Michigan vs Indiana Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

min read
AP Photos
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 06, 2022, 1:42 PM
  • (2-4) are point favorites vs (2-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Michigan Wolverines (7-0) visit Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) to take on the Indiana Hoosiers (3-4) on Oct. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in Bloomington.

are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Michigan vs. Indiana is total points.

Bet now on Indiana vs Michigan & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Michigan vs. Indiana Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 6

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Michigan
Indiana

Michigan vs Indiana Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Michigan will win this game with 76.9% confidence.

Michigan vs Indiana Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Indiana will cover the spread with 79.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Michigan and Indiana, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Michigan Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Michigan players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Cornelius Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.35 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Cornelius Johnson has hit the Receptions Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • J.J. McCarthy has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Roman Wilson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Erick All has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)

Best Indiana Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Indiana players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Connor Bazelak has hit the Passing Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Connor Bazelak has hit the TD Passes Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.40 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 16 games (+14.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.65 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+9.87 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Michigan have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Indiana has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Indiana has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Indiana has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Indiana has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 14 games (+1.50 Units / 9% ROI)

Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Michigan has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Michigan are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Michigan are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Michigan are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Indiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Indiana has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Indiana are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Indiana are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Indiana are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Indiana

#4 Michigan is undefeated (9-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — 5th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .402

#4 Michigan is undefeated (10-0) when not throwing an interception — tied for best in FBS; Average: .563

#4 Michigan is 11-2 (.611) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .395

#4 Michigan is 14-1 (.933) when not losing a fumble — best in FBS; Average: .500

Indiana: Keys to the Game vs. Michigan

Indiana is winless (0-8) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .350

Indiana is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards — tied for 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .454

Indiana is winless (0-8) when rushing more than 30 times — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .417

Indiana is 1-10 (.067) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush — 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .320

Matchup Notes for Michigan vs. Indiana

Indiana’s receiving corps has gained 2,044 yards on 179 receptions (just 11.4 YPR) since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among Power 5 WR corps. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Big Ten defenses.

Indiana has been targeted 172 times this season — fifth-most among Power 5 skill players. Michigan’s defense has allowed 520 receiving yards this season — third-fewest among Big Ten defenses.

Indiana has been targeted 172 times this season — fifth-most among Power 5 skill players. Michigan’s defense has allowed 520 receiving yards this season — fifth-fewest among P5 defenses.

Michigan’s receiving corps has gained 2,639 yards on 170 receptions (15.5 YPR) since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Power 5 WR corps. Indiana’s defense has allowed 11.9 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Michigan’s offense has 43 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for second-most among FBS offenses. Indiana’s defense has allowed 26 rushing TDs since the 2021 season — tied for second-most among Big Ten defenses.

Michigan’s offense has 56 rushing touchdowns since the 2021 season — third-most among FBS offenses. Indiana’s defense has allowed 26 rushing TDs since the 2021 season — tied for second-most among Big Ten defenses.

Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

#4 Michigan RBs have rushed for 36 TDs in the Red Zone since last season– most among FBS Teams

Michigan’s receiving corps has gained 2,639 yards on 170 receptions (15.5 YPR) since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Power 5 WR corps. Indiana’s defense has allowed 11.9 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

#4 Michigan RBs have rushed for 46 TDs since last season– most among FBS Teams

#4 Michigan RBs have averaged 15.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (331 yards / 22 touches) on 3rd and long since last season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.4

#4 Michigan have rushed for 17 TDs this season– tied for most among FBS Offenses

Indiana Offensive Stats & Trends

Indiana’s receiving corps has gained 2,044 yards on 179 receptions (just 11.4 YPR) since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among Power 5 WR corps. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Big Ten defenses.

Indiana WRs have averaged a touchdown every 22.4 receptions (179 Rec/8 TDs) since last season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.7

Indiana Skill Players have caught just 296 of 545 passes (54% Reception Pct) since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 65%

Indiana WRs have been targeted 27 times with 4-6 yards to go this season– most among Power 5 Teams

Indiana WRs have caught just 179 of 354 passes (51% Reception Pct) since last season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 62%

Michigan Wolverines Defensive Stats & Trends

#4 Michigan’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 14% of PATs since last season– highest in FBS; Average: 4%

#4 Michigan’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 14% of PATs since last season– highest among Power 5 Teams; Average: 5%

#4 Michigan has allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (41 completions/97 attempts) on 3rd and long since last season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 54%

#4 Michigan has allowed 13 rushing TDs on 612 carries (47.1 Carries Per TD) since last season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 24.2

#4 Michigan has allowed 215.8 yards from scrimmage per game this season– best in FBS; Average: 362.4

Indiana Hoosiers Defensive Stats & Trends

Indiana has allowed 22 first down receptions in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

Indiana has allowed first downs on 40% of pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 21%

Indiana has allowed 22 first down receptions in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd most in FBS

Indiana has allowed a passer rating of 234.8 in the Red Zone (55.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 160.2

Indiana has allowed a passer rating of 234.8 in the Red Zone (55.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 164.8


Looking to place a bet on this game with a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Indiana vs Michigan and all NCAAF games with BetMGM

College Football Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.