline against Georgia during the second half of the Sugar Bowl NCAA college football playoff quarterfinal game, Thursday, Jan. 1, 2026, in New Orleans. (AP Photo/Matthew Hinton Hinton)
(AP Photo/Matthew Hinton Hinton)
New Player OfferMore Promos
  • Miami Florida is a -3.5 point favorite vs. Mississippi
  • Miami Florida vs. Ole Miss Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • Fiesta Bowl TV Channel: ESPN

Miami Florida (12-2) visit State Farm Stadium to take on Ole Miss (13-1) on Jan. 8 in Glendale, AZ. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST.

Miami Florida is a betting favorite in the Fiesta Bowl, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Miami Florida vs. Ole Miss Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

Bet now on Mississippi vs Miami Florida & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Miami Florida vs. Ole Miss Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Miami Florida vs Ole Miss Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Miami (FL) will win this College Football Playoff game with 58.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Miami Florida and Mississippi, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Miami Florida vs Ole Miss Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ole Miss will cover the spread with 55.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Mississippi vs Miami Florida and all games with BetMGM


  • Miami has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 14 games (+11.85 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Miami has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.40 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Miami has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Miami has hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games (+7.80 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Miami have covered the 1H Spread in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games (+10.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 7 games (+7.75 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+7.45 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Ole Miss have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Ole Miss have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.30 Units / 33% ROI)

Miami Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Miami Florida is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Miami Florida is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Miami Florida is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Miami Florida is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Ole Miss Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Mississippi iss 9-4 against the spread this college football season (+4.6 Units / 32.06% ROI).

  • Ole Miss is 10-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.55 Units / 31.03% ROI
  • Ole Miss is 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI
  • Ole Miss is 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI

Miami Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Ole Miss

Miami (FL)’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.8% of 400 attempts this season — T-28th-best among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.7% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among P5 defenses.

Miami (FL)’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.8% of 400 attempts this season — T-28th-best among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.7% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.

Miami (FL)’s offense has thrown for 3,413 passing yards in 13 games (262.5 YPG) this season — 31st-best among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 129.1 passing yards per game this season — best among Big Ten defenses.

Miami (FL)’s TEs has gained 397 yards on 41 receptions (just 9.7 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among ACC TEs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 8.9 Yards Per Reception this season — best among P5 defenses.

Miami (FL) QBs had 76 completions for 20 or more yards last season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams

Ole Miss: Keys to the Game vs. Miami Florida

Ole Miss TEs have averaged 24.2 yards per reception (145 yards/6 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.2

Ole Miss Skill Players have averaged 19.6 yards per reception (646 yards/33 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7

Ole Miss have averaged 19.6 yards per reception (646 yards/33 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.6

Ole Miss TEs have averaged 24.2 yards per reception (145 yards/6 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 12.5

Ole Miss QBs had 42 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down last season– most among FBS Teams

Matchup Notes for Miami Florida vs. Ole Miss

Ole Miss TEs have averaged 24.2 yards per reception (145 yards/6 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.2

Ole Miss Skill Players have averaged 19.6 yards per reception (646 yards/33 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7

Ole Miss have averaged 19.6 yards per reception (646 yards/33 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.6

Ole Miss TEs have averaged 24.2 yards per reception (145 yards/6 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 12.5

Ole Miss QBs had 42 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down last season– most among FBS Teams

Miami (FL)’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.8% of 400 attempts this season — T-28th-best among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.7% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among P5 defenses.

Miami (FL)’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.8% of 400 attempts this season — T-28th-best among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.7% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.

Miami (FL)’s offense has thrown for 3,413 passing yards in 13 games (262.5 YPG) this season — 31st-best among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 129.1 passing yards per game this season — best among Big Ten defenses.

Miami (FL)’s TEs has gained 397 yards on 41 receptions (just 9.7 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among ACC TEs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 8.9 Yards Per Reception this season — best among P5 defenses.

Miami (FL) QBs had 76 completions for 20 or more yards last season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams

Miami Florida Offensive Stats & Trends

Miami (FL)’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.8% of 400 attempts this season — T-28th-best among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.7% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among P5 defenses.

Miami (FL)’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.8% of 400 attempts this season — T-28th-best among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.7% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.

Miami (FL)’s offense has thrown for 3,413 passing yards in 13 games (262.5 YPG) this season — 31st-best among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 129.1 passing yards per game this season — best among Big Ten defenses.

Miami (FL)’s TEs has gained 397 yards on 41 receptions (just 9.7 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among ACC TEs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 8.9 Yards Per Reception this season — best among P5 defenses.

Miami (FL) QBs had 76 completions for 20 or more yards last season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams

Ole Miss Offensive Stats & Trends

Ole Miss TEs have averaged 24.2 yards per reception (145 yards/6 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.2

Ole Miss Skill Players have averaged 19.6 yards per reception (646 yards/33 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7

Ole Miss have averaged 19.6 yards per reception (646 yards/33 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.6

Ole Miss TEs have averaged 24.2 yards per reception (145 yards/6 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 12.5

Ole Miss QBs had 42 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down last season– most among FBS Teams

Miami Florida Defensive Stats & Trends

Miami (FL)’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.8% of 400 attempts this season — T-28th-best among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.7% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among P5 defenses.

Miami (FL)’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.8% of 400 attempts this season — T-28th-best among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.7% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.

Miami (FL)’s offense has thrown for 3,413 passing yards in 13 games (262.5 YPG) this season — 31st-best among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 129.1 passing yards per game this season — best among Big Ten defenses.

Miami (FL)’s TEs has gained 397 yards on 41 receptions (just 9.7 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among ACC TEs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 8.9 Yards Per Reception this season — best among P5 defenses.

Miami (FL) QBs had 76 completions for 20 or more yards last season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams

Ole Miss Defensive Stats & Trends

Ole Miss TEs have averaged 24.2 yards per reception (145 yards/6 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.2

Ole Miss Skill Players have averaged 19.6 yards per reception (646 yards/33 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7

Ole Miss have averaged 19.6 yards per reception (646 yards/33 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.6

Ole Miss TEs have averaged 24.2 yards per reception (145 yards/6 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 12.5

Ole Miss QBs had 42 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down last season– most among FBS Teams


Bet now on Mississippi vs Miami Florida and all games with BetMGM


More College Football Betting at BetMGM

BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.

Whether youโ€™re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.

Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!

The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

About the Author Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.