- Cincinnati is a -14.5 point favorite vs. Miami (OH)
- Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN+
The Miami (OH) RedHawks visit Nippert Stadium to take on the Cincinnati Bearcats on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Cincinnati.
Cincinnati is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-105).
The Miami (OH) vs. Cincinnati Over/Under is 44 total points.
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Miami (OH) vs. Cincinnati Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 3
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Miami (OH) | +14.5 -115 | 44 -110 | +425 |
| Cincinnati | U -14.5 -105 | 44 -110 | -600 |
Miami (OH) vs Cincinnati Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Cincinnati will win this game with 85.7% confidence.
Miami (OH) vs Cincinnati Spread Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Cincinnati will cover the spread with 77.2% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Miami (OH) and Cincinnati, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Miami (OH) Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Miami (OH) has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 72% ROI)
- Miami (OH) has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Miami (OH) has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Miami (OH) has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+2.07 Units / 15% ROI)
- Miami (OH) has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 29% ROI)
Cincinnati Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Cincinnati has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.65 Units / 55% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.65 Units / 22% ROI)
Miami (OH) Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Miami (OH) is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Miami (OH) is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Miami (OH) is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Miami (OH) is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Cincinnati Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Cincinnati is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Cincinnati is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 18.48% ROI
- Cincinnati is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Cincinnati is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Miami (OH): Keys to the Game vs. Cincinnati
Miami (OH) is undefeated (4-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2022 season– tied for 15th-best in FBS; Average: .602
Cincinnati: Keys to the Game vs. Miami (OH)
Cincinnati was winless (0-2) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team in the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .495
Cincinnati is 1-2 (.091) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2022 season– 2nd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .423
Cincinnati is 17-5 (.773) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .421
Cincinnati is winless (0-3) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .442
Matchup Notes for Miami (OH) vs. Cincinnati
Cincinnati’s WRs has gained 2,943 yards on 205 receptions (14.4 YPR) since the 2022 season — tied for 31st-best among FBS WRs. Miami (OH)’s defense has allowed just 12.0 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2022 season — tied for 26th-best among FBS defenses.
Cincinnati’s WRs have 196.2 receiving yards per game since the 2022 season — 32nd-best among FBS WRs. Miami (OH)’s defense has allowed 190.1 receiving yards per game to WRs since the 2022 season — 23rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Cincinnati’s WRs have 262.0 receiving yards per game this season — 10th-best among FBS WRs. Miami (OH)’s defense has allowed 196.5 receiving yards per game to WRs this season — 34th-worst among FBS defenses.
Miami (OH)’s WRs has gained 378 yards on 21 receptions (18.0 YPR) this season — 11th-best among FBS WRs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 15.5 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among P5 defenses.
Miami (OH) has gained 396 yards on 24 receptions (16.5 YPR) this season — seventh-best among FBS skill players. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 15.5 Yards Per Reception this season — sixth-worst among FBS defenses.
Miami (OH)’s QBs has thrown for 2,808 passing yards in 15 games (just 187.2 YPG) since the 2022 season — 15th-worst among FBS teams. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 202.1 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 16th-best among FBS defenses.
Miami (OH) Offensive Stats & Trends
Miami (OH)’s WRs has gained 378 yards on 21 receptions (18.0 YPR) this season — 11th-best among FBS WRs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 15.5 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among P5 defenses.
Miami (OH) has gained 396 yards on 24 receptions (16.5 YPR) this season — seventh-best among FBS skill players. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 15.5 Yards Per Reception this season — sixth-worst among FBS defenses.
Miami (OH)’s QBs has thrown for 2,808 passing yards in 15 games (just 187.2 YPG) since the 2022 season — 15th-worst among FBS teams. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 202.1 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 16th-best among FBS defenses.
Miami (OH)’s WRs has gained 378 yards on 21 receptions (18.0 YPR) this season — 11th-best among FBS WRs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 15.5 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among Big 12 defenses.
Miami (OH) has gained 396 yards on 24 receptions (16.5 YPR) this season — seventh-best among FBS skill players. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 15.5 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among P5 defenses.
Cincinnati Offensive Stats & Trends
Cincinnati WRs have averaged 22.2 yards per reception (488 yards/22 catches) on 1st down since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.7
Cincinnati WRs have averaged 29.0 yards per reception (58 yards/2 catches) with over 10 yards to go since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14.5
Cincinnati Skill Players have averaged 19.0 yards per reception (438 yards/23 catches) this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.7
Cincinnati WRs have averaged 300.0 receiving yards per game (300/1) in the 1st half this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 95.0
Cincinnati WRs have averaged 22.2 yards per reception (488 yards/22 catches) on 1st down since the 2021 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.8
Miami (OH) RedHawks Defensive Stats & Trends
Miami (OH) did not tackle opponents for a loss on any of 33 rushing attempts on 3rd and short in the 2022 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 12%.
Miami (OH) has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 49 rushing attempts (2% TFL%) on 3rd and short since last season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 12%.
Miami (OH) has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 49 rushing attempts (2% TFL%) on 3rd and short since last season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 12%.
Miami (OH) has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 36 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) this season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
Miami (OH) has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 36 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) this season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.
Cincinnati Bearcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Cincinnati has allowed a Completion Pct of just 46% (67 completions/146 attempts) since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 60%
Cincinnati has allowed a Completion Pct of just 46% (67 completions/146 attempts) since the 2021 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 61%
Cincinnati has not allowed any rushing touchdowns on 14 rushes in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.7
Cincinnati has not allowed any rushing touchdowns on 14 rushes in the Red Zone since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.6
Cincinnati has allowed opponents to catch just 67 of 145 passes (46% Reception Pct) since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 60%
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