Miami (OH) vs UAB Prediction, Odds & Prop Bets: Bahamas Bowl

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 16, 2022, 11:20 AM
  • UAB (6-6) are -10 point favorites vs Miami (OH) (6-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
  • Watch the HomeTown Lenders Bahamas Bowl game on ESPN

The Miami (OH) RedHawks (6-7) visit Thomas Robinson Stadium to take on the UAB Blazers (7-6) on Dec. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 11:30am EST in Nassau for the HomeTown Lenders Bahamas Bowl.

are betting favorites, with the spread sitting at ().

The Miami (OH) vs. UAB Over/Under is total points.

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Miami (OH) vs. UAB Odds, Spread, Over/Under, Bowl Game

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Miami (OH)
UAB

Miami (OH) vs UAB Prediction

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UAB will win this game with 75.1% confidence.

Miami (OH) vs UAB Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UAB will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Miami (OH) and UAB, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Miami (OH) has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.50 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) has hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+4.07 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the Game Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • UAB have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)

Miami (OH) Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Miami (OH) has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Miami (OH) is 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -11.7% ROI
  • Miami (OH) is 3-9 when betting the Over for -6.9 Units / -52.27% ROI
  • Miami (OH) is 9-3 when betting the Under for +5.7 Units / 43.18% ROI

UAB Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UAB has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • UAB is 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -12.73% ROI
  • UAB is 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • UAB is 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI

Miami (OH): Keys to the Game vs. UAB

UAB: Keys to the Game vs. Miami (OH)

UAB is 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2021 season– tied for 14th-best in FBS; Average: .559

UAB is 10-1 (.909) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2021 season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: .621

UAB is winless (0-3) when having a TD margin of -2 or worse since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .007

Miami (OH) Offensive Stats & Trends

Miami (OH) QBs have rushed for 213 yards in close and late situations this season– most among FBS Teams

Miami (OH) RBs have averaged just 2.8 Yards per Carry (165 yards/59 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Miami (OH) RBs have averaged 3.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (216 yards / 69 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– tied for worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Miami (OH) RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 108 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in close and late situations since last season– tied for worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 24.2

Miami (OH) RBs have averaged 2.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (109 yards / 37 touches) on 3rd down this season– 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5

UAB Offensive Stats & Trends

UAB RBs have averaged 223.2 rushing yards per game (2,679/12) this season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 131.8

UAB RBs have averaged 6.9 Yards per Carry (2,672 yards/388 carries) in the 1st half since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

UAB RBs have rushed for 19 TDs in the 1st quarter since last season– most among FBS Teams

UAB RBs have averaged 198.8 rushing yards per game (4,971/25) since last season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 132.5

UAB RBs have rushed for 2,679 yards this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Miami (OH) RedHawks Defensive Stats & Trends

Miami (OH) has allowed 18 rushing TDs on 130 carries (7.2 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.8

Miami (OH) has tackled opponents for a loss on 32 of 130 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Miami (OH) has tackled opponents for a loss on 32 of 130 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

Miami (OH) has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 33 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 12%.

Miami (OH) has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 33 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 12%.

UAB Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

UAB has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 69 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

UAB has not recorded a sack (37 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 16.7

UAB has sacked opposing QBs just once on 78 pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– 4th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 15.8

UAB has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 69 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

UAB has tackled opponents for a loss on just 49 of 436 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) this season– 5th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.