Miami (OH) vs Northern Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 16, 2022, 5:12 PM
  • Northern Illinois (3-7) are -1 point favorites vs Miami (OH) (4-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN Networks

The Miami (OH) RedHawks (6-6) visit Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium to take on the Northern Illinois Huskies (3-8) on Nov. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in DeKalb.

are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Miami (OH) vs. Northern Illinois is total points.

Bet now on Northern Illinois vs Miami (OH) & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Miami (OH) vs. Northern Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Miami (OH)
Northern Illinois

Miami (OH) vs Northern Illinois Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Northern Illinois will win this game with 50.3% confidence.

Miami (OH) vs Northern Illinois Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Northern Illinois will cover the spread with 57.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Miami (OH) and Northern Illinois, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • Miami (OH) has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.60 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+6.42 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 21 games (+9.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.40 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 22 games (+4.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games (+3.25 Units / 15% ROI)

Miami (OH) Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Miami (OH) has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Miami (OH) is 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -27.21% ROI
  • Miami (OH) is 2-8 when betting the Over for -6.8 Units / -61.82% ROI
  • Miami (OH) is 8-2 when betting the Under for +5.8 Units / 52.73% ROI

Northern Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Northern Illinois has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Northern Illinois is 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -56.31% ROI
  • Northern Illinois is 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
  • Northern Illinois is 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI

Northern Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends

Miami (OH) RBs have averaged just 2.8 Yards per Carry (148 yards/52 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– tied for worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Miami (OH) RBs have averaged 3.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (186 yards / 60 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Miami (OH) RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 101 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in close and late situations since last season– tied for worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 24.1

Miami (OH) Skill Players have averaged just 6.6 yards per reception (126 yards/19 catches) on 3rd and long this season– tied for worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.0

Miami (OH) WRs have averaged 19.5 yards per reception (1,868 yards/96 catches) on 1st down since last season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.7

Northern Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends

Northern Illinois RBs have averaged 12.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (308 yards / 24 touches) on 3rd and short this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.3

Northern Illinois RBs have averaged 9.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (439 yards / 47 touches) on 3rd and short since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

Northern Illinois RBs have averaged 8.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (395 yards / 45 touches) on 3rd down this season– tied for best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5

Northern Illinois QBs have rushed for 6 TDs in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Northern Illinois RBs have averaged 35.9 carries per game (825 carries / 23 games) since last season– 5th highest among FBS Teams; Average: 26.4

Miami (OH) RedHawks Defensive Stats & Trends

Miami (OH) has tackled opponents for a loss on 32 of 127 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Miami (OH) has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 30 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 11%.

Miami (OH) has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 30 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%.

Miami (OH) has tackled opponents for a loss on 32 of 127 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

Miami (OH) has allowed 18 rushing TDs on 127 carries (7.1 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.8

Northern Illinois Huskies Defensive Stats & Trends

Northern Illinois has allowed a passer rating of 310.8 in the Red Zone (26.0 Pass Attempts) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 163.6

Northern Illinois has no interceptions and 26 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 8.6

Northern Illinois has allowed a passer rating of 310.8 in the Red Zone (26.0 Pass Attempts) this season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 167.4

Northern Illinois has allowed a passer rating of 231.2 in the Red Zone (68.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 167.4

Northern Illinois has no interceptions (68 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 36.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.