Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 14, 2022, 9:19 AM
  • (2-4) are point favorites vs (2-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Miami (OH) RedHawks (3-4) visit Doyt L. Perry Stadium to take on the Bowling Green Falcons (3-4) on Oct. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in Bowling Green.

are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Miami (OH) vs. Bowling Green is total points.

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Miami (OH) vs. Bowling Green Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 7

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Miami (OH)
Bowling Green

Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Miami (OH) will win this game with 63.0% confidence.

Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green Spread Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Miami (OH) will cover the spread with 62.4% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Miami (OH) and Bowling Green, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • Miami (OH) has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+9.90 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.35 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Miami (OH) has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • Miami (OH) is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • Miami (OH) is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • Miami (OH) is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    Bowling Green Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Bowling Green has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • Bowling Green is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • Bowling Green is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • Bowling Green is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    Miami (OH) Offensive Stats & Trends

    Miami (OH) RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 79 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in close and late situations since last season– tied for worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 23.9

    Miami (OH) WRs have averaged 20.3 yards per reception (1,440 yards/71 catches) on 1st down since last season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.9

    Miami (OH) RBs have averaged 3.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (90 yards / 30 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6

    Miami (OH) Skill Players have averaged 17.1 yards per reception (2,039 yards/119 catches) on 1st down since last season– 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.8

    Miami (OH) Skill Players have caught 11 touchdown passes in close and late situations since last season– tied for most among FBS Teams

    Bowling Green Offensive Stats & Trends

    Bowling Green RBs have rushed for one TD on 21 carries in the Red Zone this season– 5th worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

    Bowling Green WRs have fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter since last season– most among FBS Teams

    Bowling Green RBs have rushed for 7 TDs on 69 carries (9.9 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.6

    Bowling Green Skill Players have fumbled 5 times in close and late situations since last season– tied for 4th most among FBS Teams

    Bowling Green TEs have been targeted 10 times on 3rd down this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

    Miami (OH) RedHawks Defensive Stats & Trends

    Miami (OH) has tackled opponents for a loss on 23 of 95 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 15%.

    Miami (OH) has tackled opponents for a loss on 23 of 95 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

    Miami (OH) has not allowed a pass completion for 20+ yards (15 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 9%

    Miami (OH) has allowed a Completion Pct of 90% (9 completions/10 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 59%

    Miami (OH) has allowed a Completion Pct of 90% (9 completions/10 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 60%

    Bowling Green Falcons Defensive Stats & Trends

    Bowling Green has tackled opponents for a loss on just 9 of 114 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– 4th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

    Bowling Green has averaged 4.2 sacks per game this season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.0

    Bowling Green has allowed a Completion Pct of 93% (13 completions/14 attempts) on 3rd and short since last season– tied for 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 63%

    Bowling Green has sacked opponents 8 times on 1st down this season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams

    Bowling Green has averaged 4.2 sacks per game this season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 2.1


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