Miami (OH) vs Massachusetts Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 2

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(AP Photo/Al Goldis)

BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 08, 2023, 3:09 PM

Miami (OH) is a -7 point favorite vs. Massachusetts
Total (Over/Under): 44 points
Watch the game on ESPN+

The Miami (OH) RedHawks visit Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium to take on the UMass Minutemen on Sep. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Amherst.

Miami (OH) is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -7 (-105).

The Miami (OH) vs. Massachusetts Over/Under is 44 total points.

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Miami (OH) vs. Massachusetts Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 2

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Miami (OH)	-7 -105	44 -110	-275
Massachusetts	+7 -115	44 -110	+220

Miami (OH) vs Massachusetts Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Miami (OH) will win this game with 68.9% confidence.

Miami (OH) vs Massachusetts Spread Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Miami (OH) will cover the spread with 65.4% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Miami (OH) and Massachusetts, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.

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Miami (OH) Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Miami (OH) has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 72% ROI)

Miami (OH) has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)

Miami (OH) has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 35% ROI)

Miami (OH) has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+2.07 Units / 15% ROI)

Miami (OH) has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 29% ROI)

Massachusetts Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Massachusetts have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 63% ROI)

Massachusetts has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 92% ROI)

Massachusetts have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.75 Units / 42% ROI)

Massachusetts has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games at home (+3.35 Units / 81% ROI)

Massachusetts has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 49% ROI)

Miami (OH) Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Miami (OH) is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

Miami (OH) is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
Miami (OH) is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Miami (OH) is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Massachusetts Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Massachusetts is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.44% ROI).

Massachusetts is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 230% ROI
Massachusetts is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Massachusetts is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

Massachusetts: Keys to the Game vs. Miami (OH)

UMass is winless (0-10) when not forcing a fumble since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .446

UMass is 1-15 (.062) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2021 season– tied for 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: .439

UMass is 2-19 (.087) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .408

UMass was winless (0-8) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .427

Matchup Notes for Miami (OH) vs. Massachusetts

UMass’s RBs averaged just 4.4 yards after the catch in the 2022 season — third-worst among FBS RBs. Miami (OH)’s defense allowed just 6.1 RAC to RBs in the 2022 season — tied for 17th-best among FBS defenses.

UMass’s WRs have just 106.6 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — ninth-worst among FBS WRs. Miami (OH)’s defense has allowed 184.8 receiving yards per game to WRs since the 2021 season — 34th-worst among FBS defenses.

UMass’s WRs had just 93.7 receiving yards per game in the 2022 season — 10th-worst among FBS WRs. Miami (OH)’s defense allowed 189.2 receiving yards per game to WRs in the 2022 season — 29th-worst among FBS defenses.

Miami (OH)’s offense threw for 2,152 passing yards in 13 games (just 165.5 YPG) in the 2022 season — 12th-worst among FBS offenses. UMass’s defense allowed just 184.6 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — seventh-best among FBS defenses.

Miami (OH)’s WRs has gained 4,248 yards on 279 receptions (15.2 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for ninth-best among FBS WRs. UMass’s defense has allowed 16.7 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2021 season — worst among FBS defenses.

Miami (OH)’s QBs threw for 2,375 passing yards in 13 games (just 182.7 YPG) in the 2022 season — 13th-worst among FBS teams. UMass’s defense allowed just 184.6 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — seventh-best among FBS defenses.

Miami (OH) Offensive Stats & Trends

Miami (OH)’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 7.4% of 338 attempts in the 2022 season — tied for 15th-worst among FBS offenses. UMass’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 15.5% of attempts in the 2022 season — tied for third-best among FBS defenses.

Miami (OH)’s WRs has gained 4,248 yards on 279 receptions (15.2 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for ninth-best among FBS WRs. UMass’s defense has allowed 15.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — worst among FBS defenses.

Massachusetts Offensive Stats & Trends

UMass Skill Players have just one touchdown on 40 receptions in close and late situations since the 2021 season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.4

UMass Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 29.8 receptions (119 Rec/4 TDs) in the 2022 season– 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.8

Miami (OH) RedHawks Defensive Stats & Trends

Miami (OH) has allowed 18 rushing TDs on 130 carries (7.2 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.8

Miami (OH) has tackled opponents for a loss on 32 of 130 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Miami (OH) did not tackle opponents for a loss on any of 33 rushing attempts on 3rd and short in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 12%.

Miami (OH) did not tackle opponents for a loss on any of 33 rushing attempts on 3rd and short in the 2022 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 12%.

Miami (OH) has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 36 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) this season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

UMass Minutemen Defensive Stats & Trends

UMass has allowed 7 rushing TDs this season– most in FBS

UMass has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 64 of their 918 carries (7%) since the 2021 season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4%

UMass has allowed 499 rushing yards this season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams

UMass has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 64 of their 918 carries (7%) since the 2021 season– worst in FBS; Average: 3%

UMass has allowed 7 rushing TDs this season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams

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