Miami Florida vs Stanford Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 1

Stanford stadium view during the third quarter of an NCAA college football game against Northwestern in Stanford, Calif., Saturday, Aug. 31, 2019.
(AP Photo/Josie Lepe)
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  • Miami (FL) Hurricanes is a -24 point favorite vs. Stanford Cardinal
  • Miami Florida vs. Stanford Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN

Miami Florida (0-0) visit Stanford Stadium to take on Stanford (1-0) on Sep. 4 in Stanford, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00 pm.

The Miami (FL) Hurricanes are betting favorites in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -24 (-112).

The Miami Florida vs. Stanford Over/Under is 47.5 total points.

Bet now on Stanford Cardinal vs Miami (FL) Hurricanes & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Miami Florida vs. Stanford Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Miami Florida-24 -11247.5 -105-3000
Stanford +24 -10547.5 -112+1550

Miami Florida vs Stanford Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Miami (FL) will win this game with 91.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Miami (FL) Hurricanes and Stanford Cardinal, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Miami Florida vs Stanford Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Miami (FL) will cover the spread with 58.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Stanford Cardinal vs Miami (FL) Hurricanes and all games with BetMGM


  • Miami has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 16 games (+11.85 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Miami has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 16 games (+11.40 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Miami has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+8.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Miami has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.80 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Miami has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.75 Units / 60% ROI)

Miami Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Stanford

Miami (FL) was 8-1 (.889) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578

Miami (FL) was 11-2 (.846) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– 12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

Miami (FL) was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Miami (FL) was 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: .602

Stanford: Keys to the Game vs. Miami Florida

Stanford was 1-6 (.143) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .581

Stanford was winless (0-6) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Stanford was winless (0-6) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .459

Stanford was winless (0-8) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Matchup Notes for Miami Florida vs. Stanford

Stanford’s TEs gained 693 yards on 60 receptions (11.6 YPR) last season — 4th-best among ACC TEs. Miami (FL)’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Stanford’s TEs gained 693 yards on 60 receptions (11.6 YPR) last season — 4th-best among ACC TEs. Hawai’i’s defense allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception last season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Stanford had 14 receiving touchdowns last season — 2nd-fewest among ACC skill players. Miami (FL)’s defense allowed 13 receiving touchdowns last season — 2nd-fewest among ACC defenses.

Miami (FL)’s WRs averaged 22.9 targets per game last season — T-34th-highest among FBS WRs. Stanford’s defense allowed 17.0 receptions per game to WRs last season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Miami (FL)’s WRs had 202.4 receiving yards per game last season — 22nd-best among FBS WRs. Stanford’s defense allowed 209.3 receiving yards per game to WRs last season — 4th-worst among FBS defenses.

Miami (FL)’s WRs had 1.4 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Stanford’s defense allowed 1.8 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Miami Florida Offensive Stats & Trends

Miami (FL) RBs averaged 7.7 Yards per Carry (750 yards/97 carries) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

Miami (FL) TEs averaged 19.5 yards per reception (642 yards/33 catches) with 7-10 yards to go last season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.5

Miami (FL) Skill Players had 20 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– T-most among FBS Teams

Miami (FL) Skill Players had 76 receptions for 20 or more yards last season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams

Miami (FL) averaged 348.2 Passing Yards per game (4,527/13) last season– 3rd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 227.2

Stanford Offensive Stats & Trends

Stanford RBs did not rush for 0a TD on 184 carries (inf Carries Per TD) last season– worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.4

Stanford RBs did not rush for 0a TD on 25 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.5

Stanford’s TEs gained 693 yards on 60 receptions (11.6 YPR) last season — 4th-best among ACC TEs. Miami (FL)’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Stanford’s TEs gained 693 yards on 60 receptions (11.6 YPR) last season — 4th-best among ACC TEs. Hawai’i’s defense allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception last season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Stanford Skill Players averaged 17.5 yards per reception (385 yards/22 catches) in short yardage situations last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.3

Miami Florida Defensive Stats & Trends

Miami (FL) sacked opponents 50 times last season– most among Power Conference Teams

Miami (FL) opponents averaged 39.9 Passing Attempts per TD (519 Pass Attempts/13 Passing TDs) last season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: 21.3

Miami (FL) sacked opponents 50 times last season– most in FBS

Miami (FL) allowed 13 touchdowns on 312 completions (24.0 Completions Per TD) last season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 13.1

Miami (FL) allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (20 completions/53 attempts) in close and late situations last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 59%

Stanford Defensive Stats & Trends

Stanford intercepted 3 of 445 attempts (148.3 pass attempts per int.) last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 38.5

Stanford intercepted 3 of 445 attempts (148.3 pass attempts per int.) last season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 39.8

Stanford did not record a sack (52 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.4

Stanford allowed 7.3 touchdowns per interception (22 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) last season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Stanford did not record a sack (52 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0


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